Limping-Glue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$192

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

203

Trades

408

lifetime

Volume

$29.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 02:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 96% +$234

Other

6% 80% +$5

Sports

1% 50% -$15

Politics

1% 100% +$4

Tech

0% 0% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	28	$707	2,125	2,125	+0	open	—	10-01 15:39
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	2	$545	274	274	+0	Yes	+$2	01-27 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 16:10 UTC	7	$475	500	0	+500	Up	-$475	02-13 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 14:40 UTC	3	$475	500	0	+500	Down	+$25	02-13 14:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 10:40 UTC	12	$474	500	0	+500	Up	+$26	02-13 10:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 10:25 UTC	3	$465	500	0	+500	Up	+$35	02-13 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 09:10 UTC	1	$434	457	0	+457	Down	+$23	02-13 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 09:40 UTC	1	$433	480	0	+480	Up	+$47	02-13 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 07:40 UTC	18	$413	435	0	+435	Down	+$22	02-13 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 07:10 UTC	13	$391	413	0	+413	Up	+$22	02-13 07:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 04:25 UTC	15	$373	393	0	+393	Down	+$20	02-13 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 03:25 UTC	6	$356	375	0	+375	Up	+$19	02-13 03:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$281	142	142	+0	No	+$3	02-01 07:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:00 UTC	2	$243	157	157	+0	Up	+$43	08-17 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$221	123	123	+0	Up	+$21	05-31 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$216	116	116	+0	Up	+$16	10-28 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 04:20 UTC	2	$213	116	116	+0	Down	+$13	09-25 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:30 UTC	2	$211	119	119	+0	Down	+$11	06-04 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:35 UTC	2	$210	111	111	+0	Down	+$10	06-08 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:20 UTC	2	$209	110	110	+0	Down	+$9	10-01 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$209	110	110	+0	Down	+$9	10-01 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$208	110	110	+0	Down	+$8	09-12 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$208	109	109	+0	Down	+$8	10-10 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:20 UTC	2	$208	109	109	+0	Up	+$8	08-13 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$208	109	109	+0	Up	+$8	10-02 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 09:05 UTC	2	$207	114	114	+0	Up	+$7	08-11 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$207	108	108	+0	Up	+$7	05-30 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$207	110	110	+0	Up	+$7	06-03 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$207	109	109	+0	Down	+$7	05-30 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$207	109	109	+0	Up	+$7	06-02 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x9bedf2…
10-28 02:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x18fd7c…
10-27 11:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	108	96¢	$103	0xc51f75…
10-27 11:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xfbd3db…
10-25 02:13:33	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x92435e…
10-14 14:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xa1c992…
10-11 10:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x44748f…
10-11 10:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4471e3…
10-10 08:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xf2f5e2…
10-10 08:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x104f12…
10-09 06:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0xdaf45b…
10-09 06:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xf49760…
10-02 12:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x9f5529…
10-02 12:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x63a58e…
10-01 15:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x7045e9…
10-01 15:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x9816a0…
10-01 15:39:02	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,034	4¢	$41	0x8b6bbf…
10-01 03:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:20 UTC	Down	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x0f37d5…
10-01 03:23:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x0c7897…
10-01 03:22:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x6cc7ea…
09-25 04:24:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 04:20 UTC	Down	SELL	116	97¢	$113	0x1d3a6b…
09-25 04:23:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xec9897…
09-25 01:54:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 01:50 UTC	Up	SELL	108	96¢	$103	0xe8d9b4…
09-25 01:53:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x19bb9a…
09-24 06:59:33	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	29¢	$25	0x338b78…
09-23 05:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa54ad1…
09-12 05:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0x552fc0…
09-12 05:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x9a3e1e…
09-06 16:22:46	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?	No	SELL	123	83¢	$102	0x8fefe8…
09-06 15:12:31	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xf2b6f0…
08-17 09:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	157	91¢	$143	0x4bd87a…
08-17 09:03:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0xd6b483…
08-16 14:39:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	105	97¢	$102	0x625c0f…
08-16 14:38:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8416d0…
08-13 07:29:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:25 UTC	Down	SELL	108	97¢	$105	0x946d4c…
08-13 07:28:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x3d441a…
08-13 07:24:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xab02f7…
08-13 07:23:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x1e3b6b…
08-11 14:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xec7bb7…
08-11 09:09:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	114	94¢	$107	0xc70dc1…
08-11 09:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xa5ea8c…
08-10 04:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0x2c1978…
08-10 04:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xe8de04…
08-10 02:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 02:35 UTC	Up	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xa663af…
08-10 02:38:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x40d851…
08-09 14:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	108	98¢	$105	0x93471b…
08-09 14:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x29e367…
08-09 13:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:20 UTC	Down	SELL	106	95¢	$101	0xbf25db…
08-09 13:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x6d657e…
08-08 15:44:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	108	98¢	$105	0x750913…
08-08 15:44:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x925e6c…
08-08 12:38:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x336a87…
08-08 11:04:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	111	95¢	$105	0xf9b742…
08-08 11:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x820674…
08-05 04:47:17	will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xcb30c2…
08-05 04:46:20	will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	872	29¢	$253	0x3b9093…
07-26 04:39:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x973b99…
07-18 04:34:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	109	96¢	$105	0x89d160…
07-18 04:34:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x9e5c27…
07-16 13:58:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	112	93¢	$104	0x05a650…
07-16 13:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x188efe…
07-16 13:53:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4e6281…
06-27 02:50:08	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$157	0x160316…
06-16 01:12:40	will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xdf3c23…
06-16 00:40:27	will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xcb5237…
06-15 20:41:33	will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xa80846…
06-15 19:09:12	will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	83	8¢	$7	0xc62943…
06-15 07:14:58	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x2fb448…
06-14 04:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 04:05 UTC	Down	SELL	108	96¢	$103	0xa0753e…
06-14 04:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xc8fdad…
06-14 04:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xfcc183…
06-14 04:00:22	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	61	38¢	$23	0x2a3524…
06-14 03:59:22	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x47fb4f…
06-13 01:06:30	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	61	63¢	$39	0x85bba3…
06-12 05:00:21	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	92	42¢	$39	0xe3f134…
06-12 02:15:40	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	92	31¢	$29	0xff118a…
06-09 14:49:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	108	97¢	$104	0xa98608…
06-09 14:48:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x74d988…
06-08 15:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:05 UTC	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xb0b74a…
06-08 15:09:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xabe237…
06-08 14:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:35 UTC	Down	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x262c7a…
06-08 14:38:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x4d15f7…
06-06 03:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xe840fb…
06-06 03:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x65aa93…
06-04 14:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	119	93¢	$111	0x62e807…
06-04 14:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xa6dc0a…
06-03 15:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	108	96¢	$103	0xacbb43…
06-03 15:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xf35d0f…
06-03 15:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0x2252f0…
06-03 15:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x4b5f9d…
06-03 14:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	110	97¢	$107	0xf71c9a…
06-03 14:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xfdf1c4…
06-03 11:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	108	98¢	$105	0x2453e3…
06-03 11:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xf287a6…
06-03 10:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	109	96¢	$104	0x8aa353…
06-03 10:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x4b19f0…
06-03 10:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x1b337f…
06-03 10:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8a6a9f…
06-02 15:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0xfacb9c…
06-02 15:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x4d9462…