Cautious-Hatchling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$303

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

430

Trades

575

lifetime

Volume

$1.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 11-07 05:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Other

100% 37% +$307

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?	3	$27	16	16	+0	No	-$3	06-24 05:57
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 7?	2	$22	19	19	+0	Yes	+$14	08-07 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6?	4	$19	13	13	+0	Yes	+$5	08-06 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 15?	2	$19	11	11	+0	No	-$1	06-15 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 7?	2	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	08-07 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	2	$16	13	13	+0	Yes	+$7	09-24 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 11?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	06-11 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 11?	3	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	07-11 00:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?	2	$15	16	16	+0	No	+$7	07-27 00:57
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	3	$14	20	20	+0	Yes	+$8	08-05 08:22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	2	$13	29	29	+0	No	-$5	10-29 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 15?	3	$13	22	10	+12	No	+$2	07-15 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 10?	3	$13	29	29	+0	No	-$2	08-10 02:35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 13?	2	$13	13	13	+0	No	+$8	09-13 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 6?	3	$12	87	0	+87	No	-$12	11-06 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 5?	2	$12	18	18	+0	Yes	$0	09-05 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 15?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	06-15 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 7?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	08-07 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 23?	2	$10	39	0	+39	Yes	+$29	10-23 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	06-18 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 1?	3	$10	33	0	+33	No	-$10	09-01 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	06-23 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 19?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-19 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 15?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	07-15 02:33
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 15?	2	$10	13	0	+13	No	+$3	07-14 23:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 16?	2	$10	13	0	+13	No	+$3	07-16 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 16?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	07-15 23:21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 13?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-13 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	06-23 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 10?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	07-09 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 05:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xd2f816…
11-07 04:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfc436c…
11-07 04:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x9b3f91…
11-07 02:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x239512…
11-07 02:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0xfa5436…
11-07 02:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x5578ee…
11-07 02:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x171ba0…
11-06 07:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x70ad2b…
11-06 06:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x317613…
11-06 03:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x02d247…
11-06 03:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$4	0x4f44e2…
11-06 02:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x1e60d9…
11-05 03:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf56acd…
11-05 03:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x5494e6…
11-05 03:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x0a113b…
11-05 01:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xfc0cc0…
11-04 01:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xfe0348…
11-04 01:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0x9c7343…
11-03 01:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	26	36¢	$10	0x61f62c…
11-02 01:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0xa103f0…
11-01 02:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0x6912af…
11-01 02:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0xf17cb6…
10-31 15:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x3877c4…
10-31 14:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0x0b365a…
10-30 02:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0x824fac…
10-29 07:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x98fc6d…
10-29 06:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x1a81c6…
10-29 02:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x6e6dc9…
10-28 02:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x043b89…
10-27 02:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	24	35¢	$8	0xabd500…
10-27 01:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	31	27¢	$8	0x4dcf63…
10-26 01:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	34	25¢	$8	0xd51dab…
10-26 01:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0x4db2c1…
10-25 01:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	26	33¢	$8	0x2f3f7d…
10-24 15:58:26	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x83991f…
10-24 06:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x25cd23…
10-24 06:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	21	41¢	$8	0x9caf96…
10-23 08:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xfc497f…
10-23 04:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x0ca0c5…
10-23 04:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x537ca9…
10-23 03:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x1d1602…
10-23 03:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xfde327…
10-22 03:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0xe64b50…
10-21 02:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x55e3eb…
10-21 02:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$8	0xd24913…
10-21 01:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0xfcf232…
10-19 02:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	58	13¢	$7	0x209c5d…
10-17 16:02:11	highest temperature in chongqing on october 18 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$8	0xd2ef26…
10-17 07:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	23	33¢	$7	0x05d165…
10-16 03:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x1fb32f…
10-16 02:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0x693e9d…
10-15 04:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xb79800…
10-15 03:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x2de1ed…
10-14 02:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xce7812…
10-14 01:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$2	0x4a7d71…
10-14 01:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0xaec6b8…
10-13 08:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x7b37ec…
10-13 03:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	38	17¢	$6	0x84e20a…
10-12 03:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xc6acdd…
10-12 03:17:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	19	35¢	$6	0xb9f7c8…
10-12 03:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xfd4fef…
10-12 02:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x87d185…
10-10 03:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1d228d…
10-10 03:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0x775160…
10-10 02:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x50e523…
10-10 02:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0xd840a9…
10-09 06:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xba4fe3…
10-09 06:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0x9b0475…
10-09 06:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa782df…
10-08 03:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	19	35¢	$6	0x6da6ff…
10-07 07:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xa99095…
10-07 06:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x27c519…
10-07 06:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	23	28¢	$6	0x796880…
10-07 04:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	17	39¢	$6	0x300362…
10-07 02:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	41	16¢	$6	0x3d3999…
10-05 05:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x5d674d…
10-05 01:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x89831d…
10-04 06:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0x82a8ea…
10-04 03:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	29	19¢	$6	0x0266f6…
10-03 03:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x581e4f…
09-30 05:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x3f3061…
09-30 02:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf76c43…
09-30 02:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4916f9…
09-29 05:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf2bba0…
09-29 04:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0cd3a1…
09-29 01:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x42c2f1…
09-28 04:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0dd390…
09-28 01:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc7719f…
09-27 06:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe83e72…
09-26 04:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xea437f…
09-25 07:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x7aa6ba…
09-24 09:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x971f5f…
09-24 04:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x8e20fe…
09-24 03:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$4	0x888faf…
09-24 02:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$4	0x4e1462…
09-23 03:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x64f431…
09-23 02:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x7f1cf6…
09-23 01:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x56c1cc…
09-23 01:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x7c3392…
09-22 03:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x877f21…