Extraneous-Grouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

476

Trades

15,002

lifetime

Volume

$52.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-14 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% $-26

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 739 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	23	$97	221	+221	Up	+$23	05-11 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	25	$96	225	+225	Down	+$19	05-09 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	24	$94	227	+227	Down	+$25	05-13 23:24
btc updown 15m 1770028200	30	$91	173	+173	open	—	02-02 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	20	$87	203	+203	Up	+$2	05-10 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	27	$87	197	+197	Down	+$13	05-11 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	20	$86	185	+185	Down	+$11	05-11 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	22	$86	189	+189	Down	$-2	05-11 22:25
btc updown 15m 1770024600	22	$85	149	+149	open	—	02-02 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	21	$84	198	+198	Up	+$11	05-10 22:52
btc updown 15m 1770038100	13	$84	137	+137	open	—	02-02 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	22	$84	202	+202	open	—	05-15 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	20	$83	189	+189	open	—	05-14 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	21	$83	185	+185	Down	+$5	05-12 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	22	$82	181	+181	Up	+$13	05-10 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	20	$81	196	+196	Up	+$10	05-10 00:40
eth updown 15m 1770029100	18	$80	142	+142	open	—	02-02 10:59
btc updown 15m 1770029100	18	$79	150	+150	open	—	02-02 10:58
eth updown 15m 1770030900	12	$78	111	+111	open	—	02-02 11:27
sol updown 15m 1770037200	11	$77	98	+98	open	—	02-02 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	17	$77	161	+161	Up	+$1	05-12 16:10
sol updown 15m 1770029100	17	$76	146	+146	open	—	02-02 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	24	$74	169	+169	open	—	05-14 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	18	$72	183	+183	open	—	05-14 18:22
eth updown 15m 1770038100	14	$72	110	+110	open	—	02-02 13:28
eth updown 15m 1770006600	22	$71	125	+125	open	—	02-02 04:41
eth updown 15m 1770031800	17	$71	125	+125	open	—	02-02 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	16	$71	151	+151	Up	+$5	05-14 04:04
eth updown 15m 1770014700	16	$71	105	+105	open	—	02-02 06:59
btc updown 15m 1770030900	10	$71	118	+118	open	—	02-02 11:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 14:28:06	eth updown 5m 1781447100	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x842d0a…
06-14 14:27:19	btc updown 5m 1781447100	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x545d61…
06-14 14:23:51	xrp updown 5m 1781446800	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xef7c9f…
06-14 14:23:01	btc updown 5m 1781446800	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe1ec72…
06-14 14:13:34	btc updown 5m 1781446200	Down	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xf563c5…
06-14 14:13:00	xrp updown 5m 1781446200	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2fb0db…
06-14 14:12:19	btc updown 5m 1781446200	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x575b1f…
06-14 14:11:15	xrp updown 5m 1781446200	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf85897…
06-14 14:08:28	xrp updown 5m 1781445900	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd8f796…
06-14 14:08:12	btc updown 5m 1781445900	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xac2263…
06-14 14:07:09	sol updown 5m 1781445900	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6d76cd…
06-14 14:01:58	btc updown 5m 1781445600	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xde2757…
06-14 14:01:37	sol updown 5m 1781445600	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x898a04…
06-14 14:01:24	eth updown 5m 1781445600	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3df6c2…
06-14 13:56:49	xrp updown 5m 1781445300	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4f273b…
06-14 13:56:33	btc updown 5m 1781445300	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3788ba…
06-14 13:53:45	eth updown 5m 1781445000	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfa317f…
06-14 13:52:15	sol updown 5m 1781445000	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x22cbcf…
06-14 13:51:28	btc updown 5m 1781445000	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3a7fad…
06-14 13:47:21	btc updown 5m 1781444700	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x922c17…
05-17 01:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xfeedf2…
05-17 01:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x55409a…
05-17 01:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xfbaead…
05-17 01:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x8d1c5b…
05-17 00:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x690ba4…
05-17 00:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfd1bfc…
05-17 00:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x6fd6ba…
05-16 21:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xb40997…
05-16 21:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x6af6df…
05-16 21:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x38529c…
05-16 21:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x1f7a7e…
05-16 21:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8a90a1…
05-16 21:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xcac6ac…
05-16 21:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x8e123d…
05-16 21:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x2d3fca…
05-16 21:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xce294a…
05-16 21:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xa49f73…
05-16 21:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x893ce1…
05-16 21:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x401ae6…
05-16 21:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcf0fc2…
05-16 21:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x8b3a67…
05-16 21:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x1e0f96…
05-16 21:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x4fe159…
05-16 21:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5f29b3…
05-16 21:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x7dfedc…
05-16 21:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x8d00d2…
05-16 21:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xea6595…
05-16 20:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x9d9d4f…
05-16 20:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x52dfdc…
05-16 20:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x218c0c…
05-16 20:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdc8933…
05-16 20:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x091561…
05-16 20:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x57e3eb…
05-16 20:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x5fa931…
05-16 20:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x94d5e2…
05-16 20:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x73a6cc…
05-16 20:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x35890d…
05-16 20:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xfe7e74…
05-16 20:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x66c7ef…
05-16 20:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xcf7fe8…
05-16 20:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x8f95fc…
05-16 20:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x1123ac…
05-16 20:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x9e0918…
05-16 20:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xc24f21…
05-16 20:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x6fa0ea…
05-16 20:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x8db9be…
05-16 20:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xfdb1df…
05-16 20:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x48eba1…
05-16 20:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x82faf0…
05-16 20:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xd8b21a…
05-16 20:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xf0b4bb…
05-16 20:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xbaf7c6…
05-16 20:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xa70267…
05-16 20:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xecacab…
05-16 20:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x157839…
05-16 20:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x913196…
05-16 20:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3175ed…
05-16 20:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x80100e…
05-16 20:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x430172…
05-16 20:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe17b33…
05-16 20:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc07867…
05-16 20:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xa97cc3…
05-16 20:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x5522ac…
05-16 19:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x502de3…
05-16 19:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xface9c…
05-16 19:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x9d9cdc…
05-16 19:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xb59522…
05-16 19:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x9477fa…
05-16 19:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xfd0361…
05-16 19:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xc23af0…
05-16 19:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x5e78f0…
05-16 19:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xad6795…
05-16 19:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xd7602c…
05-16 19:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x8764b0…
05-16 19:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x811f1b…
05-16 19:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xefa416…
05-16 19:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x0b0bec…
05-16 19:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x7cd576…
05-16 19:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x15e1dd…
05-16 19:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x9e7008…