Starchy-Obsidian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$706

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

554

Trades

1,326

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 05-12 06:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 28% $-706

Other

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 529 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	29	$577	840	600	+240	Up	+$203	05-07 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	28	$454	615	615	+0	Up	+$160	05-07 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$347	426	393	+33	Down	+$85	05-07 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	38	$339	499	469	+29	Up	+$131	05-07 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$238	602	63	+539	Down	$-162	05-07 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$212	195	195	+0	Down	+$104	05-07 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	35	$202	452	415	+36	Down	+$89	05-07 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	34	$185	370	247	+123	Down	+$135	05-07 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	24	$183	357	357	+0	Up	+$55	05-07 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	12	$177	600	0	+600	Up	$-177	05-07 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	14	$173	233	233	+0	Up	+$61	05-07 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$172	266	201	+64	Down	+$30	05-07 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	8	$153	175	142	+34	Up	+$16	05-07 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$140	451	0	+451	Up	$-140	05-07 14:51
highest temperature in houston on april 18 2026 84forhigher	12	$136	99	97	+2	open	—	04-18 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$133	235	135	+100	Down	+$31	05-07 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	11	$131	224	155	+69	Down	$-7	05-07 21:58
highest temperature in madrid on april 7 2026 23corhigher	3	$129	113	110	+3	open	—	04-07 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	12	$128	122	122	+0	Up	+$29	05-07 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$127	96	96	+0	Up	+$27	05-07 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	7	$126	209	130	+79	Down	$-9	05-07 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$126	121	100	+21	Up	+$12	05-07 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	19	$120	400	0	+400	Up	$-120	05-07 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	19	$109	257	257	+0	Down	+$19	05-07 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	7	$104	125	117	+8	Down	+$84	05-11 04:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$100	138	0	+138	Down	$-100	05-12 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$91	646	0	+646	Down	$-91	05-07 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$91	600	0	+600	Down	$-91	05-07 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$90	275	0	+275	Up	$-90	05-07 12:25
highest temperature in tokyo on april 4 2026 18c	2	$88	68	66	+2	open	—	04-04 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 06:46:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	153	16¢	$25	0xa3bf05…
05-12 06:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	107	23¢	$25	0xe80866…
05-12 06:41:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0x67e315…
05-12 06:41:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x4a3368…
05-12 06:41:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xf6236d…
05-12 06:41:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x007805…
05-12 06:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x2b329c…
05-12 06:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0xba92a3…
05-12 06:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x35ea7d…
05-12 06:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x9cb144…
05-11 23:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x30e012…
05-11 23:50:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7b829d…
05-11 23:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbad7bc…
05-11 23:47:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x4e7ddb…
05-11 23:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	77	12¢	$9	0x86513f…
05-11 23:45:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb91f20…
05-11 23:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x31aac4…
05-11 23:40:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe22487…
05-11 23:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa2b486…
05-11 23:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xa6c1c0…
05-11 23:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x863b0f…
05-11 23:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x5afcd4…
05-11 23:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0xa8dad0…
05-11 23:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x4ea79b…
05-11 23:15:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x9e1b0b…
05-11 23:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x9264ba…
05-11 09:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x96707e…
05-11 09:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xa838a1…
05-11 09:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x5db62d…
05-11 08:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6a4cc5…
05-11 08:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdd9021…
05-11 08:19:43	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	45	76¢	$34	0x507ef8…
05-11 08:18:34	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xeb272d…
05-11 08:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x7a89b2…
05-11 08:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x88955f…
05-11 08:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x7e4a64…
05-11 08:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x07cf7e…
05-11 08:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	42	40¢	$17	0x9571c1…
05-11 08:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x110508…
05-11 08:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x65ccfc…
05-11 07:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xbac786…
05-11 06:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x50c922…
05-11 06:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x2b36a3…
05-11 05:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x611c2d…
05-11 05:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x501e66…
05-11 05:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe866f6…
05-11 05:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe46147…
05-11 05:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe21119…
05-11 05:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xe0f33e…
05-11 05:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd1d50c…
05-11 05:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xac8a63…
05-11 05:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x3d2048…
05-11 05:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x0b4bed…
05-11 05:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	19¢	$7	0x0a24a3…
05-11 04:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xbdf43d…
05-11 04:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x474ac3…
05-11 04:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	61	15¢	$9	0xf40c32…
05-11 04:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x860f63…
05-11 04:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xb1bb98…
05-11 04:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x8d224c…
05-11 04:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0x7c4a0d…
05-11 04:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x5ad3e9…
05-11 04:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x1a3bab…
05-11 04:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0xdd9f38…
05-11 04:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xb0539c…
05-11 04:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0x6b4d05…
05-11 04:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8aa1a6…
05-11 04:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xa3fc86…
05-11 04:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	21	40¢	$9	0x692543…
05-11 04:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0x1d5c6f…
05-11 04:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xa81ece…
05-11 04:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xfc6c8e…
05-11 04:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xc18344…
05-11 04:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x75e351…
05-11 04:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	31	80¢	$25	0x390b67…
05-11 04:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x2ee847…
05-11 04:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x1fb0bc…
05-11 04:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xe3e06a…
05-11 03:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xf23b52…
05-11 03:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe5a143…
05-11 03:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xc61263…
05-11 03:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xc5630c…
05-11 03:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x74e527…
05-11 03:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x054ae2…
05-11 03:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x7f13b0…
05-11 03:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x137a46…
05-11 03:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xc57291…
05-11 03:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0xa68860…
05-11 03:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x74212e…
05-11 03:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x50d832…
05-11 03:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xeb9a40…
05-11 03:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x088ff1…
05-11 03:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	37	25¢	$9	0xd5e46f…
05-11 03:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xa84f5a…
05-11 03:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf132b9…
05-11 03:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	33	68¢	$23	0xbc8d7e…
05-11 03:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x8586c8…
05-11 02:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0xaf030a…
05-11 02:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	52	33¢	$17	0x147fe7…
05-11 02:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xcff4ad…