Hard-Rifle — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$243

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

140

1,094 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$6.91K

$59.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$31

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 11-01 02:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Other

96% 39% -$1,886

Sports

2% 86% -$72

Crypto

2% 75% -$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+71	$10	16¢	$12	+$2	09-21 15:23
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+45	$10	22¢	$10	+$0	09-21 15:23
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+67	$10	13¢	$9	-$1	09-21 15:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK end in a draw?	5	$4.5K	3,455	3,455	+0	Yes	+$2,380	08-18 21:12
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-08-16?	8	$2.1K	2,191	2,191	+0	Yes	+$1,008	10-19 21:07
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Académico de Viseu FC end in a draw?	8	$2.0K	1,838	1,838	+0	Yes	+$1,689	08-09 21:35
Will Juventus Turin win on 2026-08-05?	2	$1.9K	1,425	1,425	+0	Yes	+$991	08-05 13:41
Will FC København win on 2026-08-06?	6	$1.4K	881	881	+0	Yes	+$372	08-06 20:42
Will FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda end in a draw?	4	$1.0K	3,585	0	+3,585	No	-$1,001	08-13 09:41
Will NEC win on 2026-08-19?	4	$1.0K	2,860	0	+2,860	No	-$1,001	08-19 11:27
Will SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?	13	$981	2,106	1,943	+163	No	-$47	10-19 21:05
Will FK Auda win on 2026-08-13?	4	$959	3,586	0	+3,586	No	-$959	08-13 09:41
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?	4	$904	1,586	0	+1,586	Yes	+$682	08-05 13:44
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-18?	5	$892	3,185	0	+3,185	No	-$892	08-18 13:45
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?	5	$736	670	670	+0	Yes	+$602	08-22 14:10
Will Tottenham Hotspur vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?	5	$719	585	585	+0	Yes	+$439	08-08 17:21
Will NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?	11	$714	2,856	0	+2,856	No	-$714	08-19 11:28
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	5	$696	1,050	1,050	+0	No	-$612	10-19 20:58
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-31?	2	$577	377	377	+0	Yes	+$177	08-31 21:43
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag end in a draw?	3	$554	500	500	+0	Yes	+$445	08-30 14:28
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?	2	$534	435	435	+0	Yes	+$334	08-30 14:28
Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	5	$503	2,515	0	+2,515	No	-$503	08-09 11:53
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-08-20?	9	$479	2,177	0	+2,177	No	-$479	08-20 11:56
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-12?	1	$471	541	0	+541	Yes	+$70	08-12 14:00
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-29?	5	$449	371	371	+0	Yes	+$293	08-29 16:01
Will SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?	5	$426	1,852	0	+1,852	Yes	+$1,426	08-17 11:39
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-08-09?	4	$398	2,522	0	+2,522	No	-$398	08-09 11:54
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	8	$395	324	324	+0	No	+$15	05-15 14:20
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	5	$390	1,792	1,000	+792	No	-$190	08-30 20:25
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$378	548	548	+0	No	+$71	05-06 13:37
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	2	$376	296	296	+0	Yes	+$216	09-06 16:19
Will Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	5	$375	2,536	2,536	+0	No	-$335	08-30 20:09
Will Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?	8	$372	1,378	0	+1,378	No	-$372	09-03 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:23:22	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x52db9a…
11-01 02:22:18	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	104	67¢	$70	0xe4d7c2…
10-26 09:55:42	Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	1,050	0¢	$1	0xe56002…
10-25 14:58:32	Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	SELL	156	3¢	$5	0xba17f8…
10-25 14:46:26	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	37	69¢	$26	0x7bb45e…
10-25 14:45:17	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	48	66¢	$32	0x37fa11…
10-25 14:44:45	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	74	50¢	$37	0x991e31…
10-25 12:29:17	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x968b43…
10-24 23:21:42	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e3c7a…
10-24 22:25:17	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x98409b…
10-24 21:00:41	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	51	42¢	$22	0xc29331…
10-24 20:43:23	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xb6d6ab…
10-24 18:42:00	Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x55297f…
10-24 18:41:09	Will Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xb4e7dc…
10-24 18:03:38	Will Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0x260808…
10-24 18:03:30	Will Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	81	44¢	$36	0x85a4c4…
10-24 17:16:38	Will Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	93	29¢	$27	0x994ba1…
10-24 17:16:27	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	207	48¢	$99	0x7f9014…
10-24 15:43:08	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	207	29¢	$60	0x49c50d…
10-24 15:42:54	Will Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x46a9a2…
10-24 15:40:00	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0x32e85c…
10-24 10:27:11	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0x94dea9…
10-24 10:25:06	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	45	46¢	$21	0xa4f101…
10-24 10:24:41	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0x2177c1…
10-24 10:24:11	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x0997d8…
10-24 10:22:35	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	68	43¢	$29	0x435455…
10-22 01:37:38	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xec4558…
10-22 01:37:08	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x8730f6…
10-22 01:36:24	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x07abac…
10-22 01:36:11	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc59a1a…
10-22 01:35:21	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x25b8f1…
10-22 01:33:41	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x4f8105…
10-22 01:33:11	Will LASK Linz win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x5d0eb7…
10-22 01:32:02	ucl bog lil 2026 11 03 bog	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x1b2b7f…
10-22 01:31:39	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x358e53…
10-20 01:31:30	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x723a1d…
10-20 01:30:53	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x3e4c7d…
10-20 01:30:14	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x922e2e…
10-20 01:30:00	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x077127…
10-20 01:29:35	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x9d0882…
10-20 01:28:21	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x6cb1a5…
10-20 01:25:17	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x5b4574…
10-20 01:24:23	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x2297f5…
10-20 01:23:51	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xb280b9…
10-20 01:23:14	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x79af10…
10-20 01:22:35	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x590042…
10-20 01:22:21	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xff2c82…
10-20 01:21:33	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xdadfac…
10-20 01:21:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xa5b974…
10-20 01:19:57	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x9f658d…
10-20 01:19:36	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x3d3b50…
10-20 01:19:03	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x643377…
10-20 01:17:44	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x31b5f6…
10-20 01:17:02	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xd80040…
10-20 01:16:36	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf65dfa…
10-20 01:16:30	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x386d03…
10-19 21:07:46	Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	SELL	253	86¢	$218	0xe1d142…
10-19 21:05:04	Will SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x721033…
10-19 21:03:48	Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xf5545f…
10-19 21:03:36	Will SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x9ebfe5…
10-19 21:03:25	Will SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xf5b870…
10-19 20:58:06	Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	SELL	1,050	4¢	$42	0xcf3616…
10-19 20:55:27	Will SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,943	24¢	$467	0x22a862…
10-19 20:54:57	Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	SELL	1,937	68¢	$1,318	0x468d95…
10-19 19:36:35	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	149	77¢	$115	0xb7674f…
10-19 08:28:27	Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	357	62¢	$221	0x11af23…
10-19 08:24:26	Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	315	62¢	$196	0x593f7c…
10-19 00:30:24	Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x2778ad…
10-19 00:29:03	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	38	80¢	$30	0x62611e…
10-18 00:36:11	Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0x038b35…
10-17 14:33:42	Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9946fb…
10-17 14:33:14	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xf175bd…
10-17 14:29:44	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf227b1…
10-17 14:29:15	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdf13b8…
10-17 14:28:42	Will Venezia FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x80c8f3…
10-17 14:26:30	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	167	52¢	$87	0x72dc5b…
10-17 14:24:39	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	164	61¢	$100	0x88eb7f…
10-14 00:45:10	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x53fa80…
10-14 00:44:07	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb3489b…
10-14 00:43:21	Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)	Feyenoord Rotterdam	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x647d38…
10-13 18:31:39	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0173b9…
10-13 18:31:30	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xd341aa…
10-13 18:31:18	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x96d568…
10-13 18:30:27	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	193	29¢	$56	0x847abf…
10-13 18:30:18	Will Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	214	28¢	$60	0x80e04f…
10-11 17:55:19	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xac3689…
10-11 17:50:00	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	72	47¢	$34	0xe32cd4…
10-10 19:04:03	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	72	49¢	$35	0xc897c9…
10-10 19:02:28	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xcd8a5a…
10-10 19:01:54	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x159482…
10-10 18:59:54	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x052e67…
10-10 18:48:12	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x754113…
10-10 18:30:15	Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0x95e28f…
10-10 17:59:52	Will CS Marítimo win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	209	8¢	$16	0xa05016…
10-10 17:59:45	Will CS Marítimo vs. FC Porto end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	206	27¢	$56	0xfab986…
10-05 00:09:56	Will CS Marítimo vs. FC Porto end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9d2b79…
10-05 00:09:49	Will CS Marítimo vs. FC Porto end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd96d7e…
10-05 00:09:38	Will CS Marítimo vs. FC Porto end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf1647a…
10-05 00:09:23	Will CS Marítimo win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	209	11¢	$23	0x951ced…
10-05 00:09:13	Will CS Marítimo vs. FC Porto end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	186	20¢	$37	0xb7ad5c…