Insubstantial-Speaking-Present — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$578

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

Trades

492

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 10-20 20:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 46% -$333

Other

5% 25% -$243

Politics

0% 25% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:00 UTC	9	$700	6,777	0	+6,777	Up	-$700	06-12 07:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:35 UTC	7	$625	1,134	0	+1,134	Up	+$509	06-12 06:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:30 UTC	8	$517	345	345	+0	Down	+$167	06-12 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	5	$500	2,075	0	+2,075	Up	-$500	06-12 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:50 UTC	6	$450	711	0	+711	Down	+$261	06-12 06:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:10 UTC	5	$400	3,477	0	+3,477	Down	-$400	06-12 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:20 UTC	4	$400	1,039	0	+1,039	Up	-$400	06-12 07:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:05 UTC	4	$400	775	0	+775	Down	+$375	06-12 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	11	$395	719	270	+449	Up	+$65	10-20 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	6	$385	306	306	+0	Down	+$185	10-20 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:40 UTC	5	$350	633	0	+633	Down	+$283	06-12 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	10	$332	996	496	+500	Up	+$62	10-20 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	9	$330	299	299	+0	Down	+$30	05-11 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:35 UTC	3	$300	1,793	0	+1,793	Down	-$300	06-12 08:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:25 UTC	3	$300	487	0	+487	Down	+$187	06-12 06:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:15 UTC	3	$300	541	0	+541	Up	+$241	06-12 07:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:30 UTC	8	$261	3,879	96	+3,783	Down	-$89	06-12 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	10	$252	2,805	141	+2,664	Up	-$28	05-11 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:55 UTC	7	$250	488	0	+488	Down	-$250	06-12 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:25 UTC	3	$227	778	0	+778	Down	-$227	06-12 07:28
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	3	$214	112	112	+0	Yes	+$7	06-12 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	11	$213	768	244	+524	Up	+$14	05-11 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	9	$212	2,598	69	+2,529	Down	-$138	10-20 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$205	290	186	+104	Up	+$122	05-30 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	20	$181	373	158	+215	Up	+$31	10-20 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	7	$175	1,828	0	+1,828	Down	-$175	05-11 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	12	$173	518	184	+333	Up	+$33	10-20 19:39
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$173	4,602	0	+4,602	Yes	-$173	05-30 17:29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	3	$156	356	356	+0	No	+$36	05-30 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	7	$150	613	78	+534	Down	-$30	05-19 08:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 20:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7eb751…
10-20 20:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xb71cf2…
10-20 20:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x33a897…
10-20 20:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xdddfc3…
10-20 20:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x10729f…
10-20 20:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3be0da…
10-20 20:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x746b56…
10-20 20:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbcba38…
10-20 20:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	51	82¢	$42	0xc1002b…
10-20 20:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xea5e03…
10-20 20:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2866bf…
10-20 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3a61e5…
10-20 19:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x8d963b…
10-20 19:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc13f79…
10-20 19:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x2652fe…
10-20 19:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x09e137…
10-20 19:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xdc05c8…
10-20 19:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x96804b…
10-20 19:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x608ccf…
10-20 19:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x38fcb9…
10-20 19:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x78873b…
10-20 19:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x056296…
10-20 19:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xfea539…
10-20 19:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x425071…
10-20 19:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	54	72¢	$39	0x8b3e88…
10-20 19:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb88ffd…
10-20 19:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe1edfa…
10-20 19:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6b4c61…
10-20 19:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd1eec4…
10-20 19:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x63aff0…
10-20 19:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x8c1712…
10-20 19:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x1b3f72…
10-20 19:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x0f455a…
10-20 19:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	58	82¢	$48	0xfb6550…
10-20 19:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x33460d…
10-20 19:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6980a0…
10-20 19:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x58e46c…
10-20 19:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe7c07b…
10-20 19:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	29	54¢	$16	0x54ddda…
10-20 19:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xcd0db1…
10-20 19:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb669f6…
10-20 19:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	62¢	$7	0x88fe1d…
10-20 19:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x01a568…
10-20 19:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	36	54¢	$20	0xb713bd…
10-20 19:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x62f77c…
10-20 19:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x02b860…
10-20 19:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	23	71¢	$16	0x4acbf9…
10-20 19:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfa21ad…
10-20 19:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x58a356…
10-20 19:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x55ca87…
10-20 19:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xaa086e…
10-20 19:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x5fa435…
10-20 19:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x69380f…
10-20 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x498955…
10-20 19:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8f9233…
10-20 19:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x0bcc53…
10-20 19:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x505f10…
10-20 19:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	93	77¢	$71	0x543899…
10-20 19:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9b3e97…
10-20 19:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x468fb7…
10-20 19:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x96b2a4…
10-20 19:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x704bda…
10-20 19:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	92	35¢	$32	0x3b829c…
10-20 19:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa669bf…
10-20 19:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa97195…
10-20 19:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb09077…
10-20 19:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4f120f…
10-20 19:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x67dc3c…
10-20 19:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbaa160…
10-20 19:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5fb193…
10-20 19:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0xc1f563…
10-20 19:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc0e9f1…
10-20 19:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	187	13¢	$25	0xf1b83e…
10-20 19:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	142	18¢	$25	0x8b4c08…
10-20 19:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	94	26¢	$25	0xc991f4…
10-20 19:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x54a5d3…
10-20 19:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x7ed655…
10-20 19:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xadd166…
10-20 19:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,156	2¢	$24	0x2256a9…
10-20 19:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x9f2467…
10-20 19:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	833	3¢	$25	0xa3ad94…
10-20 19:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x82dd75…
10-20 19:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	175	14¢	$25	0x5b3297…
10-20 19:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x07f732…
10-20 19:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xd1d25e…
10-20 19:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	69	53¢	$37	0x7cb468…
10-20 19:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x8efec8…
10-20 19:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	240	98¢	$236	0x66d1cc…
10-20 19:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xa40300…
10-20 19:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0xd0d049…
10-20 19:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xc817ab…
10-20 19:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	66	75¢	$49	0x2ef88c…
10-20 19:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x549cf2…
10-20 19:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x9999f0…
10-20 19:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x5c36b2…
10-20 19:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xcc70f9…
10-20 19:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	247	88¢	$217	0x640938…
10-20 19:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x630c12…
10-20 19:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xa8438a…
10-20 19:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xd7c575…