Defiant-Toffee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$696

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

6,706

Trades

8,067

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 09-15 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% -$696

Other

0% 67% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$40	85	+85	Up	-$40	05-08 14:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$25	30	+30	Up	-$25	05-06 18:14
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	5	$25	30	+30	Down	+$5	05-08 02:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$24	27	+27	Down	+$3	05-08 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Down	-$20	09-03 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	06-02 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Down	+$5	06-01 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	06-01 13:49
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Down	+$5	06-01 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Down	-$20	06-02 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Up	-$20	06-02 02:13
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Down	+$5	06-02 01:18
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Up	-$20	06-02 16:03
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Up	-$20	06-02 17:19
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$20	27	+27	Down	+$7	06-02 13:09
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Down	-$20	06-02 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Down	+$6	06-01 13:38
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Up	+$6	06-01 22:58
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	06-02 20:03
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	06-01 14:58
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Down	+$6	06-01 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$20	22	+22	Down	+$2	06-01 13:43
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Down	+$6	06-02 13:54
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Down	+$6	06-02 02:33
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Down	-$20	06-01 23:13
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Up	-$20	06-02 23:03
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Down	+$6	06-02 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Down	+$6	06-01 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Up	+$1	06-01 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$20	27	+27	Down	+$7	06-02 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 08:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1a9562…
09-14 10:43:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	61	23¢	$14	0xeac72c…
09-14 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xee7ce3…
09-05 10:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xc950fc…
09-05 09:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xecba70…
09-05 09:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xdcd832…
09-05 08:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xd3df02…
09-05 08:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x541821…
09-05 08:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0x09751a…
09-05 08:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe086e7…
09-05 08:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x7013a4…
09-05 07:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x3917e2…
09-05 06:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x01221d…
09-05 06:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x4f1aab…
09-05 06:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb76072…
09-05 05:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x4ab9c8…
09-05 05:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4ad43d…
09-05 05:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x8c0a54…
09-05 05:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xfb6834…
09-05 05:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x6ac6bd…
09-05 05:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xad0b8a…
09-05 05:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf7227d…
09-05 04:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x54cd94…
09-05 04:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2b5b27…
09-05 04:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x45aacc…
09-05 04:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe8de83…
09-05 04:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x5f9e2a…
09-05 04:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x3cb867…
09-05 03:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xbbf3d2…
09-05 03:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	65¢	$11	0xe5fa11…
09-05 03:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x880a4d…
09-05 03:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xf41e27…
09-05 03:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xe10135…
09-05 02:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x64771c…
09-05 02:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0d9b5c…
09-05 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xdaf65c…
09-05 02:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x9b3257…
09-05 02:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xe12049…
09-05 01:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xd6706e…
09-05 01:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9bf70a…
09-05 01:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x0cec0b…
09-05 01:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x66e701…
09-05 01:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xa145d9…
09-05 01:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x37af80…
09-05 01:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x8faac3…
09-05 01:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x71989b…
09-05 01:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x2ab2f8…
09-05 00:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x21f75c…
09-05 00:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x3cf7a2…
09-05 00:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x817f91…
09-05 00:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x8b7e73…
09-04 23:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x2016cb…
09-04 23:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8d43dc…
09-04 23:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x27eb1a…
09-04 22:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xde0dd7…
09-04 22:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0x528066…
09-04 22:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x635af7…
09-04 22:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x6035f7…
09-04 21:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xd2b6a0…
09-04 21:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xc8310d…
09-04 21:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0xdb2f88…
09-04 21:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x2e1ed3…
09-04 21:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x08839a…
09-04 20:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xdfc682…
09-04 20:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x0e4c43…
09-04 20:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x6ba74e…
09-04 20:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xf3638d…
09-04 19:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xf6661e…
09-04 18:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x8c5e6c…
09-04 18:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xfb8a5e…
09-04 17:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xde7020…
09-04 17:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xbb1685…
09-04 17:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0xfc789e…
09-04 17:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x1b8b11…
09-04 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xb34ae6…
09-04 17:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcf49c4…
09-04 16:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x26c7ee…
09-04 16:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x26ab25…
09-04 15:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xb2e630…
09-04 15:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x46d2ce…
09-04 15:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xcc0816…
09-04 14:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x734af2…
09-04 14:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	57¢	$8	0x5b80ba…
09-04 14:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x227aaa…
09-04 13:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x1edc92…
09-04 13:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x09f78a…
09-04 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x1cab9c…
09-04 12:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xc5171e…
09-04 12:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xfa154d…
09-04 12:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xd020b7…
09-04 12:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x8fefc4…
09-04 11:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x8e18f7…
09-04 11:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x5d45d1…
09-04 11:30:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x04fbee…
09-04 11:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xb828be…
09-04 10:36:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x0b4ff6…
09-04 10:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xc8836d…
09-04 10:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x23ddee…
09-04 10:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xeaf574…
09-04 09:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xff8d05…