Cautious-Indicator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$116

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

521

Trades

2,770

lifetime

Volume

$77.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 06-04 09:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 97% $-116

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$210	275	+275	open	—	05-14 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-07 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-08 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Up	+$2	05-07 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-08 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-11 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-07 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Up	+$2	05-11 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Up	+$2	05-11 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-08 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-08 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Up	+$2	05-08 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-08 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-07 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Up	+$2	05-11 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$200	204	+204	Down	+$4	05-08 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$200	204	+204	Up	$-200	05-08 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-11 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$199	201	+201	Up	+$2	05-07 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$199	201	+201	Up	+$2	05-07 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$199	201	+201	Down	+$2	05-11 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$199	201	+201	Down	+$2	05-08 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Up	+$2	05-11 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Up	+$2	05-08 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-08 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$197	199	+199	Up	+$2	05-11 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$197	199	+199	Up	+$2	05-08 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$197	199	+199	Down	+$2	05-08 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$196	198	+198	Up	+$2	05-11 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$196	198	+198	Up	+$2	05-11 18:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 09:49:25	btc updown 5m 1780566300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e3687…
06-04 09:29:31	eth updown 5m 1780565100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa88f0a…
06-04 08:24:19	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc48a5a…
06-04 07:39:34	eth updown 5m 1780558500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75072b…
06-04 07:14:34	eth updown 5m 1780557000	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8aa216…
06-04 07:04:18	btc updown 5m 1780556400	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x42c2e7…
06-04 06:59:39	btc updown 5m 1780556100	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf2a2f1…
06-04 06:54:36	btc updown 5m 1780555800	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc4daa8…
06-04 06:48:46	btc updown 5m 1780555500	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x55c6c2…
06-04 06:44:27	eth updown 5m 1780555200	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcdb68e…
06-04 06:34:18	btc updown 5m 1780554600	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd260bd…
06-04 06:29:39	eth updown 5m 1780554300	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb75914…
06-04 06:24:43	eth updown 5m 1780554000	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x64991e…
06-04 06:24:37	btc updown 5m 1780554000	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7bd0aa…
06-04 06:03:45	eth updown 5m 1780552800	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf8297f…
06-04 05:54:54	eth updown 5m 1780552200	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xee7d9b…
06-04 05:39:43	eth updown 5m 1780551300	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8cc8d1…
06-04 05:29:03	eth updown 5m 1780550700	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x34367b…
06-04 05:19:46	eth updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x11f8f9…
06-04 05:14:43	eth updown 5m 1780549800	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb0cbc2…
06-04 05:09:33	eth updown 5m 1780549500	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4d7afd…
06-04 04:49:49	eth updown 5m 1780548300	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb2af50…
06-04 04:39:40	eth updown 5m 1780547700	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x10f271…
06-04 04:24:33	eth updown 5m 1780546800	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x44a7ab…
06-04 04:09:18	eth updown 5m 1780545900	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7bff1f…
06-04 04:04:30	eth updown 5m 1780545600	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x033cb1…
06-04 04:04:25	btc updown 5m 1780545600	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfb160f…
06-04 03:39:34	eth updown 5m 1780544100	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xab7039…
06-04 03:19:31	eth updown 5m 1780542900	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7cab67…
06-04 01:14:48	eth updown 5m 1780535400	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2e018f…
06-04 01:14:36	btc updown 5m 1780535400	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdb6b07…
06-03 20:04:18	btc updown 5m 1780516800	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf89c57…
06-03 19:59:22	btc updown 5m 1780516500	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6e129f…
06-03 19:39:27	eth updown 5m 1780515300	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x239e56…
06-03 19:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8d8616…
06-03 17:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7cc479…
06-03 17:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5c077d…
06-03 17:08:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x099fb7…
06-03 15:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xddef1b…
06-03 15:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x66fe03…
06-03 15:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x21e2db…
06-03 15:04:16	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3ff206…
06-03 13:59:19	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe4c4a8…
06-03 13:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa0c773…
06-03 13:53:32	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe84761…
06-03 13:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x490ebb…
06-03 13:49:24	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x3098bb…
06-03 13:38:35	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9b323d…
06-03 13:34:17	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb355d3…
06-03 13:18:45	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe81489…
06-03 13:04:41	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa80617…
06-03 13:04:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd6605f…
06-03 12:13:33	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0d9acb…
06-03 11:43:40	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbb6ad0…
06-03 11:33:32	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9874cc…
06-03 11:14:00	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x85640c…
06-03 10:58:43	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x974d64…
06-03 10:49:12	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xbc2f29…
06-03 10:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x91d275…
06-03 10:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2b5e51…
06-03 10:44:18	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x299465…
06-03 10:39:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5057af…
06-03 10:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x083d3b…
06-03 10:28:35	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc14cc0…
06-03 10:04:14	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xa408b7…
06-03 09:59:01	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xfdab71…
06-03 09:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xad237e…
06-03 09:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7704ed…
06-03 09:44:20	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1743a1…
06-03 09:39:44	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe8e598…
06-03 09:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x636c0d…
06-03 09:34:20	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x868d4c…
06-03 09:23:33	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd20d7e…
06-03 09:18:47	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x50a364…
06-03 09:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xeb89d4…
06-03 07:24:01	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x81d36e…
06-03 07:18:39	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xeb82b3…
06-03 07:04:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5a466f…
06-03 06:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x34b577…
06-03 06:54:28	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x766cc2…
06-03 06:54:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe00640…
06-03 06:49:31	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xcf20a9…
06-03 06:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x16c82f…
06-03 06:44:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf130cb…
06-03 06:44:04	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfdb1b3…
06-03 06:39:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0101bb…
06-03 06:34:12	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x5aa7b9…
06-03 06:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4d9d17…
06-03 06:23:54	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x71367e…
06-03 06:09:40	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7ed08f…
06-03 06:04:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd3b091…
06-03 05:53:55	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xdab65e…
06-03 05:49:29	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x37e752…
06-03 05:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x42d635…
06-03 05:24:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x143ef2…
06-03 05:19:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9d28c3…
06-03 05:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xdd313c…
06-03 05:14:26	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xc45a9f…
06-03 05:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8193c8…
06-03 05:09:35	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x5cd493…