Unwilling-Licorice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

290

Trades

512

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-18 07:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 40% +$6

Politics

1% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on april 10	14	$75	38	38	+0	Yes	$0	04-09 11:47
solana up or down on march 25 2026	10	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-25 15:35
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	10	$49	2,521	2,341	+180	Yes	-$3	04-05 11:44
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-25 08:00 UTC	9	$45	45	0	+45	Up	+$0	03-25 11:44
xrp up or down march 25 2026 8am et	8	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	03-25 12:55
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	8	$36	18	18	+0	No	$0	03-24 20:21
bitcoin above 68k on march 25	6	$26	13	13	+0	Yes	$0	03-25 11:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 12:15 UTC	5	$25	25	0	+25	Down	+$0	03-25 12:27
bitcoin above 62k on april 19	4	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	04-17 14:30
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	4	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	03-25 07:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 06:56
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 05:00 UTC	3	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	03-25 05:13
solana up or down march 25 2026 3am et	3	$15	15	0	+15	Down	+$0	03-25 07:55
xrp up or down march 24 2026 4pm et	3	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	03-24 20:41
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	3	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	03-25 07:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$12	59	59	+0	No	-$8	04-21 17:34
bitcoin above 64k on april 22	2	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	04-20 14:25
bitcoin above 80k on april 19	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-19 06:34
bitcoin above 76k on april 1	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	03-31 10:08
bitcoin above 62k on april 12	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	04-11 14:17
ethereum up or down march 25 2026 4am et	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	03-25 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 05:00 UTC	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	03-25 05:11
solana up or down march 25 2026 4am et	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	03-25 08:52
ethereum up or down march 25 2026 8am et	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	03-25 12:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 15:30 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-09 15:43
bitcoin above 70000 on april 9 2026 9am et	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-09 12:55
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	03-30 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	-$10	10-10 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 18:20 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	07-08 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 11:05 UTC	1	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	04-18 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 07:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0d2c5b…
10-18 07:34:33	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x33b354…
10-18 07:34:21	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd7e11e…
10-18 07:34:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd53ccb…
10-18 07:34:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7c8be6…
10-18 07:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7f0d40…
10-18 07:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0x37720d…
10-17 21:18:30	XRP Up or Down - October 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x27f193…
10-17 21:08:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf6b80a…
10-17 21:08:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x61c7ae…
10-17 21:08:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x354502…
10-17 20:59:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5c8502…
10-17 20:39:30	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc93121…
10-17 20:38:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4d2585…
10-17 20:04:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfbaac7…
10-17 19:59:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9e0123…
10-17 19:24:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3d1012…
10-17 19:24:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6087cd…
10-17 19:14:42	XRP Up or Down - October 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2da474…
10-17 19:03:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x550e38…
10-17 18:49:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa6ac00…
10-17 18:49:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xe05f93…
10-17 18:48:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdc2415…
10-17 18:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xec83a1…
10-10 08:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x18230d…
10-10 08:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa6e1ad…
10-10 08:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfe802d…
10-10 08:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xc5ad87…
10-10 07:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7d9376…
10-10 07:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xef94e0…
10-10 07:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x526be9…
10-10 07:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xae2683…
10-10 07:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe2f1b1…
10-10 06:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd1bf74…
10-10 06:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc18126…
10-10 05:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5bd413…
10-10 05:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2960ee…
10-10 05:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7287df…
10-10 04:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x42ba03…
10-10 04:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6d1b15…
10-10 03:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa6cf60…
10-10 03:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x415c3f…
10-10 03:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x3f92d1…
10-10 03:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x99d76d…
10-09 20:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcdd28f…
10-09 20:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3aee53…
10-09 20:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7d73d8…
10-06 12:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	238	0¢	$0	0x1a59bd…
07-09 16:44:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc4660a…
07-09 16:04:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc73f1e…
07-09 15:54:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x46c63d…
07-09 14:52:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x985d0a…
07-09 14:49:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9978c1…
07-09 14:04:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa786f2…
07-09 13:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4d2e07…
07-09 13:43:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x269ef3…
07-09 13:37:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2039e8…
07-09 13:23:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xec76dd…
07-09 13:18:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5185e5…
07-09 13:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf3791c…
07-09 12:53:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6539a7…
07-09 12:42:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1e7484…
07-09 12:38:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8e214a…
07-09 12:03:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4376d6…
07-09 11:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5df420…
07-09 11:29:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xea9bdc…
07-09 11:29:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x846c73…
07-09 11:17:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8466b7…
07-09 10:29:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf08a06…
07-09 09:59:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x48405d…
07-09 09:54:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xca66f6…
07-09 09:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb6422f…
07-09 09:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x174318…
07-09 09:33:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8cb107…
07-09 09:28:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x966622…
07-09 09:09:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa6b92e…
07-09 08:52:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc5557e…
07-09 08:43:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2de090…
07-09 08:38:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe82963…
07-09 08:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd7382e…
07-09 08:29:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6de298…
07-09 08:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc73bb9…
07-09 08:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xecd949…
07-09 07:43:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf47389…
07-09 07:39:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x55473d…
07-09 07:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1a37d3…
07-09 07:18:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3134c0…
07-08 21:09:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x688e1f…
07-08 21:04:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7180b5…
07-08 20:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae584c…
07-08 18:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 18:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x42b6f8…
07-08 18:22:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xafc09f…
07-08 18:16:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9bba55…
06-28 17:34:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5c3ee7…
06-28 14:49:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe1d3d3…
06-28 14:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x893939…
06-28 14:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe5fae3…
06-28 14:23:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xde925a…
06-28 14:19:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc38915…
06-28 14:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0a009f…