Vital-Antler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$235

Unrealized P&L

-$222

Hit rate

23.5%

Resolved

Trades

186

lifetime

Volume

$19.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

$678

1 position

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-08 11:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

42% — —

Other

35% 22% $-188

Crypto

21% 0% $-47

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+7,137	$900	10¢	$678	$-222	06-05 10:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	2	$1.6K	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	05-28 03:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.2K	9,389	9,389	+0	open	—	05-21 11:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$1.0K	1,443	1,443	+0	open	—	05-16 14:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	2	$994	615	615	+0	open	—	05-31 15:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$900	7,137	0	+7,137	open	—	06-05 10:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$848	1,750	1,297	+452	open	—	05-28 03:33
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	10	$760	8,862	1,422	+7,440	open	—	05-12 15:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$609	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	05-21 18:27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	3	$576	1,541	811	+730	open	—	05-30 14:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	9	$557	9,958	9,958	+0	open	—	05-23 09:52
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$513	26,057	0	+26,057	open	—	05-19 17:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$497	618	618	+0	open	—	04-25 13:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$418	2,292	2,292	+0	open	—	05-30 02:50
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$386	3,398	3,398	+0	Yes	$-14	04-23 14:39
will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	2	$337	1,908	1,908	+0	open	—	06-05 09:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$315	2,815	2,815	+0	open	—	05-21 23:49
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	4	$314	922	869	+53	open	—	04-24 15:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	4	$304	1,365	858	+507	open	—	05-23 13:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	1	$300	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-01 10:33
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	3	$231	1,486	1,486	+0	open	—	05-23 00:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$226	143	143	+0	open	—	04-22 02:54
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	2	$217	143	143	+0	open	—	04-24 00:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$212	3,405	3,405	+0	open	—	04-26 00:09
DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?	2	$204	303	303	+0	open	—	04-24 04:50
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	1	$200	2,140	0	+2,140	open	—	06-08 11:06
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	1	$200	328	0	+328	Under	$-200	05-06 14:32
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	2	$195	147	147	+0	open	—	04-19 13:31
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 24	4	$179	4,321	4,021	+300	open	—	04-24 00:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$178	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	05-23 13:05
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	3	$166	251	251	+0	open	—	05-06 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:06:52	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	2,140	9¢	$200	0xc97c5c…
06-05 10:15:33	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,137	13¢	$900	0x80a951…
06-05 09:24:03	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	328	30¢	$100	0x8d0045…
06-05 09:03:04	will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	Yes	SELL	1,908	2¢	$37	0xdb3804…
06-02 15:28:47	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,147	9¢	$100	0x7cb930…
06-02 15:28:40	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	775	13¢	$100	0xbcb855…
06-01 10:33:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	15¢	$300	0x98e735…
06-01 10:31:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,908	16¢	$300	0x69bee4…
05-31 15:49:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	615	97¢	$594	0x750cc3…
05-30 14:15:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	730	14¢	$100	0xc90f31…
05-30 14:15:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$100	0x992027…
05-30 03:32:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	2,565	0¢	$7	0x3b2f3a…
05-30 03:32:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0x2a0244…
05-30 03:32:05	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	3,704	1¢	$21	0x6bf72f…
05-30 02:50:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	811	22¢	$176	0x83ffea…
05-30 02:50:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,292	5¢	$118	0xdfbd3a…
05-29 23:45:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,451	7¢	$100	0x0fd73a…
05-29 23:40:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x0e4a01…
05-28 21:11:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	615	65¢	$400	0x6a845f…
05-28 21:10:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	3,704	3¢	$100	0x012360…
05-28 21:10:13	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xf89ef0…
05-28 21:10:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	2,565	4¢	$100	0x3096f1…
05-28 13:38:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,056	3¢	$53	0xc688e0…
05-28 03:48:09	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0x7bad05…
05-28 03:40:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,098	9¢	$100	0x2c1745…
05-28 03:34:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,056	5¢	$100	0xc2bbc0…
05-28 03:33:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	452	22¢	$100	0x8c8186…
05-28 03:33:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xace683…
05-28 03:29:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,297	19¢	$248	0xa67f5c…
05-28 03:28:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,136	100¢	$1,135	0xdc253c…
05-27 16:52:51	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x418a5f…
05-27 16:52:06	Will Trump say "Ebola" or "COVID" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0xe11ce9…
05-27 16:32:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,292	13¢	$300	0x0218dc…
05-27 16:32:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	811	37¢	$300	0x508114…
05-27 16:16:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,297	39¢	$500	0xbe1770…
05-27 16:16:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,136	44¢	$500	0x5211ed…
05-23 13:06:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	507	15¢	$76	0x407996…
05-23 13:05:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,250	6¢	$78	0x6c1f53…
05-23 11:02:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x2e3d7a…
05-23 11:01:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	858	12¢	$103	0x723fd8…
05-23 09:55:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0xdc3ce4…
05-23 09:52:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	6,458	0¢	$19	0x289c33…
05-23 02:07:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	4,550	1¢	$68	0x8889f0…
05-23 02:06:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	733	15¢	$110	0x6a1d1f…
05-23 00:53:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	652	5¢	$30	0xb93e2f…
05-23 00:16:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	1,072	7¢	$70	0x3e1150…
05-23 00:16:30	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,352	5¢	$71	0x7a8611…
05-23 00:15:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	185	6¢	$12	0xa84ed7…
05-23 00:14:49	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	357	3¢	$11	0x462292…
05-22 15:59:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	2,071	1¢	$28	0xf7a6e7…
05-22 14:53:44	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	357	4¢	$15	0x25a72f…
05-22 14:53:14	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	134	8¢	$10	0x1da844…
05-22 14:51:36	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?	Yes	SELL	575	0¢	$2	0xfc37e8…
05-22 00:32:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	2,071	7¢	$145	0xc6e234…
05-22 00:31:50	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,486	10¢	$150	0x27c5f4…
05-21 23:49:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	503	3¢	$16	0xcc6c8e…
05-21 23:49:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,815	1¢	$15	0x80b60f…
05-21 18:31:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	503	8¢	$40	0x7fc226…
05-21 18:30:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,815	11¢	$300	0x99426d…
05-21 18:27:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	442	11¢	$50	0x4a875f…
05-21 18:27:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	1,429	6¢	$85	0xd3424e…
05-21 18:27:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	1,600	13¢	$209	0x675621…
05-21 14:35:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	442	14¢	$60	0x58ff2f…
05-21 11:07:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,600	25¢	$400	0xc31ed4…
05-21 11:07:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0x79a8bb…
05-21 11:03:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9,002	6¢	$503	0xd76ed1…
05-20 14:24:11	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xccac7c…
05-20 13:54:36	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	125	46¢	$57	0xf24b92…
05-20 11:34:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	21¢	$24	0xe04aac…
05-19 17:58:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17,692	1¢	$230	0x3c57d6…
05-19 15:45:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,002	7¢	$600	0xe66240…
05-18 00:21:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	938	2¢	$15	0xed7cc4…
05-17 14:52:01	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xa379b4…
05-17 12:21:52	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe202cd…
05-17 00:28:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,506	3¢	$78	0x50987a…
05-16 15:11:39	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,655	4¢	$100	0xf9b287…
05-16 15:07:48	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?	Yes	BUY	575	19¢	$110	0x2bc33e…
05-16 15:04:41	Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	362	6¢	$20	0x91852f…
05-16 14:26:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,443	37¢	$533	0xafc7aa…
05-16 13:28:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,443	33¢	$476	0x1785c7…
05-16 10:02:14	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,240	4¢	$90	0xc533b4…
05-16 09:56:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa52ccf…
05-16 09:20:26	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,127	0¢	$14	0xa7be60…
05-16 01:54:09	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	76	98¢	$74	0x217685…
05-13 14:58:01	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	76	40¢	$30	0x4683ae…
05-13 14:52:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x06ed66…
05-12 15:08:25	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	7,440	1¢	$45	0x7a0e9f…
05-12 14:56:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x1d160e…
05-12 14:56:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x7ed172…
05-09 04:40:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	25¢	$38	0x2cb944…
05-08 10:16:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	336	11¢	$37	0x2c7f8d…
05-08 10:15:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	220	11¢	$24	0x3e774a…
05-07 15:39:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x1e332d…
05-07 15:37:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	339	9¢	$30	0xf8b8bc…
05-07 15:32:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	387	17¢	$64	0x7b161f…
05-07 15:32:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	540	16¢	$89	0x0bb98d…
05-07 11:12:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	540	13¢	$70	0x92bcd0…
05-07 08:55:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	19¢	$30	0x6a9f1f…
05-07 08:51:58	Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	202	25¢	$50	0xca53d1…
05-06 14:32:11	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x8fd435…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	63	$535.3K	9,912	06-09 15:13
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	61	$11.9M	22,335	06-09 23:47
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	57	$231.8K	21,319	06-09 22:01
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	47	$27.1K	2,690	06-02 03:41
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	47	$12.2K	553	06-07 16:18
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	47	$7.94K	1,095	06-08 20:55
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	46	$57.7K	1,165	06-09 23:47
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	44	$1.82K	1,262	06-08 13:07