Visible-Strike — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

Trades

348

lifetime

Volume

$3.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-28 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 61% +$10

Other

14% 40% $-88

Politics

4% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$332	261	254	+6	open	—	04-26 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$213	113	112	+1	open	—	04-26 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$198	133	130	+3	open	—	04-26 08:35
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	3	$184	123	106	+17	G2	+$28	05-12 15:12
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	10	$132	129,485	0	+129,485	open	—	04-19 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$87	60	58	+2	open	—	04-26 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$77	85	0	+85	open	—	04-26 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$72	54	42	+11	open	—	04-26 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$66	46	39	+7	open	—	04-26 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$57	40	31	+9	open	—	04-26 06:25
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$55	74	0	+74	paiN	$-55	05-12 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$54	34	34	+0	Up	+$14	05-12 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$51	44	41	+2	open	—	04-25 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$49	30	29	+1	open	—	04-26 08:30
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$48	31	31	+0	B8	+$8	05-12 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$44	81	21	+60	open	—	04-26 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$42	32	21	+11	open	—	04-26 07:45
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	4	$40	27	27	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$14	05-12 17:26
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs	1	$40	62	0	+62	Donstu Esports	$-40	05-12 19:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	1	$40	91	0	+91	open	—	04-27 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$34	32	30	+2	open	—	04-25 05:45
btc updown 5m 1777019700	2	$31	22	21	+1	open	—	04-24 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$31	35	33	+2	open	—	04-26 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$30	21	20	+1	open	—	04-26 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	5	$30	34	33	+2	open	—	04-25 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$30	18	18	+0	open	—	04-26 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$29	21	20	+1	open	—	04-26 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$29	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	5	$28	35	34	+1	open	—	04-26 06:54
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	2	$26	16	16	+0	Lavked	+$6	05-12 21:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 13:39:44	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals Playoffs	SemperFi Esports	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0xe22db4…
05-28 12:30:38	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	Heroic	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x77780f…
05-28 12:27:45	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xe6a9a5…
05-13 18:34:00	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x7124c7…
05-13 16:50:59	LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs	Ici Japon Corp. Esport	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x40103c…
05-13 16:33:53	Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FUT Esports	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x50d97a…
05-13 04:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3295f6…
05-13 04:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2cbfa2…
05-12 21:08:18	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FUT Esports	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x226c56…
05-12 21:06:33	Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Lavked	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf2e8c6…
05-12 19:22:01	Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xcf59cc…
05-12 19:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd4b849…
05-12 19:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x5de164…
05-12 19:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x827308…
05-12 19:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4c6953…
05-12 19:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2dee69…
05-12 19:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa983c2…
05-12 19:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1084f9…
05-12 19:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x150889…
05-12 19:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4540b8…
05-12 19:00:47	Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Lavked	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x56aa14…
05-12 18:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6e6656…
05-12 18:53:07	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FUT Esports	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xba8111…
05-12 18:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xda3607…
05-12 18:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x04b1e3…
05-12 18:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x18bfd8…
05-12 18:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3b9cad…
05-12 18:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfa98f4…
05-12 18:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9fdaae…
05-12 18:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x50fabf…
05-12 18:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc4766b…
05-12 18:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb28688…
05-12 18:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd10dcf…
05-12 18:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8b26f2…
05-12 18:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x11e3a8…
05-12 17:26:08	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Gujarat Titans	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x0edd86…
05-12 16:30:57	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Gujarat Titans	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x53d1c2…
05-12 16:12:28	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Gujarat Titans	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x837d1d…
05-12 16:12:28	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Gujarat Titans	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1ab8d2…
05-12 16:11:00	Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	B8	SELL	31	89¢	$28	0x0e3c34…
05-12 15:13:33	Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	B8	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xb4deb9…
05-12 15:12:38	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x5fa608…
05-12 13:07:05	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x646881…
05-12 12:33:22	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	BUY	106	66¢	$70	0x9da416…
05-12 11:23:20	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x320405…
05-12 11:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x427a3b…
05-12 11:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7d3b66…
05-12 11:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x980c6e…
05-12 11:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x42491a…
05-12 11:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x392ce5…
05-12 11:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe680f1…
05-07 21:02:10	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x0e6c39…
05-07 20:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x64b3ca…
05-07 20:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9347e8…
05-07 20:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x76fcd6…
05-07 20:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe69a35…
05-07 20:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2505b1…
05-07 20:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd879ac…
05-07 20:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4836df…
05-07 20:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa1cb10…
05-07 20:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6b18be…
05-07 20:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdb5a93…
05-07 20:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf7fa50…
05-07 20:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8b4a08…
04-29 06:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf36766…
04-29 05:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4054d9…
04-29 05:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc32780…
04-29 05:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6f2444…
04-29 05:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0dcb29…
04-29 05:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa9b29f…
04-29 04:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x93314c…
04-29 04:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x535627…
04-29 04:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf4a1d4…
04-29 04:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa2e38d…
04-28 18:31:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0cf4ed…
04-28 18:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x27fc41…
04-28 18:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf5b1ee…
04-28 18:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4e0656…
04-28 16:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x9afc7d…
04-28 13:35:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x840fa4…
04-28 13:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa06421…
04-28 13:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf1eeb6…
04-28 13:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xba4964…
04-28 13:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x233fba…
04-28 13:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfa4e1b…
04-28 13:11:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb574db…
04-28 13:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe29c36…
04-28 13:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa8b1f4…
04-28 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xee34bf…
04-28 13:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x751660…
04-28 13:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9d8c0b…
04-28 11:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe1f596…
04-28 11:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc2202c…
04-28 10:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x480110…
04-28 10:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcfe55c…
04-27 06:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x994aed…
04-27 06:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xef1610…
04-27 06:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xefbb9d…
04-27 06:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x99ce6b…
04-27 06:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6b7517…