Insubstantial-Speaking-Present — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$262

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.8%

Resolved

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$3.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-30 18:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 27% $-260

Other

10% — —

Politics

0% 33% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	9	$330	299	299	+0	Down	+$30	05-11 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	10	$252	2,805	141	+2,664	Up	$-28	05-11 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	11	$213	768	244	+524	Up	+$14	05-11 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$205	290	186	+104	open	—	05-30 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	7	$175	1,828	0	+1,828	Down	$-175	05-11 20:39
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$173	4,602	0	+4,602	open	—	05-30 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	7	$150	613	78	+534	open	—	05-19 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$145	1,206	0	+1,206	Down	$-145	05-11 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	6	$130	1,128	0	+1,128	open	—	05-19 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$127	160	160	+0	open	—	05-30 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	5	$121	1,402	66	+1,336	Up	$-70	05-11 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$101	419	0	+419	Up	+$318	05-11 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$100	3,296	0	+3,296	Down	$-100	05-11 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$91	2,568	12	+2,556	Down	$-69	05-11 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	13	$87	169	60	+109	Up	+$84	05-11 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	8	$82	135	16	+119	open	—	05-19 07:59
Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo	2	$69	243	0	+243	open	—	05-30 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$65	50	50	+0	Up	+$35	05-11 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	10	$56	78	39	+38	Down	$-25	05-11 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$50	261	0	+261	open	—	05-30 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	6	$50	230	0	+230	Down	$-50	05-11 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$48	256	0	+256	open	—	05-30 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	7	$42	76	76	+0	open	—	05-30 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	8	$40	117	117	+0	open	—	05-30 18:19
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$39	199	199	+0	Down	$-31	05-11 20:54
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: James McCabe vs Zdenek Kolar	2	$38	135	135	+0	open	—	05-19 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	7	$35	252	0	+252	open	—	05-19 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	5	$28	97	97	+0	open	—	05-30 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	Down	$-25	05-11 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	5	$25	344	0	+344	open	—	05-19 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	48	7¢	$3	0xdef037…
05-30 18:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3a6dff…
05-30 18:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdd419c…
05-30 18:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x4c2dc8…
05-30 18:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	28	49¢	$14	0x9066ae…
05-30 18:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x90ff12…
05-30 18:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xaa3a90…
05-30 18:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0c09a0…
05-30 18:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa1d24e…
05-30 18:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb48e28…
05-30 18:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xca06f9…
05-30 18:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	107	5¢	$5	0x92661e…
05-30 18:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x909433…
05-30 18:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x438184…
05-30 18:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc88a73…
05-30 18:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x42d83a…
05-30 18:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xdd70ac…
05-30 18:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x230142…
05-30 18:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa15c7a…
05-30 18:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x36cb6e…
05-30 17:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x0416ec…
05-30 17:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x3fe096…
05-30 17:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x121904…
05-30 17:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	97	8¢	$8	0xe191dd…
05-30 17:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xff65cc…
05-30 17:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xef5aba…
05-30 17:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xcf34b5…
05-30 17:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd1fcec…
05-30 17:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xc62ec6…
05-30 17:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x1c02ca…
05-30 17:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	82	64¢	$53	0x0b891e…
05-30 17:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xec40c9…
05-30 17:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	78	31¢	$24	0x50ad3d…
05-30 17:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xd81673…
05-30 17:29:29	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	4,000	1¢	$40	0x9a1c44…
05-30 17:28:49	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	304	16¢	$50	0xf5ca78…
05-30 17:27:54	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	298	28¢	$83	0x8dddf9…
05-30 17:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xba9016…
05-30 17:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x8676a5…
05-30 17:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	186	60¢	$112	0x8c46d4…
05-30 17:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xec9723…
05-30 17:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xff675c…
05-30 17:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	122	15¢	$18	0x5023da…
05-30 17:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x2ea42d…
05-30 17:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe252e8…
05-30 17:07:00	Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo	Seattle Storm	BUY	139	29¢	$40	0x95e736…
05-30 17:06:11	Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo	Seattle Storm	BUY	104	28¢	$29	0x2be6f5…
05-19 08:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x003dd6…
05-19 08:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x79e25b…
05-19 08:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x9103fa…
05-19 08:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x783cf6…
05-19 08:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xcbd38d…
05-19 08:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	78	77¢	$60	0x11d8c6…
05-19 08:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xedcb41…
05-19 08:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x94e197…
05-19 08:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1db406…
05-19 08:20:43	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Dusan Lajovic	Jurij Rodionov	SELL	32	28¢	$9	0xa06b9e…
05-19 08:20:40	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: James McCabe vs Zdenek Kolar	James McCabe	SELL	135	13¢	$18	0x690031…
05-19 08:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	373	7¢	$25	0x12a53a…
05-19 08:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	398	6¢	$25	0x043a09…
05-19 08:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	171	15¢	$25	0x5b61b3…
05-19 08:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x1b00ef…
05-19 08:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xe4cb81…
05-19 08:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd2049f…
05-19 08:16:00	Bengaluru 3: Takuya Kumasaka vs Taiyo Yamanaka	Taiyo Yamanaka	SELL	34	26¢	$9	0x18415e…
05-19 08:15:40	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: James McCabe vs Zdenek Kolar	James McCabe	BUY	135	15¢	$20	0x275c8d…
05-19 08:15:28	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Dusan Lajovic	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x4bbe5e…
05-19 08:15:19	Bengaluru 3: Takuya Kumasaka vs Taiyo Yamanaka	Taiyo Yamanaka	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x9b3aa0…
05-19 08:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0xe69ec3…
05-19 08:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xf18616…
05-19 08:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x30b56d…
05-19 08:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x7b18f2…
05-19 08:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5819c5…
05-19 08:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6413e6…
05-19 08:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x42ca83…
05-19 08:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x63e6aa…
05-19 08:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xbb49f4…
05-19 08:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x2b6296…
05-19 08:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd138c1…
05-19 08:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc2b766…
05-19 07:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xeafbc8…
05-19 07:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xfad69c…
05-19 07:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x464f46…
05-19 07:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x664558…
05-19 07:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x49eed5…
05-19 07:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0xd51bbc…
05-19 07:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xebb527…
05-19 07:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8e57ee…
05-11 20:58:25	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9e04cc…
05-11 20:58:24	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa87692…
05-11 20:57:54	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x79d45a…
05-11 20:57:40	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x424531…
05-11 20:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xd8a7cb…
05-11 20:57:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x023c9b…
05-11 20:55:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x84080f…
05-11 20:55:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe9c8c1…
05-11 20:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa5c7b0…
05-11 20:54:27	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	199	2¢	$4	0x39492d…
05-11 20:53:21	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xf5e9bd…
05-11 20:52:53	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x361f40…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	37	$48.5K	1,388	05-30 19:16
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	37	$22.0K	3,535	05-30 18:24
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	37	$3.56K	417	05-30 18:24
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	37	$3.38K	209	05-30 18:24
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	37	$1.52K	232	05-30 18:24
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	36	$14.5K	1,121	05-30 18:24
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	36	$10.3K	1,369	05-30 18:24
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	36	$7.08K	1,206	05-30 18:24