Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

25.7%

Resolved

141

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$68.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$217

Open exposure

$300

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 15:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

59% 38% -$1,940

Other

40% 26% -$11,033

Crypto

1% 92% +$13

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+300	$270	99¢	$296	+$26	10-13 18:38
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No		+300	$34	1¢	$4	-$30	10-13 16:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	24	$19.2K	49,641	49,641	+0	No	-$8,941	03-08 21:41
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	3	$9.1K	6,834	6,834	+0	Yes	+$3,728	02-28 06:59
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$7.3K	14,345	14,345	+0	Yes	-$1,397	03-16 09:19
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	4	$4.2K	6,177	6,177	+0	No	-$1,687	03-20 23:47
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	5	$3.8K	8,029	8,029	+0	Yes	+$416	02-20 12:40
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$2.5K	8,753	8,753	+0	No	-$615	02-04 19:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$2.1K	8,214	5,280	+2,934	No	-$678	01-31 17:00
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	4	$1.9K	5,538	5,538	+0	Yes	-$301	02-20 11:12
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$1.8K	5,284	5,284	+0	No	-$175	01-22 10:54
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	10	$1.8K	6,241	6,241	+0	No	-$261	01-31 18:42
nothing ever happens khamenei	7	$1.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$67	01-14 20:09
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	6	$1.6K	17,403	17,403	+0	No	-$755	02-27 23:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$1.4K	915	915	+0	Yes	+$403	02-28 21:41
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	6	$1.2K	6,532	6,532	+0	No	-$238	01-17 23:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$893	1,688	2,938	-1,250	No	+$165	01-14 20:10
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	7	$772	3,024	3,024	+0	No	-$760	01-15 05:05
will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	7	$554	13,731	13,731	+0	No	-$266	02-19 17:25
will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	4	$504	3,024	3,024	+0	No	-$416	01-15 20:20
will the us next strike iran on january 29 2026 et 159	3	$492	12,392	12,392	+0	No	-$108	01-29 17:22
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$484	3,614	3,614	+0	No	-$116	01-14 20:10
will israel strike gaza on january 9 2026	2	$463	298	298	+0	No	+$107	01-10 00:49
will israel strike gaza on january 10 2026	3	$442	629	629	+0	Yes	+$2	01-10 15:45
will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	2	$416	2,160	2,160	+0	No	-$184	01-14 21:39
will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	2	$411	1,967	1,967	+0	No	-$189	01-14 21:39
will the us next strike iran on january 16 2026 et 766	3	$306	1,574	1,574	+0	No	-$218	01-15 20:20
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	6	$304	600	0	+600	open	—	10-13 18:38
will israel strike gaza on january 7 2026	3	$245	177	177	+0	Yes	+$91	01-07 18:19
will israel strike lebanon on january 8 2026	3	$210	133	133	+0	Yes	+$10	01-08 07:08
will israel strike gaza on january 29 2026	2	$203	114	114	+0	Yes	+$3	01-29 16:50
will israel strike lebanon on january 23 2026	1	$200	291	0	+291	No	-$200	01-23 17:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x371339…
10-26 14:24:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x259cfe…
10-26 13:34:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xb85643…
10-26 00:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xb897ae…
10-25 23:33:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xde8a53…
10-25 22:19:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x0e7d85…
10-25 13:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x7e3a99…
10-25 09:20:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xf9a5ff…
10-24 20:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x4bc3ed…
10-24 15:10:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xe75e0a…
10-24 14:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xb08e9b…
10-24 00:25:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x86b62b…
10-23 23:22:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x8c8bdb…
10-23 18:03:41	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7b9c44…
10-23 18:03:41	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1193e1…
10-23 16:21:50	wti closes above 100 on october 26 2026	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x787c91…
10-23 15:47:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x1fa54a…
10-23 14:15:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xf47d0d…
10-23 13:51:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xe703a7…
10-23 10:29:08	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf14777…
10-23 09:01:14	will spcx reach 155 by october 19 2026 from october 22	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x3d7c20…
10-23 09:00:59	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8d342d…
10-23 07:01:21	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 23?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x81042b…
10-23 05:02:59	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $151 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xb86313…
10-23 02:09:57	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x25a7e4…
10-23 02:05:51	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 23?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe7784a…
10-23 01:09:20	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x14fd40…
10-23 00:28:54	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $147 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x6cbdd5…
10-23 00:12:54	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $146 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x7f018d…
10-22 20:59:18	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $148 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x6b80fd…
10-22 19:55:51	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $142.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x90b990…
10-22 19:53:17	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb1e752…
10-22 19:37:20	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x66d33a…
10-22 19:33:15	will mu reach 870 by october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x61d6c2…
10-22 15:15:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xcdc85c…
10-22 15:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9b59aa…
10-22 13:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfcb6f9…
10-22 10:13:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa6686a…
10-22 08:26:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x27673c…
10-22 02:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc09063…
10-22 01:02:30	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 22?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x54c70d…
10-21 18:02:32	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa8af22…
10-21 15:41:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbc63a1…
10-21 13:17:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x5e1a3b…
10-21 02:32:20	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 21?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5eba5a…
10-20 19:01:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 21?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0240b6…
10-20 19:00:59	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 21?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x139364…
10-20 15:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc58caa…
10-20 15:17:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x6f0362…
10-20 02:36:03	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc3abbf…
10-20 01:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xffdfa1…
10-20 01:11:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2f7e87…
10-20 00:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd941c0…
10-19 13:48:08	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc28ed5…
10-19 13:47:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4a8b51…
10-19 13:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb2fbda…
10-19 10:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3255c9…
10-18 23:36:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8441f1…
10-18 22:08:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd4d1f7…
10-18 21:22:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6b0fe1…
10-18 20:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x87d6b2…
10-18 19:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xaec26e…
10-18 18:06:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0x1b52a9…
10-18 17:19:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5a249b…
10-18 16:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5a8ae2…
10-18 16:49:57	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe325f9…
10-18 16:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x45a3bc…
10-18 15:43:45	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9e8be8…
10-18 14:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x253547…
10-18 14:18:41	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x84edfb…
10-18 07:03:39	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe7c03e…
10-17 23:34:08	XRP Up or Down - October 17, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6724e5…
10-17 22:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x42ee24…
10-17 19:04:45	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1a3c93…
10-17 18:04:50	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfbc4cd…
10-17 15:29:38	ethereum up or down october 17 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4fe678…
10-13 18:38:22	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x30cbac…
10-13 16:38:07	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xc364a1…
10-13 16:17:12	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x75c115…
10-13 16:06:16	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa5a76a…
10-12 20:09:57	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x54f249…
10-12 18:09:48	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x66f412…
10-11 23:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xede8f0…
10-11 23:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xbd29eb…
10-11 19:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x34c04e…
10-11 19:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 12?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xd425a1…
10-11 19:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 12?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x541474…
10-11 19:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x68e06c…
10-11 19:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x530798…
10-11 18:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xf04037…
10-11 17:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 12?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x911230…
10-11 16:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x364967…
10-11 16:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xdfd40e…
10-11 13:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x5effeb…
10-11 10:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa926e4…
10-11 10:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x500337…
10-11 10:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x8dcd97…
10-11 10:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x6739f7…
10-11 10:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xe19501…
10-11 10:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x033de0…