Chilly-Plenty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$223

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

171

Trades

1,948

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-12 07:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 48% $-223

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	20	$856	957	955	+2	open	—	06-12 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$75	724	0	+724	open	—	04-28 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$69	774	0	+774	open	—	04-28 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	7	$67	155	0	+155	open	—	04-27 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$67	163	0	+163	open	—	04-28 08:25
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$64	170	0	+170	open	—	04-27 20:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$64	139	0	+139	open	—	04-25 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$59	109	0	+109	open	—	04-25 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$59	109	0	+109	open	—	04-27 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$58	131	0	+131	open	—	04-25 06:37
eth updown 5m 1776958800	6	$52	108	0	+108	open	—	04-23 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$47	148	0	+148	open	—	04-24 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$42	80	0	+80	open	—	04-27 20:57
btc updown 5m 1774447500	3	$41	77	0	+77	open	—	03-25 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$40	77	0	+77	open	—	04-25 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$40	63	0	+63	open	—	04-25 06:52
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$39	73	0	+73	open	—	04-25 06:56
btc updown 15m 1777034700	2	$39	430	0	+430	open	—	04-24 12:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$37	62	0	+62	open	—	04-25 05:41
btc updown 5m 1776961500	2	$37	58	0	+58	open	—	04-23 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$36	68	0	+68	open	—	04-25 00:43
btc updown 5m 1774545600	2	$35	64	0	+64	open	—	03-26 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$34	83	0	+83	open	—	04-25 02:11
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$34	65	0	+65	open	—	04-25 06:53
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$33	54	0	+54	open	—	04-27 21:16
btc updown 15m 1777044600	1	$33	105	0	+105	open	—	04-24 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$31	68	0	+68	open	—	04-28 06:45
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$31	49	0	+49	open	—	04-25 05:36
btc updown 15m 1776960900	1	$31	47	0	+47	open	—	04-23 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$31	53	0	+53	open	—	04-25 06:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 07:55:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	420	93¢	$391	0x81e616…
06-12 07:55:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	535	5¢	$27	0x1cd8c9…
06-11 17:30:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x9dbd09…
06-11 13:01:00	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x3ba533…
06-11 12:48:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x951443…
06-11 12:47:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xe0b957…
06-11 12:47:21	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xac18b9…
06-11 12:45:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x30efd8…
06-11 12:45:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xf2a0aa…
06-11 12:44:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xaca528…
06-11 12:43:15	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc94dde…
06-11 12:41:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x154834…
06-11 12:40:55	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x10ec9c…
06-11 12:27:39	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x0b955f…
06-11 12:27:37	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb701ab…
06-11 12:26:00	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xbe990a…
06-11 12:23:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x3acadd…
06-11 10:20:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xeedd51…
06-11 10:14:36	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x531270…
06-11 10:03:43	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x245845…
06-02 18:44:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x6ea357…
06-02 18:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xff8db6…
06-02 17:58:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x8dc2e5…
06-02 17:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x410fde…
06-02 16:55:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x73bc80…
06-02 16:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf00e3f…
06-02 15:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xf45119…
06-02 14:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x652e73…
06-02 14:40:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x30e08f…
06-02 00:47:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xa9e5c2…
06-02 00:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x2abf4c…
06-02 00:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x501b1a…
06-02 00:42:00	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x3d07f3…
06-02 00:37:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x211fda…
06-02 00:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xda1f83…
06-02 00:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x62ccc7…
06-02 00:30:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xa0af36…
06-02 00:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x5e4b6c…
06-02 00:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x8cbd0e…
06-02 00:22:52	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x63f124…
06-02 00:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xd69916…
06-02 00:20:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x65052c…
06-02 00:15:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xc2e447…
06-02 00:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x60d0b5…
06-02 00:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x1caca0…
06-02 00:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x498536…
06-02 00:10:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xb5367d…
06-02 00:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xb717f3…
06-02 00:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xa3e122…
06-02 00:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x125757…
06-01 23:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x519c61…
06-01 23:50:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x908b85…
06-01 23:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x1a5dfd…
06-01 23:41:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xe89244…
06-01 23:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6833f5…
06-01 23:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf81fee…
06-01 23:35:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x956113…
06-01 23:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xa178ac…
06-01 23:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x47757e…
06-01 23:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x23cf80…
06-01 23:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x894651…
06-01 23:26:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x0bbca8…
06-01 23:17:37	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xba5806…
06-01 23:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x64521a…
06-01 23:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x56ce89…
06-01 23:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x590f90…
06-01 23:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x53fe46…
06-01 23:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x9b07e1…
06-01 23:08:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xf31067…
06-01 23:06:34	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x440658…
06-01 23:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x86ec2b…
06-01 23:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x24a5ad…
06-01 22:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xe606e4…
06-01 22:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe7144f…
06-01 22:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x1281cf…
06-01 22:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x112fd0…
06-01 22:35:56	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x53936a…
06-01 22:35:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x0b4d7b…
06-01 22:31:58	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xdc05dd…
06-01 22:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xaa9f26…
06-01 22:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x5ac868…
06-01 22:23:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x4f5eb3…
06-01 22:22:47	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xbac34a…
06-01 22:22:47	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x06ec7d…
06-01 22:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x70659c…
06-01 22:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x61515a…
06-01 22:15:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x39ae4f…
06-01 22:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x67a44f…
06-01 22:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x4b5ed5…
06-01 22:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x14ee5a…
06-01 22:00:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x159ec2…
06-01 21:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xdac9de…
06-01 21:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe2b668…
06-01 21:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xbd7e12…
06-01 21:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xcb5940…
06-01 21:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x094ee7…
06-01 21:50:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x0c6055…
06-01 21:50:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x672be4…
06-01 21:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x6ab845…
06-01 21:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x232a4b…