Insidious-Violet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

5,458

Trades

11,820

lifetime

Volume

$471.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$516

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 11-04 23:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 53% -$11,124

Other

6% 68% -$309

Sports

4% 35% -$5,199

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	+419	$300	72¢	$300	$0	11-04 23:21
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	+157	$105	74¢	$117	+$12	11-01 13:12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	+118	$100	84¢	$99	-$1	11-01 13:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$7.1K	6,478	6,478	+0	Yes	-$2,862	06-11 03:34
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	14	$4.6K	5,777	2,960	+2,817	Spurs	+$105	06-09 02:50
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	4	$3.1K	2,381	2,381	+0	No	-$927	06-21 01:42
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	6	$2.1K	2,543	400	+2,143	Knicks	+$283	06-06 02:57
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	9	$1.9K	2,200	0	+2,200	Knicks	-$1,901	06-11 03:11
bkcba sha3 zhe 2026 06 05	35	$1.9K	2,486	0	+2,486	Shanghai Sharks	+$606	06-05 13:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 05:15 UTC	55	$1.4K	1,677	270	+1,407	Up	-$1,304	06-11 05:29
Puerto Rico vs. China	7	$1.3K	735	735	+0	China	+$134	09-09 17:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 04:30 UTC	9	$1.3K	1,399	0	+1,399	Up	+$99	06-11 04:44
bitcoin up or down september 4 2026 6am et	4	$1.2K	1,335	476	+859	Up	+$10	09-04 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	6	$1.1K	1,274	525	+749	Down	-$126	05-22 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	5	$1.0K	1,602	931	+672	Down	-$108	05-22 13:22
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$1000	1,124	0	+1,124	Yes	+$124	06-20 00:24
Belgium vs. Germany/South Korea	12	$992	976	976	+0	Germany/South Korea	-$288	09-10 17:21
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	4	$982	1,458	0	+1,458	Yes	+$476	06-21 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	6	$968	1,381	1,122	+259	Up	+$27	09-09 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 15:25 UTC	12	$927	1,194	400	+794	Down	-$203	06-10 15:29
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks	51	$903	1,430	760	+670	Zhejiang Lions	-$888	06-02 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	8	$891	980	718	+262	Down	-$247	09-12 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 07:45 UTC	7	$859	1,122	369	+753	Down	-$541	06-23 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	8	$806	1,208	792	+415	Down	+$21	05-29 05:13
Italy vs. Australia	8	$800	1,041	0	+1,041	Australia	+$241	09-09 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	8	$788	843	347	+496	Down	-$116	09-04 09:25
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	4	$782	600	600	+0	Under	-$166	06-09 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$737	960	380	+580	Down	+$117	05-23 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	4	$715	895	388	+506	Down	+$22	05-22 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	8	$713	1,100	1,080	+20	Up	-$487	05-29 05:28
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	9	$707	800	800	+0	Yes	-$333	06-20 21:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 07:00 UTC	6	$700	906	0	+906	Up	+$206	06-23 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	5	$648	836	836	+0	Down	-$352	05-22 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 23:21:57	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0xa520de…
11-04 23:21:16	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	419	72¢	$300	0xe948a3…
11-04 04:05:43	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xec982f…
11-04 04:05:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xf28a31…
11-04 04:05:07	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x31a7e3…
11-03 13:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x467698…
11-03 13:37:48	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	47	78¢	$37	0xb6d5eb…
11-03 13:37:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x16b8b2…
11-03 13:32:49	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xb2c836…
11-03 13:30:45	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xd92b52…
11-03 13:26:37	Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions	Liaoning Flying Leopards	SELL	262	100¢	$261	0x253402…
11-03 09:39:03	Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	262	83¢	$218	0x51e8a5…
11-02 13:02:39	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Beijing Royal Fighters	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x354748…
11-02 10:20:10	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Beijing Royal Fighters	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x7cfb8c…
11-01 13:35:34	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x72fdab…
11-01 13:15:55	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	146	82¢	$120	0xa6c45b…
11-01 13:13:00	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x1a3353…
11-01 13:12:49	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x2da080…
11-01 13:10:45	Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Liaoning Flying Leopards	SELL	330	100¢	$329	0x2e5055…
11-01 09:31:39	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x3a068e…
11-01 09:31:00	Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x693a3f…
10-26 04:01:36	Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0x409b55…
10-25 17:37:45	Ningbo Rockets vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers	Jilin Northeast Tigers	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x1f24a2…
10-24 09:01:56	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x907381…
10-24 07:17:24	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3d57f3…
10-23 15:49:39	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	132	72¢	$95	0x85780f…
10-23 10:54:47	Tianjin Pioneers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions	Guangzhou Loong Lions	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x525077…
10-23 00:02:00	Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Sichuan Blue Whales	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0xf05ce2…
10-23 00:01:20	Tianjin Pioneers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions	Guangzhou Loong Lions	BUY	119	76¢	$90	0x227903…
10-22 00:28:51	Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharks	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	268	74¢	$200	0xdf8d2b…
10-20 21:10:14	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9539a9…
10-20 21:09:44	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xb5803e…
10-20 21:08:59	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x826a69…
10-20 21:06:18	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x08255a…
10-20 21:06:08	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xfb3c5e…
10-20 15:55:59	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8bebe5…
10-20 08:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x2b12fa…
10-20 08:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x69f12b…
10-20 08:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xbdc4ad…
10-20 05:32:35	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	202	89¢	$180	0xd72b84…
10-20 05:31:56	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x943316…
10-20 05:31:18	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x3cc5f4…
10-19 08:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x79c140…
10-19 00:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x511e80…
10-18 16:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2c55e6…
10-18 07:21:05	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x3c38df…
10-17 16:11:45	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	185	81¢	$150	0xe25730…
10-17 16:11:32	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x19ef1b…
10-17 16:09:26	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x8e9a35…
10-17 16:09:21	Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xa23212…
10-17 05:17:02	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xac9f07…
10-16 04:40:28	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x934fc7…
10-16 04:40:16	Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xcab891…
10-16 04:39:40	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x8d5270…
10-14 15:07:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5a69e4…
10-13 06:29:16	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x32fdc2…
10-13 06:28:26	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xd52b18…
10-13 06:28:05	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x1b3d11…
10-13 06:27:46	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x9c424b…
10-11 16:44:42	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x7b20c4…
10-11 05:32:15	Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2cd68e…
10-11 05:31:33	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	257	78¢	$200	0x9b3273…
10-10 17:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x9d9eae…
10-10 17:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0a5b38…
10-10 10:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeb4c45…
10-10 10:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	41	8¢	$3	0x543e40…
10-10 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xa8974c…
10-10 10:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	34	30¢	$10	0x33560f…
10-10 10:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	34	31¢	$11	0x65396a…
10-10 10:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x8adbf3…
10-10 09:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xce9347…
10-10 09:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7e48d9…
10-10 09:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc48db1…
10-10 09:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe6513f…
10-10 09:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x9fd9f3…
10-10 09:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	42	9¢	$4	0x93d40f…
10-10 09:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x605c2d…
10-10 09:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd1dd7b…
10-10 09:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xac249b…
10-10 09:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x3148e7…
10-10 08:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xbf2d79…
10-10 08:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1eb460…
10-10 08:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x136f7f…
10-10 08:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfe8db6…
10-10 08:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	181	3¢	$5	0x37e0a3…
10-10 08:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0x0af5f4…
10-10 08:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	105	4¢	$4	0xf2f2b9…
10-10 08:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xa33507…
10-10 08:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xa27ca7…
10-10 08:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb280cd…
10-10 08:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xaa521b…
10-09 16:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x4b8469…
10-09 16:37:07	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x4e7154…
10-09 16:31:04	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x1930bf…
10-09 02:31:33	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x1e77c8…
10-09 02:30:29	Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	423	71¢	$300	0xd42777…
10-08 15:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	280	17¢	$48	0x82aafb…
10-08 15:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	280	54¢	$150	0xb5bd9b…
10-08 15:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	189	2¢	$4	0x50b145…
10-08 15:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xb10fba…