Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
18
lifetime
Volume
$87
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$31
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 06-30 02:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
98% 100% +$1
Politics
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No -9 $-8 90¢ $-8 +$0 06-07 04:18
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-7 84¢ $-8 $-1 06-14 12:45
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 +$0 06-12 10:55
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -5 $-5 93¢ $-5 +$0 06-30 02:11
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -20 $-3 $-2 +$2 06-21 16:06
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -22 $-2 $-1 +$0 06-05 01:53
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 $-2 16¢ $-1 +$1 06-02 11:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -26 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-05 01:57
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 04:11