Defensive-Industry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

2,705

Trades

2,780

lifetime

Volume

$43.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 08-16 22:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 98% +$198

Other

12% 95% -$90

Politics

1% 97% -$2

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down on july 25 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-25 15:37
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-12 00:00 UTC	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-12 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-14 03:50
xrp up or down july 9 2026 3pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-09 19:56
solana up or down august 11 2026 6am et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	08-11 10:58
ethereum up or down july 11 2026 1pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-11 17:58
xrp up or down june 15 2026 10am et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	06-15 14:55
solana up or down july 11 2026 3am et	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-11 07:57
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 04:00 UTC	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-14 07:54
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2?	1	$50	51	+51	Yes	+$1	06-02 20:39
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-31 23:51
xagusd up or down on august 14 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	08-14 20:47
bitcoin up or down august 13 2026 6pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	08-13 22:55
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 04:00 UTC	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-27 07:51
bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Down	-$50	08-13 15:49
solana up or down june 30 2026 6pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	06-30 22:57
solana up or down august 2 2026 11am et	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	08-02 15:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-31 15:58
bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 8am et	1	$50	52	+52	Down	+$2	07-31 12:56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-13 20:39
xrp up or down july 1 2026 10am et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-01 14:56
ethereum up or down june 30 2026 5am et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	06-30 09:55
ethereum up or down july 30 2026 8am et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	07-30 12:57
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-04 16:00 UTC	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	07-04 19:53
bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 6am et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	08-08 10:56
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-20 20:00 UTC	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	07-20 23:51
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-04 08:00 UTC	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	07-04 11:50
ethereum up or down july 1 2026 10pm et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	07-02 02:57
bitcoin up or down on july 5 2026	1	$50	52	+52	Down	+$2	07-05 15:46
bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 8am et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	07-07 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 22:57:40	bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x3e4d7e…
08-16 21:43:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x27e5e1…
08-16 18:43:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x766fc2…
08-16 15:55:12	bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x5363ad…
08-16 15:37:40	xrp above 1 on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x809d6a…
08-15 22:58:21	bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd3be3a…
08-15 20:13:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3d16a3…
08-15 18:59:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x33bc34…
08-15 18:59:13	bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x486fea…
08-15 15:53:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x59f87a…
08-15 15:53:04	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 15?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x090f52…
08-15 15:48:37	ethereum up or down on august 15 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xc41cdf…
08-15 06:58:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x41b3dd…
08-15 06:58:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x77fc58…
08-14 20:47:39	xagusd up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x8c22c7…
08-14 20:38:10	ng up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9c5c88…
08-14 20:38:06	wti closes above 82 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5705f2…
08-14 15:30:34	solana up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd01f7e…
08-14 15:30:31	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 14?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xca1879…
08-14 15:30:27	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 14?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x409c09…
08-14 15:30:22	xrp above 1 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc60340…
08-14 10:29:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb71a17…
08-14 04:56:15	ethereum up or down august 14 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x556c93…
08-14 04:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x1e3a38…
08-13 22:55:43	bitcoin up or down august 13 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x11a4da…
08-13 20:56:06	Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb62de0…
08-13 19:43:51	Solana Up or Down - August 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x346288…
08-13 19:43:48	Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb34906…
08-13 18:58:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x65ad00…
08-13 18:58:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5915e4…
08-13 15:49:16	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x2bc534…
08-13 01:57:33	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6564fc…
08-12 15:48:25	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 12?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x61c8b5…
08-12 15:48:22	ethereum above 1900 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x61176a…
08-12 06:19:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x46b37c…
08-11 12:14:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6851cb…
08-11 10:58:27	ethereum up or down august 11 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xfa321e…
08-11 10:58:27	solana up or down august 11 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x815940…
08-11 04:58:36	solana up or down august 11 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0xb2c92b…
08-10 23:50:13	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x221fa1…
08-10 23:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3f1648…
08-10 22:28:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x6428f0…
08-10 16:43:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x93623f…
08-10 15:58:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xceec97…
08-10 06:13:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd1cf3e…
08-09 15:43:55	ethereum up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x3c53b9…
08-09 15:37:39	xrp up or down on august 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x85b3dd…
08-09 15:37:36	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xdb188a…
08-09 07:52:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5bc823…
08-09 05:59:49	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf5b142…
08-09 02:29:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x599714…
08-08 22:58:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x7cf29e…
08-08 16:59:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x697b92…
08-08 15:44:43	ethereum up or down on august 8 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1350ff…
08-08 14:29:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4d90af…
08-08 10:56:55	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x37f2ae…
08-08 06:28:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x27511e…
08-07 20:55:19	ethereum up or down august 7 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x16f08d…
08-07 19:51:39	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x19663e…
08-07 19:51:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x44e6dc…
08-07 16:58:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3420a…
08-07 16:28:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x13a2a5…
08-07 15:39:01	solana up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xa3cfe0…
08-07 07:55:13	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb01164…
08-07 00:59:03	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x45a890…
08-07 00:58:35	solana up or down august 6 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x31172e…
08-06 23:58:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x7d5a7c…
08-06 20:45:35	xauusd up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0d3303…
08-06 15:34:53	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe3d098…
08-06 12:29:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x98cbd9…
08-06 06:28:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe4c783…
08-05 23:13:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x578f21…
08-05 15:43:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3d48f5…
08-05 12:58:39	Solana Up or Down - August 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x79a81b…
08-04 20:36:11	wti closes above 76 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x602274…
08-04 17:13:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x607b0b…
08-04 13:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x655230…
08-04 10:58:38	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa265aa…
08-04 09:29:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xa13bf7…
08-04 08:14:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x316693…
08-04 08:13:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf8738f…
08-04 08:13:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9606db…
08-04 07:58:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa4be22…
08-04 07:58:17	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc7b89e…
08-04 07:58:11	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x620ffe…
08-04 07:43:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x9c299e…
08-04 07:43:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x9a9a02…
08-04 05:04:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5cb5bc…
08-04 02:43:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf2f2d1…
08-03 23:58:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa87314…
08-03 23:56:18	xrp up or down august 3 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xa673c6…
08-03 23:09:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x506f2f…
08-03 17:43:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x03a3dd…
08-03 15:52:23	ethereum up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x271f11…
08-03 15:31:26	solana up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x19fa3e…
08-03 11:59:17	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x4318af…
08-03 10:44:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1c9584…
08-03 10:43:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x4197bf…
08-03 09:43:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xd5ae06…
08-03 05:59:27	solana up or down august 3 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0e21d9…