Calm-Wound — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$400

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

214

Trades

436

lifetime

Volume

$1.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-14 21:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

39% 42% -$494

Politics

35% 44% +$105

Crypto

25% 50% -$10

Sports

0% 25% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+12	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-07 06:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	10	$498	21,033	8,806	+12,227	No	+$101	03-04 18:57
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$487	112,188	0	+112,188	No	-$487	05-12 11:03
bitcoin up or down february 25 12pm et	2	$32	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	02-25 19:43
bitcoin up or down march 13 5am et	13	$25	25	13	+12	Up	+$0	03-13 10:11
bitcoin up or down february 25 4pm et	16	$16	32	0	+32	Down	+$0	02-25 21:25
bitcoin up or down february 25 3pm et	8	$15	14	8	+6	Up	+$1	02-25 21:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 20:45 UTC	10	$13	23	0	+23	Up	+$1	03-12 20:54
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 4am et	11	$13	33	13	+20	Down	+$1	03-16 08:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 10:00 UTC	11	$13	21	0	+21	Up	-$3	03-14 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 20:15 UTC	7	$9	14	0	+14	Down	-$1	03-12 20:21
bitcoin up or down february 23 4pm et	5	$8	37	37	+0	Up	+$2	02-23 21:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 20:30 UTC	5	$8	15	0	+15	Down	+$0	03-12 20:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:10 UTC	7	$7	15	0	+15	Down	-$1	04-18 18:11
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 8am et	7	$7	13	0	+13	Down	$0	03-15 12:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 21:15 UTC	7	$7	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	03-12 21:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	03-01 10:07
bitcoin up or down february 14 7am et	3	$7	7	2	+5	Down	+$1	02-14 12:36
bitcoin up or down february 23 3pm et	3	$6	10	0	+10	Up	-$1	02-23 20:41
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 19:15 UTC	6	$6	11	0	+11	Down	$0	03-11 19:27
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 13:00 UTC	6	$6	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	02-28 13:08
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:10 UTC	6	$6	11	0	+11	Down	-$2	04-12 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:00 UTC	5	$6	135	0	+135	Down	+$1	04-08 10:14
bitcoin up or down february 14 6am et	5	$5	1,041	0	+1,041	Up	-$5	02-14 11:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC	5	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	03-12 20:11
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 20:45 UTC	5	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	04-08 20:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 19:45 UTC	4	$5	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	03-12 19:53
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-17 09:00 UTC	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	01-17 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-09 21:23
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 21:30 UTC	4	$4	7	0	+7	Down	-$1	04-08 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:55 UTC	4	$4	8	0	+8	Up	$0	02-17 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 21:38:42	dogecoin up or down august 14 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2b6004…
05-12 11:03:35	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	101,840	0¢	$102	0xe50c3e…
05-11 13:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9c72bc…
05-10 09:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x24aa2d…
05-09 21:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6475ae…
05-09 20:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd2f468…
05-09 20:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x401de8…
05-09 19:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x54c76b…
05-09 18:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf5d924…
05-09 18:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xeeb88a…
05-09 18:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x073593…
05-09 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcfe201…
05-09 17:29:16	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x72a11c…
05-09 17:28:55	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x566049…
05-09 17:27:15	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x292b7f…
05-09 17:26:30	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x257fce…
05-09 11:59:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfdf9aa…
05-09 11:53:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x290289…
05-09 11:52:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe36c23…
05-07 06:36:24	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x874aec…
05-07 06:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7e088d…
05-06 20:18:20	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Karolina Pliskova	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4449a8…
05-06 19:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	152	1¢	$1	0x3444cd…
05-06 19:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xf23ba4…
05-06 19:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd33b36…
05-06 10:53:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe3f501…
05-06 10:52:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7cdbc0…
05-06 10:51:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Magdalena Frech	Magdalena Frech	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb4de96…
05-05 19:05:58	Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb228ea…
05-04 08:52:10	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x987def…
05-04 08:48:44	Wuxi: Jie Cui vs Alexis Galarneau	Jie Cui	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x43cceb…
05-04 08:47:28	Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcf9895…
05-04 08:45:40	Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe9cb7e…
05-04 08:45:00	Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-04?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6b039c…
05-04 08:44:30	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd2b8e3…
05-04 08:43:30	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb570b0…
05-04 08:42:50	Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-04?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0d361c…
05-03 12:44:38	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5a7e7b…
05-03 12:44:00	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbe7d91…
05-03 12:42:42	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x95c78d…
05-03 12:41:34	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb290d9…
05-03 12:40:42	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9a7737…
05-03 12:40:12	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa49b4a…
05-03 12:39:08	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbe7be6…
05-02 11:49:58	Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6d17f3…
05-01 20:57:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x1ab06a…
05-01 20:55:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcb5d8a…
05-01 20:54:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3e4a1a…
05-01 20:50:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4baa62…
05-01 20:48:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb546d3…
05-01 20:44:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2edf0b…
05-01 16:45:48	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2619ba…
05-01 16:43:42	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe75e80…
05-01 16:05:08	Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-01?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe63fa2…
05-01 08:44:02	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x11b80a…
05-01 08:39:42	Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Rada Zolotareva	Rada Zolotareva	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9abfad…
05-01 08:39:10	Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-01?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x188ae0…
05-01 08:38:44	Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Rada Zolotareva	Hanyu Guo	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8095da…
05-01 08:37:42	Shymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x51f181…
05-01 08:35:58	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd24d43…
05-01 08:35:32	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd51d56…
05-01 08:35:12	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x20ca4e…
05-01 08:34:14	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa74b35…
05-01 08:33:46	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x22c59b…
04-29 11:53:48	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa8a305…
04-29 11:53:22	Will Matjaž Han be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$1	0x966d7b…
04-29 10:54:28	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb74735…
04-29 10:53:20	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0c1f47…
04-29 10:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 29?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x9b2c09…
04-29 09:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x859529…
04-29 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x180641…
04-29 08:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa31eb2…
04-18 18:11:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x72f1d8…
04-18 18:11:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x95017b…
04-18 18:11:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9479a8…
04-18 18:10:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3a772d…
04-18 18:10:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2d47a8…
04-18 18:09:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x668ad0…
04-18 18:08:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x491e9f…
04-18 18:08:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xeb59e9…
04-17 20:23:54	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Hornets	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x80b6de…
04-17 20:08:08	Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sun	Sergey Fomin	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe28ee3…
04-17 19:59:14	atp holmgre broady 2026 04 17	August Holmgren	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8f5a78…
04-17 19:53:26	Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broom	Li Tu	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc201b1…
04-17 19:50:14	atp tabur zink 2026 04 17	Clement Tabur	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x092f54…
04-17 19:43:48	Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe65a9b…
04-12 21:21:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd050b4…
04-12 21:13:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf12f39…
04-12 21:12:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x769be2…
04-12 21:11:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x075f17…
04-12 21:11:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6146c2…
04-12 21:10:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x148901…
04-12 21:09:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9f29cc…
04-12 19:36:25	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc03399…
04-12 19:36:05	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x53b276…
04-12 19:35:03	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xddcbe3…
04-08 21:52:57	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x54906a…
04-08 21:50:59	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x95a320…
04-08 21:49:51	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x078458…
04-08 21:38:39	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfc0a33…