Cooked-Governance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$301

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

1,364

Trades

1,736

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 09:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Other

44% 42% -$323

Crypto

35% 56% +$89

Sports

14% 47% +$111

Tech

6% 0% -$216

Politics

1% 38% +$29

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+26	$17	65¢	$17	$0	11-07 05:42
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	+47	$6	9¢	$4	-$2	11-07 05:39
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	+50	$3	4¢	$2	-$1	11-07 05:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$2.5K	2,173	3,303	-1,131	Yes	+$524	01-20 03:03
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	5	$675	104	738	-634	Yes	-$126	01-20 02:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$576	1,873	1,873	+0	Yes	-$424	02-02 03:16
will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$416	235	235	+0	Yes	+$16	01-03 07:01
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	3	$370	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	01-05 09:17
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	2	$223	132	132	+0	Yes	+$23	01-20 02:42
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	2	$209	111	111	+0	No	+$9	01-17 00:30
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	5	$203	114	114	+0	Yes	+$20	02-02 03:44
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	1	$200	241	0	+241	T1	+$41	11-06 10:00
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	3	$181	100	100	+0	Yes	-$8	01-03 15:29
nothing ever happens january 581	3	$180	165	165	+0	No	+$80	01-25 03:56
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$179	0	180	-180	No	-$1	01-01 08:19
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 9	5	$131	80	80	+0	Yes	+$7	01-03 15:29
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$131	67	67	+0	Yes	+$3	02-01 02:08
nothing ever happens january	2	$103	141	141	+0	No	-$97	01-03 06:47
cs2 td sng 2026 01 14	1	$100	200	0	+200	Truck Drivers	-$100	01-14 13:04
wta stearns danilov 2026 01 13	1	$100	109	0	+109	Danilovic	+$9	01-14 11:00
cs2 gl1 pssnua 2026 01 14	2	$100	159	0	+159	GamerLegion	-$100	01-14 12:12
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	3	$98	111	111	+0	Yes	-$42	02-12 00:03
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$96	102	102	+0	No	-$4	05-22 02:46
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	2	$95	196	0	+196	Yes	-$95	01-23 15:33
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	1	$94	200	0	+200	No	-$94	01-13 10:50
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$90	101	101	+0	Yes	+$50	06-14 04:14
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	3	$90	148	0	+148	No	+$57	02-22 04:38
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	2	$87	68	68	+0	No	+$33	02-11 07:16
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	3	$86	257	0	+257	Yes	+$171	01-13 10:50
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	2	$85	182	182	+0	No	+$45	01-15 23:56
nothing ever happens february 152	4	$82	110	98	+12	Something	-$31	02-24 04:33
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	1	$80	88	0	+88	No	+$8	01-09 06:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 06:35 UTC	4	$71	45	45	+0	Down	-$9	04-21 06:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 09:12:03	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x4fd1e1…
11-07 09:07:52	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)	Gen.G	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xa4143d…
11-07 05:42:13	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xda05c4…
11-07 05:41:19	Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	52	7¢	$4	0xba32f3…
11-07 05:39:36	Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x1341dd…
11-07 05:39:21	Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x11761c…
11-07 05:39:13	Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	47	13¢	$6	0x27c646…
11-06 10:00:46	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x19f438…
11-06 06:14:43	Thunder vs. Grizzlies	Thunder	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2c0f7e…
11-06 06:11:54	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x10d52e…
11-05 07:15:06	nba orl phx 2026 11 05 spread home 5pt5	Magic	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0x028787…
11-05 07:14:00	Heat vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x9f25d6…
11-05 02:49:52	Spread: Lakers (-5.5)	Lakers	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x413ea7…
11-05 02:47:54	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xab4ea3…
11-05 02:42:42	76ers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xe05e70…
11-04 01:23:48	Hawks vs. Wizards	Hawks	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xe50f8a…
11-04 01:23:22	Hawks vs. Wizards	Wizards	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x32fae9…
11-03 09:56:00	Cavaliers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x566f47…
11-03 09:54:51	Trail Blazers vs. Suns	Trail Blazers	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xb76e99…
11-03 09:53:37	Hornets vs. Nets	Hornets	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xb801fa…
11-03 09:52:49	Hawks vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xc74507…
11-03 09:52:19	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0x8b27f3…
11-03 09:49:03	76ers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3ef936…
11-03 04:00:40	Heat vs. Lakers	Heat	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3eeb64…
11-03 03:56:37	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x4d53b6…
11-03 03:54:46	Pelicans vs. Grizzlies	Pelicans	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x02884e…
11-02 13:46:34	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa34948…
11-02 13:44:55	Hawks vs. Pacers	Hawks	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x844d48…
11-02 04:34:16	Spread: Lakers (-5.5)	Lakers	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6c8cd6…
11-02 03:15:42	Spread: Spurs (-15.5)	Jazz	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xf45467…
11-02 03:12:58	Celtics vs. Rockets	Celtics	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x97d4c5…
11-02 03:11:39	Bucks vs. Timberwolves	Bucks	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x989598…
11-02 03:09:54	Pelicans vs. Grizzlies	Pelicans	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x5a46ae…
11-02 03:07:33	Wizards vs. Magic	Wizards	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xe5567e…
11-02 03:05:48	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x8bff52…
11-02 03:05:28	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe4e409…
11-02 03:03:34	Spread: Lakers (-5.5)	Lakers	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x63760d…
11-01 10:55:25	Clippers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xe590f5…
11-01 10:54:15	Nets vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2f0df4…
11-01 08:52:51	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong	Terence Atmane	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0xd52164…
11-01 02:37:30	Celtics vs. Magic	Celtics	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x558331…
11-01 00:50:36	Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe7b420…
11-01 00:49:07	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Hawks	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x31abf3…
11-01 00:48:31	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x0beb83…
10-31 05:34:21	Celtics vs. Magic	Celtics	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xaa393a…
10-31 05:32:09	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x265d2f…
10-31 05:31:22	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x7ed05c…
10-31 05:30:52	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Hawks	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x04dcab…
10-31 05:30:37	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x052908…
10-31 05:30:15	Trail Blazers vs. Jazz	Trail Blazers	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb901f2…
10-28 16:55:34	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4b80de…
10-28 16:54:43	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xc08166…
10-28 16:53:37	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1f82f2…
08-15 00:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xd684a4…
08-15 00:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc40140…
08-15 00:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x80c8f1…
08-14 00:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9f2613…
08-14 00:44:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xadf4f9…
08-11 23:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x862942…
08-11 23:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x615577…
08-11 00:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x844a41…
08-11 00:15:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3570e6…
08-11 00:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcc245d…
08-11 00:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0b566a…
08-11 00:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5015e6…
08-11 00:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa417e3…
08-11 00:12:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb61289…
08-11 00:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbe7c8b…
08-10 00:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x0d4834…
08-10 00:23:51	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xf45dce…
08-10 00:23:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5eecca…
08-10 00:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcdea6a…
08-10 00:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x67eb08…
08-10 00:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc56cb0…
08-10 00:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xab49d5…
08-10 00:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1ded84…
08-10 00:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x8a2d90…
08-10 00:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd7defd…
08-10 00:18:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 75°F or below on August 9?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x70198f…
08-08 23:22:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 75°F or below on August 9?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x110c15…
08-08 23:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x1ba6b2…
08-08 23:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb52db1…
08-08 23:19:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x59d80b…
08-08 23:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x179793…
08-08 23:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xcdce7f…
08-07 17:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x52b3d4…
08-07 17:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x082044…
08-07 17:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe021cb…
08-07 17:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x83f05b…
08-07 17:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x74a743…
08-07 00:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xbb5b22…
08-07 00:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdf220c…
08-07 00:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x3192b3…
08-07 00:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x7c6329…
08-07 00:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x166b5a…
08-07 00:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x6528fa…
08-06 08:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xac7472…
08-06 08:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb88c41…
08-06 08:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb07cff…
08-06 00:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x023682…