Vital-Antler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$235

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.5%

Resolved

Trades

223

lifetime

Volume

$30.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 07-19 21:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

45% 22% $-188

Politics

28% — —

Crypto

25% 0% $-47

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	2	$1.6K	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	05-28 03:28
will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	2	$1.6K	7,616	7,616	+0	open	—	07-16 15:42
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$1.5K	9,846	0	+9,846	open	—	07-19 21:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.2K	9,389	9,389	+0	open	—	05-21 11:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.2K	8,387	8,387	-0	open	—	06-15 13:43
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	1	$1.1K	2,115	0	+2,115	open	—	07-17 00:58
will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	1	$1.0K	2,662	0	+2,662	open	—	07-13 17:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$1.0K	1,443	1,443	+0	open	—	05-16 14:26
will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	1	$1000	3,002	0	+3,002	open	—	07-19 00:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	2	$994	615	615	+0	open	—	05-31 15:49
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 3pt5	1	$850	3,825	0	+3,825	open	—	07-18 23:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$848	1,750	1,297	+452	open	—	05-28 03:33
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	10	$760	8,862	1,422	+7,440	open	—	05-12 15:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$609	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	05-21 18:27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	3	$576	1,541	811	+730	open	—	05-30 14:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	9	$557	9,958	9,958	+0	open	—	05-23 09:52
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$513	26,057	0	+26,057	open	—	05-19 17:58
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	1	$500	1,925	0	+1,925	open	—	07-19 21:05
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	1	$500	962	0	+962	open	—	07-14 22:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$497	618	618	+0	open	—	04-25 13:51
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	2	$424	551	551	+0	open	—	06-11 16:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$418	2,292	2,292	+0	open	—	05-30 02:50
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$386	3,398	3,398	+0	Yes	$-14	04-23 14:39
will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	2	$337	1,908	1,908	+0	open	—	06-05 09:03
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 corners total 9pt5	2	$332	233	233	+0	open	—	06-12 20:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$315	2,815	2,815	+0	open	—	05-21 23:49
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	4	$314	922	869	+53	open	—	04-24 15:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	4	$304	1,365	858	+507	open	—	05-23 13:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	1	$300	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-01 10:33
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 corners total 9pt5	3	$300	421	213	+208	open	—	06-13 06:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:43:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	6,398	8¢	$500	0xc46664…
07-19 21:17:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3,448	29¢	$1,000	0x778f63…
07-19 21:05:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	1,925	26¢	$500	0x942d48…
07-19 00:52:34	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	Yes	BUY	3,002	33¢	$1,000	0x042c14…
07-18 23:10:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	3,825	22¢	$850	0x593921…
07-17 00:58:29	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	2,115	52¢	$1,100	0x250558…
07-16 15:42:08	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	Yes	SELL	7,616	8¢	$600	0xdc1c9b…
07-15 12:47:41	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	7,616	13¢	$1,000	0xd58416…
07-14 22:21:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0xa0474f…
07-13 17:36:10	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	Yes	BUY	2,662	38¢	$1,010	0xe97523…
06-18 22:24:55	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	122	48¢	$59	0x7b838e…
06-18 10:27:07	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xd7eb4c…
06-18 00:18:01	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1,106	18¢	$200	0xc35063…
06-17 04:11:07	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	184	38¢	$70	0xb1d600…
06-17 00:14:55	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	206	34¢	$70	0x8cbbdf…
06-16 14:18:10	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x2af01f…
06-15 13:46:40	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 3pt5	Over	BUY	178	45¢	$80	0x27bf3b…
06-15 13:43:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,387	2¢	$186	0x531b65…
06-13 23:24:15	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Türkiye	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x5c9e9d…
06-13 23:21:01	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xdeb0ed…
06-13 06:01:03	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x415c4f…
06-13 05:55:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x3e6109…
06-13 05:53:13	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 corners total 9pt5	Over	SELL	213	47¢	$100	0x19dfd7…
06-13 05:52:09	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	SELL	211	39¢	$82	0xa7d316…
06-13 04:19:01	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	211	38¢	$80	0xc8ada1…
06-13 04:16:27	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x49a5d3…
06-12 21:30:12	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	246	41¢	$100	0x50df5a…
06-12 20:58:54	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 corners total 9pt5	Over	SELL	233	100¢	$232	0x932f43…
06-12 17:11:54	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1b12a1…
06-12 17:10:16	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xb02f1c…
06-12 06:01:00	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0x3ccffd…
06-12 01:01:43	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0x10808b…
06-11 16:15:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x13f665…
06-11 16:14:51	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x6e8a46…
06-11 16:14:07	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	SELL	551	38¢	$209	0x9a7486…
06-11 15:55:30	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x8e37b8…
06-11 15:52:21	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	551	39¢	$215	0x1096bf…
06-08 11:06:52	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	2,140	9¢	$200	0xc97c5c…
06-05 10:15:33	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,137	13¢	$900	0x80a951…
06-05 09:24:03	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	328	30¢	$100	0x8d0045…
06-05 09:03:04	will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	Yes	SELL	1,908	2¢	$37	0xdb3804…
06-02 15:28:47	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,147	9¢	$100	0x7cb930…
06-02 15:28:40	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	775	13¢	$100	0xbcb855…
06-01 10:33:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	15¢	$300	0x98e735…
06-01 10:31:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,908	16¢	$300	0x69bee4…
05-31 15:49:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	615	97¢	$594	0x750cc3…
05-30 14:15:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	730	14¢	$100	0xc90f31…
05-30 14:15:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$100	0x992027…
05-30 03:32:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	2,565	0¢	$7	0x3b2f3a…
05-30 03:32:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0x2a0244…
05-30 03:32:05	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	3,704	1¢	$21	0x6bf72f…
05-30 02:50:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	811	22¢	$176	0x83ffea…
05-30 02:50:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,292	5¢	$118	0xdfbd3a…
05-29 23:45:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,451	7¢	$100	0x0fd73a…
05-29 23:40:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x0e4a01…
05-28 21:11:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	615	65¢	$400	0x6a845f…
05-28 21:10:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	3,704	3¢	$100	0x012360…
05-28 21:10:13	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xf89ef0…
05-28 21:10:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	2,565	4¢	$100	0x3096f1…
05-28 13:38:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,056	3¢	$53	0xc688e0…
05-28 03:48:09	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0x7bad05…
05-28 03:40:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,098	9¢	$100	0x2c1745…
05-28 03:34:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,056	5¢	$100	0xc2bbc0…
05-28 03:33:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	452	22¢	$100	0x8c8186…
05-28 03:33:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xace683…
05-28 03:29:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,297	19¢	$248	0xa67f5c…
05-28 03:28:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,136	100¢	$1,135	0xdc253c…
05-27 16:52:51	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x418a5f…
05-27 16:52:06	Will Trump say "Ebola" or "COVID" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0xe11ce9…
05-27 16:32:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,292	13¢	$300	0x0218dc…
05-27 16:32:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	811	37¢	$300	0x508114…
05-27 16:16:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,297	39¢	$500	0xbe1770…
05-27 16:16:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,136	44¢	$500	0x5211ed…
05-23 13:06:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	507	15¢	$76	0x407996…
05-23 13:05:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,250	6¢	$78	0x6c1f53…
05-23 11:02:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x2e3d7a…
05-23 11:01:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	858	12¢	$103	0x723fd8…
05-23 09:55:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0xdc3ce4…
05-23 09:52:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	6,458	0¢	$19	0x289c33…
05-23 02:07:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	4,550	1¢	$68	0x8889f0…
05-23 02:06:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	733	15¢	$110	0x6a1d1f…
05-23 00:53:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	652	5¢	$30	0xb93e2f…
05-23 00:16:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	1,072	7¢	$70	0x3e1150…
05-23 00:16:30	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,352	5¢	$71	0x7a8611…
05-23 00:15:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	185	6¢	$12	0xa84ed7…
05-23 00:14:49	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	357	3¢	$11	0x462292…
05-22 15:59:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	2,071	1¢	$28	0xf7a6e7…
05-22 14:53:44	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	357	4¢	$15	0x25a72f…
05-22 14:53:14	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	134	8¢	$10	0x1da844…
05-22 14:51:36	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?	Yes	SELL	575	0¢	$2	0xfc37e8…
05-22 00:32:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	2,071	7¢	$145	0xc6e234…
05-22 00:31:50	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,486	10¢	$150	0x27c5f4…
05-21 23:49:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	503	3¢	$16	0xcc6c8e…
05-21 23:49:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,815	1¢	$15	0x80b60f…
05-21 18:31:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	503	8¢	$40	0x7fc226…
05-21 18:30:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,815	11¢	$300	0x99426d…
05-21 18:27:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	442	11¢	$50	0x4a875f…
05-21 18:27:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	1,429	6¢	$85	0xd3424e…
05-21 18:27:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	1,600	13¢	$209	0x675621…
05-21 14:35:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	442	14¢	$60	0x58ff2f…