Yellow-Tog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

288

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$3.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-14 14:36
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 13:42
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:48
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 10:28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-26 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:03
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:58
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:18
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 02:45
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:08
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:13
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:45
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 03:42
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:07
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:39
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:18
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:06
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:45
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:00
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:51
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fb44d…
10-27 07:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x774f27…
10-26 05:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b2df0…
10-24 06:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb8613…
10-23 07:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd9c20…
10-21 08:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x727109…
10-19 06:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86c7e1…
10-18 07:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7b629…
10-17 07:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0677b…
10-16 05:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb3f87…
10-15 06:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72e1fc…
10-14 07:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe66390…
10-13 05:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2b9a8…
10-12 04:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x870605…
10-11 03:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x742ec3…
10-08 05:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54109a…
10-07 08:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc12cd2…
10-06 07:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecf491…
10-04 08:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53fe5b…
10-03 04:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb41b1…
10-02 07:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e6830…
10-02 03:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8aaec4…
10-01 07:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf40aaa…
09-30 09:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbee543…
09-29 08:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c732a…
09-28 08:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9dc059…
09-27 02:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ce969…
09-25 07:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c7909…
09-24 06:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb03af7…
09-23 05:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc81dbc…
09-22 06:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5247e…
09-21 08:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc267c4…
09-20 03:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a0eda…
09-19 06:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x962a0f…
09-18 01:11:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcddd44…
09-17 03:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3eda8a…
09-16 08:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd4831…
09-15 23:35:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf8d35…
09-15 02:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3b155…
09-14 02:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e8eae…
09-13 12:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6afc26…
09-12 08:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef4aec…
09-11 06:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c0f92…
09-10 01:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x430839…
09-09 01:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa22f8e…
09-08 01:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd322da…
09-07 01:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb12c58…
09-06 01:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf973d8…
09-05 09:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d4f6d…
09-04 08:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f36fa…
09-03 01:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x623df7…
09-01 01:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa54f5e…
08-30 00:15:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53caa2…
08-29 05:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2499f2…
08-28 01:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53eaee…
08-27 01:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2c09a9…
08-26 02:03:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9a711…
08-25 06:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6d0c6…
08-24 07:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf4c65…
08-23 07:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x960e38…
08-22 06:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6cfe74…
08-21 01:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53a891…
08-20 05:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf70b9…
08-19 07:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7ee2b…
08-18 00:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2750c5…
08-17 06:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fe34c…
08-16 10:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4df372…
08-15 02:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb2cfe…
08-14 06:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecb837…
08-13 00:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd45c6…
08-12 06:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa27448…
08-11 00:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb7324…
08-10 00:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b1331…
08-09 07:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf41ddf…
08-09 00:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadc9ef…
08-08 07:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b15f4…
08-07 00:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9d6fe…
08-06 00:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x624d53…
08-05 00:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f1069…
08-04 03:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c35f6…
08-03 00:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1150a7…
08-02 00:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6dd328…
08-01 00:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62925b…
07-31 07:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ecb99…
07-30 00:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed21ae…
07-29 01:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50124b…
07-28 00:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdff2f6…
07-27 07:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0eed8…
07-26 01:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0726c6…
07-25 00:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66f718…
07-24 01:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2deb16…
07-23 01:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f9ee6…
07-22 01:34:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82e1eb…
07-20 23:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7898a4…
07-19 22:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb2333…
07-18 22:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e57b0…
07-17 23:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x575d06…
07-17 01:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8240cc…
07-16 08:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x977d6b…
07-15 21:40:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1866c6…