Calm-Wound — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$385

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.3%

Resolved

Trades

400

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 05-11 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

39% — —

Other

33% 25% $-386

Crypto

28% 67% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	10	$498	21,033	8,806	+12,227	open	—	03-04 18:57
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$384	10,098	0	+10,098	No	$-384	03-13 08:42
bitcoin up or down february 25 12pm et	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	02-25 19:43
bitcoin up or down march 13 5am et	13	$25	25	13	+12	open	—	03-13 10:11
bitcoin up or down february 25 4pm et	16	$16	32	0	+32	open	—	02-25 21:25
bitcoin up or down february 25 3pm et	8	$15	14	8	+6	open	—	02-25 21:10
btc updown 15m 1773348300	10	$13	23	0	+23	open	—	03-12 20:54
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 4am et	11	$13	33	13	+20	open	—	03-16 08:43
btc updown 15m 1773482400	11	$13	21	0	+21	open	—	03-14 10:13
btc updown 15m 1773346500	7	$9	14	0	+14	open	—	03-12 20:21
bitcoin up or down february 23 4pm et	5	$8	37	37	+0	open	—	02-23 21:45
btc updown 15m 1773347400	5	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	03-12 20:34
sol updown 5m 1776535800	7	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	04-18 18:11
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 8am et	7	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	03-15 12:21
btc updown 15m 1773350100	7	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	03-12 21:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	03-01 10:07
bitcoin up or down february 14 7am et	3	$7	7	2	+5	open	—	02-14 12:36
bitcoin up or down february 23 3pm et	3	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	02-23 20:41
sol updown 15m 1773256500	6	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	03-11 19:27
sol updown 5m 1776028200	6	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	04-12 21:13
xrp updown 15m 1772283600	6	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	02-28 13:08
btc updown 15m 1775642400	5	$6	135	0	+135	open	—	04-08 10:14
bitcoin up or down february 14 6am et	5	$5	1,041	0	+1,041	open	—	02-14 11:53
btc updown 15m 1773345600	5	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-12 20:11
xrp updown 15m 1775681100	5	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-08 20:54
btc updown 15m 1773344700	4	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	03-12 19:53
btc updown 4h 1768640400	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	01-17 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-09 21:23
xrp updown 15m 1775683800	4	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	04-08 21:38
btc updown 5m 1771361700	4	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	02-17 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 13:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9c72bc…
05-10 09:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x24aa2d…
05-09 21:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6475ae…
05-09 20:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd2f468…
05-09 20:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x401de8…
05-09 19:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x54c76b…
05-09 18:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf5d924…
05-09 18:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xeeb88a…
05-09 18:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x073593…
05-09 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcfe201…
05-09 17:29:16	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x72a11c…
05-09 17:28:55	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x566049…
05-09 17:27:15	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x292b7f…
05-09 17:26:30	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x257fce…
05-09 11:59:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfdf9aa…
05-09 11:53:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x290289…
05-09 11:52:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe36c23…
05-06 20:18:20	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Karolina Pliskova	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4449a8…
05-06 10:53:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe3f501…
05-06 10:52:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7cdbc0…
05-06 10:51:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Magdalena Frech	Magdalena Frech	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb4de96…
05-04 08:48:44	Wuxi: Jie Cui vs Alexis Galarneau	Jie Cui	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x43cceb…
05-01 20:57:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x1ab06a…
05-01 20:55:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcb5d8a…
05-01 20:54:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3e4a1a…
05-01 20:50:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4baa62…
05-01 20:48:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb546d3…
05-01 20:44:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2edf0b…
05-01 16:45:48	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2619ba…
05-01 16:43:42	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe75e80…
05-01 08:39:42	Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Rada Zolotareva	Rada Zolotareva	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9abfad…
05-01 08:38:44	Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Rada Zolotareva	Hanyu Guo	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8095da…
05-01 08:37:42	Shymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x51f181…
04-29 09:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x859529…
04-29 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x180641…
04-29 08:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa31eb2…
04-18 18:11:54	sol updown 5m 1776535800	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x72f1d8…
04-18 18:11:34	sol updown 5m 1776535800	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x95017b…
04-18 18:11:10	sol updown 5m 1776535800	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9479a8…
04-18 18:10:22	sol updown 5m 1776535800	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3a772d…
04-18 18:10:00	sol updown 5m 1776535800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2d47a8…
04-18 18:09:10	sol updown 5m 1776535800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x668ad0…
04-18 18:08:32	sol updown 5m 1776535800	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x491e9f…
04-18 18:08:00	sol updown 5m 1776535500	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xeb59e9…
04-17 20:23:54	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Hornets	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x80b6de…
04-17 20:08:08	Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sun	Sergey Fomin	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe28ee3…
04-17 19:59:14	atp holmgre broady 2026 04 17	August Holmgren	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8f5a78…
04-17 19:53:26	Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broom	Li Tu	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc201b1…
04-17 19:50:14	atp tabur zink 2026 04 17	Clement Tabur	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x092f54…
04-17 19:43:48	Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe65a9b…
04-12 21:21:33	sol updown 15m 1776028500	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd050b4…
04-12 21:13:35	sol updown 5m 1776028200	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf12f39…
04-12 21:12:37	sol updown 5m 1776028200	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x769be2…
04-12 21:11:59	sol updown 5m 1776028200	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x075f17…
04-12 21:11:15	sol updown 5m 1776028200	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6146c2…
04-12 21:10:53	sol updown 5m 1776028200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x148901…
04-12 21:09:41	sol updown 5m 1776028200	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9f29cc…
04-12 19:36:25	hype updown 5m 1776022500	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc03399…
04-12 19:36:05	hype updown 5m 1776022500	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x53b276…
04-12 19:35:03	hype updown 5m 1776022500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xddcbe3…
04-08 21:52:57	xrp updown 15m 1775684700	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x54906a…
04-08 21:50:59	xrp updown 15m 1775684700	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x95a320…
04-08 21:49:51	xrp updown 15m 1775684700	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x078458…
04-08 21:38:39	xrp updown 15m 1775683800	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfc0a33…
04-08 21:32:15	xrp updown 15m 1775683800	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0c5cdc…
04-08 21:31:43	xrp updown 15m 1775683800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3f80f1…
04-08 21:30:33	xrp updown 15m 1775683800	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd13a18…
04-08 21:13:59	xrp updown 15m 1775682900	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbf9f54…
04-08 20:54:33	xrp updown 15m 1775681100	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x241541…
04-08 20:50:43	xrp updown 15m 1775681100	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc9712e…
04-08 20:48:51	xrp updown 15m 1775681100	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5f5242…
04-08 20:48:29	xrp updown 15m 1775681100	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf5dd26…
04-08 20:45:47	xrp updown 15m 1775681100	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe4517e…
04-08 10:14:39	btc updown 15m 1775642400	Up	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x9fe3b2…
04-08 10:08:49	btc updown 15m 1775642400	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x696e2e…
04-08 10:06:23	btc updown 15m 1775642400	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x6aa9f9…
04-08 10:02:51	btc updown 15m 1775642400	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x13cb78…
04-08 10:01:07	btc updown 15m 1775642400	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x80582a…
04-08 09:51:29	btc updown 5m 1775641800	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x865db1…
04-08 09:09:15	hype updown 5m 1775639400	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa219ef…
04-07 10:43:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb257fd…
04-06 21:01:33	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7e1fc5…
04-06 20:49:15	will bitcoin reach 71k on april 6	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x30d4b0…
04-06 20:46:37	bitcoin above 70k on april 7	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xebc339…
04-06 20:43:19	bitcoin above 60k on april 8	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x8be428…
04-06 19:52:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0b0eb5…
04-06 09:09:43	bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9756d7…
04-02 18:21:09	atp bailly coppeja 2026 03 30	Kimmer Coppejans	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x575708…
04-02 18:20:49	atp buse carabel 2026 04 01	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbe2f4f…
04-01 08:44:57	atp mrva krumich 2026 03 31	Maxim Mrva	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x49207e…
04-01 08:42:11	atp buse carabel 2026 04 01	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x927c9f…
04-01 08:39:15	atp bailly coppeja 2026 03 30	Kimmer Coppejans	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x881753…
04-01 08:36:41	atp jodar machac 2026 04 01	Tomas Machac	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf7f0fb…
03-31 08:10:03	atp oconnel navone 2026 03 30	Christopher O'Connell	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb59e36…
03-31 08:02:45	atp moriya matsuda 2026 03 31	Hiroki Moriya	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa9048a…
03-30 21:26:57	wta udvardy torres 2026 03 30	Maria Torres	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x5eb113…
03-30 21:22:25	wta tomljan vekic 2026 03 30	Donna Vekic	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2b25be…
03-29 20:54:12	wta lys volynet 2026 03 30	Katie Volynets	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xccac96…
03-29 20:50:44	wta zhang starodu 2026 03 30	Shuai Zhang	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6d32e7…
03-29 20:27:50	wta escorih werner 2026 03 29	Irene Burillo Escorihuela	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x523ba6…