Grimy-Prize — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$132

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

1,784

Trades

3,450

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-02 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 59% +$94

Other

3% 53% +$39

Sports

2% 39% -$2

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+10	$8	84¢	$8	+$1	08-23 03:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+10	$3	16¢	$2	-$1	08-23 03:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 05:15 UTC	8	$95	245	0	+245	Up	+$26	03-26 05:29
nba cle det 2026 02 27	14	$92	60	55	+5	Pistons	-$5	02-28 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	15	$63	110	0	+110	Down	-$33	05-15 21:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 19:15 UTC	12	$43	69	9	+59	Up	-$1	04-15 19:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:15 UTC	6	$35	40	0	+40	Down	-$20	03-25 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	8	$32	60	0	+60	Down	+$8	05-20 07:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 19:45 UTC	9	$31	53	26	+26	Down	-$2	04-04 19:53
bitcoin up or down march 1 1pm et	7	$31	36	0	+36	Up	+$5	03-01 18:31
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 3am et	9	$29	25	24	+1	Down	+$2	04-10 07:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 17:00 UTC	7	$26	35	0	+35	Down	+$9	03-21 17:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 17:15 UTC	4	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$4	04-10 17:30
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 12am et	5	$25	15	15	+0	Up	+$4	04-16 05:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 05:15 UTC	6	$25	134	0	+134	Up	-$25	03-26 05:29
ethereum up or down june 22 2026 9am et	11	$24	35	15	+20	Up	+$0	06-22 13:33
bnb up or down june 22 2026 9am et	10	$24	35	15	+20	Up	+$1	06-22 13:32
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 21:45 UTC	7	$22	24	10	+14	Up	+$2	04-04 22:00
ethereum up or down june 19 2026 11am et	8	$22	40	5	+35	Up	$0	06-19 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	8	$22	25	15	+10	Down	$0	05-14 03:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 03:15 UTC	7	$22	25	10	+15	Up	+$9	02-09 03:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 13:00 UTC	5	$21	20	10	+10	Up	+$4	04-20 13:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 00:00 UTC	5	$21	15	15	+0	Down	+$4	04-05 00:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 17:30 UTC	7	$21	20	10	+10	Up	+$4	04-03 17:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 00:45 UTC	5	$21	25	0	+25	Down	-$21	01-23 01:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 15:30 UTC	5	$20	15	10	+5	Up	+$3	03-27 15:35
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-21 02:04
will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-21 02:04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	8	$20	30	10	+20	open	—	08-23 03:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 11:00 UTC	9	$20	34	4	+30	Up	-$1	04-04 11:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 03:30 UTC	7	$19	20	15	+5	Down	+$8	02-15 03:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 06:30 UTC	8	$19	40	0	+40	Down	+$21	03-02 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 12:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xecf94a…
10-01 11:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x99676d…
09-22 09:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1bcd5b…
09-22 09:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf28af1…
09-17 20:52:15	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2879a9…
09-17 20:51:55	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7e83de…
09-11 12:30:48	Ethereum Up or Down on September 11?	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe049b2…
09-11 12:30:25	Ethereum Up or Down on September 11?	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa8cea9…
09-05 10:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf55ffe…
09-04 10:41:36	bitcoin up or down september 4 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xce6fb7…
09-04 10:41:10	bitcoin up or down september 4 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8e687d…
08-30 11:30:40	bitcoin up or down august 30 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1f4df1…
08-28 05:16:19	Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xeeded4…
08-28 05:07:54	Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x96504a…
08-27 23:30:25	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9fd3dc…
08-27 23:28:54	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdc4b83…
08-27 23:28:31	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6f6377…
08-27 23:27:36	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8bf36f…
08-27 23:23:37	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xed7efb…
08-27 18:43:40	Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xf7a47b…
08-27 18:42:01	Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0f8be8…
08-27 17:34:21	Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa78846…
08-27 17:19:40	Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x30c440…
08-27 17:18:52	Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4ebe06…
08-27 04:11:45	Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbc2d91…
08-27 04:08:03	Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees	Houston Astros	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6a7fc6…
08-23 03:48:34	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x3e74f1…
08-23 03:48:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x0047d7…
08-23 03:38:57	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb5d748…
08-23 03:38:57	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa1e400…
08-23 02:23:52	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb9b3a8…
08-23 02:23:52	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb33ae4…
08-23 02:23:46	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd2b985…
08-23 02:23:46	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5de7f5…
08-15 22:51:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9d6ac9…
08-15 22:51:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xda4119…
08-15 20:49:40	mlb wsh nym 2026 08 15	New York Mets	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x18f384…
08-15 20:42:57	mlb wsh nym 2026 08 15	Washington Nationals	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x625bca…
08-15 20:42:12	mlb wsh nym 2026 08 15	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1db1f4…
08-15 20:41:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x464415…
08-15 20:40:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6ee017…
08-15 17:56:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x642f86…
08-15 05:35:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4060ee…
08-15 05:35:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xbf48f2…
08-15 02:05:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x959ae6…
08-14 03:08:43	mlb tex laa 2026 08 13	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x799d22…
08-14 03:07:58	mlb tex laa 2026 08 13	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x74981d…
08-14 02:54:49	mlb tex laa 2026 08 13	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x47de91…
08-13 17:41:16	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6e71a7…
08-13 04:15:37	mlb tex laa 2026 08 12	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x47bc16…
08-13 04:14:54	mlb tex laa 2026 08 12	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3a9d06…
08-12 16:13:07	BNB Up or Down on August 12?	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x774ca0…
08-12 14:44:15	bnb up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x572d03…
08-12 10:25:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfff7fe…
08-12 10:25:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x56fce2…
08-12 09:03:33	mlb col ari 2026 08 12	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3fb109…
08-12 08:59:49	mlb kc lad 2026 08 12	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x12b865…
08-12 08:58:58	mlb col ari 2026 08 12	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x99db64…
08-12 07:52:01	mlb kc lad 2026 08 12	Kansas City Royals	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x84ba26…
08-12 07:48:01	mlb kc lad 2026 08 12	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4cf14c…
08-11 05:03:27	bnb up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x040941…
08-11 03:56:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0a48e1…
08-11 00:12:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x53bd9e…
08-10 18:22:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5751a9…
08-10 18:22:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x264ab2…
08-10 17:57:19	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xadf06e…
08-10 17:55:10	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7f362b…
08-10 17:52:01	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xae6666…
08-10 17:51:42	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf32900…
08-10 01:27:46	bnb up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x88af4f…
08-10 00:50:07	bnb up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa3b633…
08-09 21:26:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xba2b31…
08-09 21:26:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe211e3…
08-09 18:36:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xfea545…
08-09 18:36:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x921dc8…
08-09 17:23:04	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbd1c20…
08-09 17:19:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3df74a…
08-09 17:19:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd9318f…
08-09 16:36:36	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x66c16e…
08-09 16:22:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcf98fc…
08-09 16:22:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x19b01e…
08-09 15:55:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x450c16…
08-09 15:54:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x243822…
08-09 15:35:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3ea083…
08-09 15:35:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xdde78b…
08-09 15:20:58	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa087ba…
08-09 15:20:40	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x540fe5…
08-09 15:17:07	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xa41f3e…
08-09 15:15:58	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7b23e2…
08-09 15:05:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x7eaf19…
08-09 15:05:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xae765e…
08-03 21:17:14	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xaaefaa…
08-03 21:16:53	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeb3258…
08-03 01:27:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc79419…
08-03 01:26:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4d981f…
08-02 21:36:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf0d551…
08-02 21:36:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbc368a…
08-02 19:25:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xcbccbe…
08-02 19:25:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x037281…
08-02 07:25:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7c7360…