Apprehensive-Bloomer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.89K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$138.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.50K

Open exposure

$3.50K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-12 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

73% 81% -$9,911

Other

23% 83% +$1,452

Sports

4% 85% +$557

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+9,677	$3,000	26¢	$2.6K	-$435	10-12 20:40
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No		+992	$500	94¢	$932	+$432	08-03 17:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$21.6K	18,923	7,465	+11,458	Yes	-$10,557	04-02 08:39
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	4	$15.1K	7,990	7,990	+0	No	+$80	04-02 08:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	3	$10.1K	5,902	5,902	+0	Yes	+$1,672	08-03 17:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	2	$10.1K	5,376	5,376	+0	Yes	+$114	08-10 13:22
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	11	$10.0K	9,537	4,818	+4,719	Yes	-$189	04-16 14:29
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	3	$8.2K	5,850	5,850	+0	No	-$1,894	04-15 13:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$7.3K	3,979	3,979	+0	No	+$589	03-31 17:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	1	$6.9K	8,832	0	+8,832	Yes	+$1,957	08-10 13:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$6.6K	3,460	3,460	+0	No	+$129	03-27 21:32
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	3	$5.8K	6,223	0	+6,223	No	+$433	06-09 01:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$5.5K	2,878	2,878	+0	Yes	+$118	04-02 04:57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$4.9K	6,096	6,096	+0	open	—	09-05 14:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	1	$4.8K	5,671	0	+5,671	No	+$903	04-16 22:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$3.0K	9,677	0	+9,677	open	—	10-12 20:40
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	1	$2.9K	9,255	0	+9,255	Yes	-$2,871	09-05 14:39
nba det okc 2026 03 30	1	$2.5K	2,681	0	+2,681	Thunder	+$172	03-31 02:51
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	2	$2.1K	1,137	1,137	+0	No	+$97	06-16 02:32
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$1.6K	1,892	0	+1,892	No	+$287	05-09 19:44
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1	$1.1K	1,359	0	+1,359	No	+$264	06-16 02:33
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$1.0K	524	524	+0	No	+$14	03-22 19:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1000	1,124	0	+1,124	No	+$124	05-03 18:36
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	2	$957	497	497	+0	No	+$37	04-01 03:49
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	5	$863	460	460	+0	No	+$56	03-15 04:56
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$787	431	431	+0	Yes	+$61	05-09 19:43
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	1	$500	992	0	+992	open	—	08-03 17:23
nba por lac 2026 03 31	2	$414	324	317	+6	Trail Blazers	+$200	04-01 05:12
military action against iran ends by march 20 2026	2	$394	202	202	+0	No	+$8	03-21 15:33
nba por ind 2026 03 18	1	$334	363	0	+363	Trail Blazers	+$29	03-18 23:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	1	$303	337	0	+337	No	+$34	04-01 08:53
nba mil atl 2026 03 14	2	$271	136	136	+0	Hawks	+$2	03-14 21:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 20:40:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	9,677	31¢	$3,000	0x2e2dcd…
09-05 14:39:58	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	9,255	31¢	$2,871	0x02ebe4…
09-05 14:31:31	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,096	47¢	$2,865	0x0594d0…
08-10 13:23:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	8,832	78¢	$6,875	0x881cc7…
08-10 13:22:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	5,376	95¢	$5,114	0xa9fd76…
08-08 05:18:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	5,376	93¢	$5,000	0xc4d66c…
08-03 17:23:12	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	992	50¢	$500	0x82a8f1…
08-03 17:09:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	5,902	100¢	$5,896	0x7332fe…
07-21 05:54:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	4,725	72¢	$3,400	0xbfd0a9…
07-21 05:52:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	1,177	70¢	$824	0xc182cf…
07-10 12:22:16	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,096	33¢	$2,000	0x2c945c…
06-16 02:33:49	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,359	81¢	$1,095	0xcde644…
06-16 02:32:43	Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1,137	97¢	$1,097	0xeb98ac…
06-09 01:38:31	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	BUY	1,954	97¢	$1,890	0x2cd614…
05-09 19:44:46	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1,809	86¢	$1,548	0xffcf58…
05-09 19:43:35	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	431	98¢	$424	0x42a7e5…
05-06 04:59:26	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	84	68¢	$57	0x3288fe…
05-04 14:47:44	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xdc0849…
05-04 10:56:40	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	BUY	3,166	92¢	$2,900	0x0c0e97…
05-03 18:36:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0x3c25a0…
05-03 06:01:38	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	BUY	1,103	91¢	$1,000	0x76cc42…
05-03 06:00:50	Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1,137	88¢	$1,000	0x90cb6f…
04-26 07:12:24	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	116	77¢	$90	0x3c6d59…
04-16 22:37:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	5,671	84¢	$4,768	0x14985d…
04-16 14:29:18	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	268	66¢	$177	0x5c9271…
04-16 14:13:30	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	66¢	$57	0x4d9c70…
04-16 14:09:36	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x623ea0…
04-16 14:09:00	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x990604…
04-16 14:09:00	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x078a0d…
04-16 14:08:34	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	66¢	$2,640	0x701386…
04-16 14:08:32	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	66¢	$28	0xa6abe5…
04-16 14:08:24	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x9d2668…
04-16 14:08:14	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	66¢	$158	0xa29e32…
04-15 13:24:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	5,850	54¢	$3,163	0x2d4a0c…
04-13 19:45:19	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	2,746	92¢	$2,533	0x7eb684…
04-11 09:45:57	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	3,103	81¢	$2,525	0x697979…
04-11 09:45:43	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4,818	52¢	$2,525	0x6ba330…
04-02 08:39:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	8,318	91¢	$7,569	0x9d2506…
04-02 08:38:49	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7,990	95¢	$7,569	0x5c9f11…
04-02 04:57:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	3,140	89¢	$2,794	0x10eb47…
04-02 04:57:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	2,878	97¢	$2,794	0x61dfd3…
04-01 08:53:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	337	90¢	$303	0x9d3f1b…
04-01 05:12:31	nba por lac 2026 03 31	Trail Blazers	SELL	317	96¢	$304	0x4b7d54…
04-01 03:50:17	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,818	90¢	$4,318	0x7bbd32…
04-01 03:49:39	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	497	100¢	$497	0xb85629…
03-31 17:22:37	nba por lac 2026 03 31	Trail Blazers	BUY	324	34¢	$110	0x869f5d…
03-31 17:20:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	3,979	99¢	$3,932	0x26eaa3…
03-31 12:08:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,878	93¢	$2,676	0x84ca6c…
03-31 02:51:07	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Thunder	BUY	2,681	94¢	$2,509	0xe65554…
03-31 02:49:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	3,097	81¢	$2,509	0x130898…
03-30 10:33:42	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	3,097	83¢	$2,571	0x721b21…
03-28 20:39:20	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,579	95¢	$2,447	0xe95c00…
03-27 21:40:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	3,979	84¢	$3,343	0xfac447…
03-27 21:32:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	3,460	97¢	$3,343	0x0d5e61…
03-26 20:26:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	3,239	93¢	$3,012	0x1e3a9d…
03-26 15:13:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	4,368	69¢	$3,012	0xe6f106…
03-26 10:48:09	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,605	95¢	$2,465	0x8ed41b…
03-26 08:06:59	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,805	92¢	$2,578	0xeb27f6…
03-22 20:58:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	3,654	72¢	$2,630	0x6c4a85…
03-22 19:25:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	714	72¢	$514	0x1764d0…
03-22 19:22:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	524	98¢	$514	0xe4cf6d…
03-22 12:11:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	221	91¢	$201	0x5847fb…
03-21 15:33:47	military action against iran ends by march 20 2026	No	SELL	202	100¢	$201	0x1ea6d2…
03-21 10:22:41	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	431	84¢	$363	0x4c3328…
03-18 23:57:47	nba por ind 2026 03 18	Trail Blazers	BUY	363	92¢	$334	0x60f8d0…
03-17 22:26:29	nba det was 2026 03 17	Wizards	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x8ba8bc…
03-17 16:31:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	524	95¢	$500	0xe8c15e…
03-17 02:01:57	nba por bkn 2026 03 16	Trail Blazers	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x188fd9…
03-16 16:45:15	military action against iran ends by march 23 2026	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xa7e640…
03-16 00:35:01	nba por bkn 2026 03 16	Trail Blazers	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x8185d2…
03-15 19:53:11	nba min okc 2026 03 15	Thunder	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xd2b3db…
03-15 17:56:23	nba min okc 2026 03 15	Thunder	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x5f9797…
03-15 04:57:47	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	497	92¢	$460	0xab4b53…
03-15 04:56:41	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	460	100¢	$460	0x30c4d5…
03-15 00:59:07	military action against iran ends by march 20 2026	No	BUY	202	95¢	$193	0x6d4d9c…
03-14 21:31:15	nba mil atl 2026 03 14	Hawks	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xe4437e…
03-14 20:54:11	nba mil atl 2026 03 14	Hawks	BUY	136	99¢	$134	0x7ff217…
03-14 20:37:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0xb4658e…
03-14 16:32:27	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	59	97¢	$58	0x91e4e8…
03-12 19:36:35	nba nyk ind 2026 03 13	Knicks	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xea55e3…
03-11 23:02:05	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0xc1e4ea…
03-11 23:01:11	nba 2025 26 bpg leader victor wembanyama	Yes	SELL	127	96¢	$122	0x4a6347…
03-11 12:12:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	135	96¢	$130	0x248f71…
03-09 00:49:33	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0x543f4d…
03-07 12:40:13	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xc275d5…
03-03 17:45:43	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Lakers	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x43c957…
02-27 22:09:31	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	77¢	$88	0xa5fca9…
02-22 23:13:20	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0x243338…
02-02 00:35:00	amd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 03 2026 1pt32	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x5c5c92…
02-01 18:23:04	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x30b40c…
01-31 05:56:18	nba 2025 26 bpg leader victor wembanyama	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x5c4988…
01-30 14:50:04	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xddf351…