Foolish-Standoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-11 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Crypto

42% 50% $-2

Politics

16% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	05-11 02:30
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-28 03:59
ethereum above 2700 on april 24	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-24 07:22
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 360 379	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-20 03:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	1	$95	96	+96	open	—	04-13 03:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 3	1	$95	96	+96	open	—	04-03 07:56
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-29 02:39
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-23 08:17
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 520 539	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-14 09:05
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	02-12 09:12
bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	06-11 02:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	05-15 10:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	05-13 06:39
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	02-04 09:56
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 100 119	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	01-31 11:17
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 220 239	1	$78	79	+79	open	—	01-28 02:11
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 260 279	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	01-24 03:58
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 280 299	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	01-19 07:36
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 340 359	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	01-10 02:27
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	1	$65	65	+65	open	—	03-08 11:12
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 8	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-08 11:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	No	$-2	05-13 06:34
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-10 02:22
will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-10 02:22
will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-10 02:23
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-10 02:22
will alibaba have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-10 02:22
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-10 02:20
will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-10 02:22
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-10 02:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 02:51:40	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x01b964…
05-15 10:40:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x188bab…
05-13 06:39:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x777192…
05-13 06:34:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0x94acae…
05-11 02:30:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x6eba54…
04-28 03:59:50	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xc90b7b…
04-24 07:22:52	ethereum above 2700 on april 24	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x903d29…
04-20 03:06:48	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 360 379	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x2c0573…
04-13 03:26:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0xbf7363…
04-03 07:56:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 3	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0x395f1f…
03-29 02:39:32	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xaa118a…
03-23 08:17:35	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x02bbe5…
03-14 09:05:59	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 520 539	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x269fa0…
03-08 11:12:03	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xcb7f27…
03-08 11:10:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 8	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7b973f…
02-12 09:12:25	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x07ab53…
02-04 09:56:00	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x54936d…
01-31 11:17:32	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 100 119	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xb786b3…
01-28 02:11:01	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 220 239	No	BUY	79	100¢	$78	0xc0dbae…
01-24 03:58:44	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 260 279	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x183c5f…
01-19 07:36:44	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 280 299	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xce7389…
01-10 02:27:16	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 340 359	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x2a1e11…
01-10 02:23:16	will zai have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa143f…
01-10 02:23:08	will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe6fca3…
01-10 02:23:02	will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbcea2f…
01-10 02:22:58	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa1bdc1…
01-10 02:22:44	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6cbe96…
01-10 02:22:34	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd5f006…
01-10 02:22:22	will mistral have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x52c87f…
01-10 02:22:16	will alibaba have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3a2b60…
01-10 02:22:12	will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e2e1d…
01-10 02:22:02	will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x96a9d9…
01-10 02:21:56	will openai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x438ab0…
01-10 02:20:12	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe4d626…
01-10 02:20:06	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe02e76…
01-10 02:20:00	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x414a4a…
01-10 02:19:40	will israel strike gaza on january 9 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x07f6af…