Impossible-Forgery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

46.7%

Resolved

411

Trades

647

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-06 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Other

77% 53% -$515

Crypto

15% 43% -$392

Sports

6% 50% -$162

Politics

1% 75% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$57

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	+1	$1	82¢	$1	$0	11-05 06:53
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	+1	$1	80¢	$1	$0	11-05 06:53
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+33	$1	2¢	$1	$0	11-06 10:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$1.2K	983	983	+0	No	-$116	02-11 17:04
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$1.2K	881	881	+0	No	-$28	01-27 22:04
ucl ars kai1 2026 01 28 ars	2	$1.1K	604	604	+0	Yes	-$5	01-28 15:10
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 bog1	3	$649	712	712	+0	Yes	-$77	01-20 18:23
lal val rea 2026 02 08 rea	2	$544	378	378	+0	Yes	+$83	02-08 21:30
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	1	$538	718	0	+718	No	-$538	02-16 20:03
epl liv mac 2026 02 08 liv	2	$481	678	678	+0	No	-$20	02-08 17:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$479	282	282	+0	Yes	+$79	04-13 10:16
ucl int ars1 2026 01 20 ars1	2	$354	479	200	+279	Yes	+$307	01-20 21:43
uel bet1 fey 2026 01 29 bet1	1	$342	551	0	+551	Yes	+$209	01-29 20:10
will mrbeast hit 480 million subscribers by march 31 385 949 751 549 325 327 411 863 793	2	$339	1,117	1,117	+0	No	-$161	02-15 21:23
lal mal bet 2026 02 15 bet	2	$338	256	256	+0	Yes	+$138	02-15 21:23
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$299	882	882	+0	Yes	-$1	06-12 13:57
ucl rma asm1 2026 01 20 rma	2	$265	163	163	+0	Yes	+$20	01-20 20:21
epl mac ful 2026 02 11 mac	1	$224	310	0	+310	Yes	+$87	02-11 17:05
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$218	14,545	14,545	+0	No	-$102	06-19 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:15 UTC	1	$212	395	0	+395	Down	-$212	02-22 14:17
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 bar	1	$200	409	0	+409	Yes	+$208	04-04 19:02
ucl ben1 rma1 2026 01 28 rma1	1	$200	351	0	+351	No	-$200	01-28 20:03
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	05-13 19:41
lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	1	$199	284	0	+284	No	-$199	03-02 19:56
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$189	518	518	+0	No	-$13	07-04 11:08
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$181	775	775	+0	No	-$19	06-23 22:03
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	2	$172	133	133	+0	Yes	+$12	01-05 10:26
epl bri ars 2026 03 04 ars	2	$168	127	127	+0	Yes	+$18	03-04 20:27
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	2	$167	140	140	+0	Yes	+$27	01-11 20:40
epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	2	$152	101	101	+0	No	+$12	03-04 20:28
epl ast not 2026 01 03 ast	2	$137	93	93	+0	Yes	+$37	01-03 13:44
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5	2	$125	90	90	+0	Under	+$13	06-15 23:58
lal elc bar 2026 01 31 bar	1	$120	156	0	+156	Yes	+$36	01-31 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 14:09:13	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	FURIA	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x11444f…
11-06 14:00:52	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x434081…
11-06 10:04:06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1227a4…
11-06 10:02:51	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfbfd6d…
11-05 06:53:27	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe8e8e6…
11-05 06:53:15	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x35d2b4…
11-05 06:53:03	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa150d1…
11-04 19:42:52	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x27673e…
11-04 19:42:40	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xcd61f7…
11-04 18:48:58	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xf74417…
11-04 18:02:06	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf7707d…
11-04 06:48:52	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2b94a7…
11-04 06:48:39	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6c22ca…
11-04 06:48:00	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xba2a9d…
11-04 06:39:07	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x04605b…
11-04 06:38:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd96556…
11-04 06:37:52	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa7706a…
11-04 06:36:36	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8cb6cb…
11-04 06:36:27	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc87786…
11-04 06:36:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xefc8cc…
11-03 09:56:10	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8483e7…
11-03 09:55:22	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Team Falcons	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x53e43c…
11-03 09:29:30	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FaZe	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xc79d37…
11-03 09:28:54	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x51d367…
11-03 09:14:07	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6860a3…
11-03 09:13:36	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x455bdf…
11-03 09:12:48	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x449757…
11-03 09:12:13	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	TheMongolz	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x35861b…
11-03 09:11:42	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FaZe	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe09d62…
11-01 05:59:45	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9cac09…
11-01 05:59:28	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1d1995…
11-01 05:57:43	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3058bb…
11-01 05:56:22	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1512d7…
10-31 03:55:18	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xfbaa6d…
10-31 03:53:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x688527…
10-31 03:53:48	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1616f1…
10-31 03:53:37	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x826b2e…
10-31 03:47:39	Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Christian Mbilli	Canelo	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1faf97…
10-30 15:40:10	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x6fdf4d…
10-30 15:38:46	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0xd79b15…
10-29 10:24:59	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1c6b3a…
10-29 10:23:44	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4cabe3…
10-29 10:22:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd5bca0…
10-29 10:22:29	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x380cff…
10-26 10:48:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x527226…
10-26 03:57:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x113955…
10-26 03:57:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x9a28b7…
10-25 21:27:12	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	21	45¢	$10	0x1a775c…
10-25 20:55:18	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x6eb57c…
10-25 20:54:11	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0x173e1d…
10-25 19:55:56	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa6eea7…
10-25 03:46:57	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x69c531…
10-25 03:33:18	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xda37e3…
10-24 19:05:50	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x719f64…
10-24 19:04:23	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x74ec4a…
10-24 07:21:05	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2a63d7…
10-21 19:43:17	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa06880…
10-19 18:52:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x87bb35…
10-19 18:52:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x07cc1c…
10-19 16:28:27	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc88edd…
10-18 21:28:59	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	FURIA	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfc084b…
10-18 20:07:26	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x614135…
10-18 17:26:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xa143ce…
10-18 17:13:03	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$13	0xed9da1…
10-18 13:50:42	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	16	85¢	$14	0xa85ac7…
10-18 13:02:03	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x8e1704…
10-18 13:00:48	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe3591a…
10-14 21:03:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x52f184…
10-14 20:59:19	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbbbb63…
10-14 19:35:01	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbe82ad…
10-14 19:27:15	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x37b93b…
10-14 19:24:09	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4eebe1…
10-14 19:23:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0xb28fd3…
10-14 14:01:38	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x0f7f62…
10-13 20:39:22	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x281a08…
10-13 20:39:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9ad0c1…
10-13 19:19:15	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0x92ca24…
10-13 14:37:10	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd86246…
10-13 14:36:56	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd3cbe9…
10-13 14:36:14	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xec4d49…
10-13 14:35:58	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf8b59c…
10-12 20:58:35	Will Coritiba FBC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xf38b40…
10-12 20:50:17	Will Coritiba FBC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x5216ae…
10-12 19:09:03	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x7b0918…
10-12 16:35:35	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xe95f16…
10-12 02:11:09	Bulls vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x3378d1…
10-12 02:09:27	Bulls vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4bd279…
10-12 02:06:54	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xbfb361…
10-12 01:59:02	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x70e227…
10-12 01:57:11	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xc53eea…
10-12 01:22:26	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa08ecd…
10-10 20:29:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x4aff55…
10-10 20:29:07	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Spirit	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x63974a…
10-10 18:13:55	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x85abaa…
10-10 17:29:28	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x67b6ad…
10-10 16:33:10	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe841b3…
10-10 16:32:22	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x223874…
10-10 16:32:03	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x24ac09…
10-10 16:31:07	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x466237…
10-05 20:40:44	Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe081a3…