Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$135

Unrealized P&L

-$480

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

Trades

176

lifetime

Volume

$18.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

$1.33K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-18 21:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% 25% $-135

Crypto

29% — —

Politics

10% — —

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+4,037	$1,813	33¢	$1.3K	$-480	07-17 18:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	9	$3.3K	3,242	3,242	+0	open	—	07-13 14:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$1.8K	4,037	0	+4,037	open	—	07-17 18:53
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	8	$1.5K	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	04-02 15:22
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	2	$1.4K	894	894	+0	open	—	07-07 17:46
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	17	$1.4K	1,206	1,206	+0	open	—	04-26 08:17
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	16	$1.0K	1,610	1,610	+0	open	—	06-11 20:24
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$610	370	370	+0	open	—	07-01 18:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$579	1,830	1,830	+0	open	—	06-11 20:09
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	2	$382	306	305	+1	No	+$9	03-18 14:42
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 1pt5	2	$361	290	290	+0	open	—	07-09 21:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	8	$340	868	77	+791	open	—	04-07 21:00
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	2	$326	228	228	+0	open	—	06-29 19:09
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 total 1pt5	2	$324	227	227	+0	open	—	03-11 19:50
epl ars eve 2026 03 14 total 1pt5	2	$317	217	217	+0	open	—	03-14 19:31
epl ars eve 2026 03 14 ars	5	$300	200	200	+0	open	—	03-14 19:31
epl mun ast 2026 03 15 total 1pt5	3	$300	200	200	+0	open	—	03-15 15:33
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 total 2pt5	2	$278	178	178	+0	open	—	03-22 21:19
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	14	$250	214	214	+0	open	—	03-22 21:40
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	4	$196	208	208	+0	open	—	03-23 06:09
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	2	$196	227	223	+4	open	—	04-25 15:51
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	2	$186	434	434	+0	No	$-13	03-17 21:23
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	2	$160	101	101	+0	open	—	07-04 19:11
epl bou mun 2026 03 20 total 1pt5	2	$159	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 21:34
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 total 2pt5	2	$154	256	0	+256	open	—	04-04 15:16
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	1	$149	290	0	+290	open	—	07-02 23:58
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$140	100	100	+0	open	—	07-01 23:04
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	2	$137	101	99	+2	open	—	04-12 16:47
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 bar	2	$126	78	77	+1	open	—	04-04 20:56
bitcoin above 64k on july 17 2026	5	$103	80	80	+0	open	—	07-17 06:40
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 total 1pt5	1	$102	248	0	+248	open	—	04-07 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 21:38:49	bitcoin above 64k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	333	29¢	$97	0xe4640e…
07-17 18:53:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	33¢	$24	0xfa3192…
07-17 16:00:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xb0d99e…
07-17 14:26:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	33¢	$26	0xc474bf…
07-17 12:06:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x721a83…
07-17 09:33:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0xa9975d…
07-17 06:40:19	bitcoin above 64k on july 17 2026	No	SELL	80	90¢	$72	0x33b43d…
07-17 06:12:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	33¢	$33	0x0bdb5f…
07-16 20:13:50	bitcoin above 64k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x01c4d3…
07-16 20:11:23	bitcoin above 64k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xfdd78d…
07-16 20:02:58	bitcoin above 64k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0x922cbd…
07-16 19:57:01	bitcoin above 64k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xfdfccc…
07-14 12:43:49	bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0x323a4c…
07-13 15:51:41	bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	38	38¢	$14	0x4812f7…
07-13 15:44:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,409	46¢	$1,568	0x9a0b96…
07-13 15:41:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	329	44¢	$146	0xbb905e…
07-13 14:57:46	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	SELL	3,232	57¢	$1,842	0x11d796…
07-13 14:55:20	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x32a665…
07-13 11:59:46	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	283	56¢	$159	0x5d1ac5…
07-13 11:54:44	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xc87ffd…
07-13 11:50:41	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	590	55¢	$324	0x20f257…
07-12 15:27:25	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0x57d96a…
07-12 15:26:34	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	1,114	41¢	$457	0xdb01b8…
07-12 15:20:22	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0x2800c8…
07-12 15:20:04	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	959	41¢	$393	0x8b8d6d…
07-11 21:54:17	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xf24a5d…
07-10 20:43:50	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x897de1…
07-09 21:28:05	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	290	71¢	$207	0xbbc8de…
07-09 20:56:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	290	53¢	$154	0xcd0f5b…
07-07 20:53:41	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	236	40¢	$94	0xb430d5…
07-07 17:46:40	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	894	100¢	$893	0x8358fc…
07-07 16:55:31	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	894	55¢	$492	0x4f601d…
07-06 19:55:02	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x192df6…
07-05 20:56:47	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x3b4988…
07-05 20:54:50	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	57	55¢	$31	0x058fdc…
07-04 21:56:31	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0x789d26…
07-04 19:11:02	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xfd143f…
07-04 17:59:43	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	101	59¢	$60	0x0de70b…
07-03 23:43:34	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x56b0ec…
07-02 23:58:20	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	290	51¢	$149	0x39daca…
07-01 23:04:23	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8ce312…
07-01 21:07:56	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x39a95e…
07-01 18:03:32	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	SELL	370	100¢	$370	0x01e05c…
07-01 16:58:52	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	370	65¢	$240	0x89d4fc…
06-29 21:26:26	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	180	55¢	$99	0xafc888…
06-29 21:25:28	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	45	65¢	$29	0xae62ef…
06-29 19:09:08	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	228	100¢	$228	0xeecabb…
06-29 18:06:02	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	228	43¢	$98	0x99e258…
06-23 23:58:44	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	90	48¢	$43	0x506538…
06-23 23:58:29	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xd52559…
06-23 23:58:04	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x317509…
06-23 23:57:34	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe7404f…
06-23 23:57:14	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x5e5db7…
06-23 23:57:13	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	69	48¢	$33	0x533d15…
06-23 20:58:25	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	214	46¢	$98	0xe22b5a…
06-15 17:53:09	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x71c225…
06-14 21:01:24	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	224	45¢	$101	0x237e0d…
06-13 11:43:21	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	83	50¢	$42	0xf6f3fc…
06-11 20:24:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xc3953f…
06-11 20:23:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x7650f6…
06-11 20:22:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	81	37¢	$30	0x5ef816…
06-11 20:19:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x4497dd…
06-11 20:19:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xcd74ec…
06-11 20:19:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	221	37¢	$82	0xd00cd7…
06-11 20:14:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x34e5a5…
06-11 20:14:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x5fe4db…
06-11 20:14:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xd52ba3…
06-11 20:14:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xbb1200…
06-11 20:14:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	1,000	38¢	$380	0xb726ef…
06-11 20:14:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	235	38¢	$89	0xe1fead…
06-11 20:09:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,830	18¢	$332	0xbedf59…
06-06 15:14:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	310	15¢	$46	0x416553…
06-06 15:13:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xcd519a…
06-04 12:13:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	710	16¢	$114	0xdcbf65…
06-04 12:12:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	361	29¢	$104	0xff9d98…
06-04 12:12:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	839	30¢	$252	0x17dcde…
06-04 12:12:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x2095ef…
06-02 15:55:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	620	15¢	$93	0xc2e898…
05-10 16:32:42	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	206	48¢	$99	0x16ba4a…
05-05 19:59:08	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	73	44¢	$32	0x9fc786…
04-26 08:17:30	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	206	50¢	$103	0x412eb3…
04-25 15:57:56	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	206	46¢	$95	0x5ddb69…
04-25 15:51:24	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	SELL	223	43¢	$96	0xa05814…
04-25 15:47:22	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x5abf9b…
04-19 16:19:26	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x53b2f3…
04-14 20:21:10	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xe62f51…
04-14 20:21:08	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0x768b83…
04-14 20:21:08	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x38e482…
04-14 20:21:00	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x386d82…
04-14 00:24:23	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	47	60¢	$28	0x142b72…
04-14 00:20:27	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x383c01…
04-14 00:20:19	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x1817c2…
04-14 00:01:03	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xa421ac…
04-13 23:54:17	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x3435ae…
04-13 23:45:49	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xa02e78…
04-13 23:42:15	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x788236…
04-13 23:36:29	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x85ed2f…
04-13 23:24:03	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x692373…
04-13 23:19:07	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x4a0309…
04-13 23:16:15	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x8ece46…