Granular-Hair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,299

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 06-30 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

78% 97% +$1

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:44:31	wta osorio waltert 2026 06 29	Camila Osorio	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee6820…
06-30 19:16:43	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b6274…
06-30 18:00:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5148b8…
06-30 10:12:46	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b0e10…
06-30 04:26:01	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17d134…
06-30 04:16:11	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30af5f…
06-30 01:50:29	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 spread home 2pt5	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2896e7…
06-30 00:35:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35fb0b…
06-29 23:38:40	will germany reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149725	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd8d8f…
06-29 22:38:17	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals kai havertz gte2	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0b43e…
06-29 20:00:13	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7131d3…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb2885…
06-29 16:24:55	val jl bar 2026 06 29 game1	Barça eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbabcf6…
06-29 16:05:04	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83c477…
06-29 13:52:41	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x053136…
06-28 20:53:40	mlb phi nym 2026 06 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02a304…
06-28 17:22:34	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d0304…
06-28 04:01:44	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e2d75…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x385bd6…
06-27 16:44:01	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe3ba4…
06-27 05:13:59	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x518fa5…
06-27 02:05:16	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72bfbf…
06-26 11:53:59	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00425e…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5af07f…
06-25 22:21:04	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 shots leroy sane gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29e70f…
06-25 22:16:14	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae34b6…
06-25 02:00:25	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x899e69…
06-25 01:49:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb24ce6…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b194f…
06-25 00:04:23	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x905ab2…
06-24 20:58:26	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaecfc1…
06-24 16:58:16	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62d30a…
06-24 03:15:11	mlb lad min 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x556d0f…
06-24 01:01:16	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe96e4c…
06-23 21:04:40	wti closes above 73 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3aaf4b…
06-23 20:00:50	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10e59f…
06-23 19:02:19	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x478e59…
06-23 18:25:05	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd29418…
06-23 18:10:41	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b9287…
06-23 13:18:31	kbo nc lot 2026 06 23	Lotte Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc07933…
06-23 00:54:53	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad9345…
06-21 20:34:01	mlb cws det 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Chicago White Sox	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ba14f…
06-21 19:13:16	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 goals jeremy doku gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86961f…
06-21 18:13:10	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb21873…
06-21 13:51:46	cs2 fokus pha 2026 06 21 game1	FOKUS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x163a7b…
06-21 06:59:20	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 corners team away 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb35aa…
06-20 20:06:47	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ce0ef…
06-20 18:20:46	atp ofner assche 2026 06 20	Luca Van Assche	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01ee0e…
06-20 05:14:19	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ff04c…
06-20 02:41:29	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d4cf4…
06-20 01:48:59	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6685e4…
06-19 19:35:50	cs2 ff navij1 2026 06 19	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35b177…
06-19 15:45:29	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5f3ae…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ba827…
06-18 21:03:52	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5257f9…
06-18 21:02:56	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7acbc7…
06-18 20:07:34	mlb cle mil 2026 06 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5436b…
06-18 20:00:16	will hood dip to 92 50 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b736d…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab6b2c…
06-17 19:05:31	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x740444…
06-17 19:04:13	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71dd98…
06-17 18:09:13	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2261ea…
06-17 17:24:56	atp feldbau gulin 2026 06 17	Kilian Feldbausch	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef5594…
06-17 16:10:17	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92c503…
06-17 16:08:10	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad48e0…
06-17 16:06:19	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef6aaf…
06-17 03:10:43	mlb col chc 2026 06 16	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b0f4a…
06-17 00:03:22	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8010f9…
06-16 13:45:55	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x324698…
06-16 02:26:33	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd3153…
06-15 19:57:04	cs2 sparta g2a 2026 06 15 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f202c…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf8ecde…
06-15 12:41:36	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaafa1a…
06-15 01:32:09	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ee7ec…
06-14 19:23:12	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdb29c…
06-14 19:21:48	mlb mia pit 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ec46d…
06-14 19:11:19	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 corners first half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bf97e…
06-14 19:02:27	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51b38a…
06-14 03:29:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 11pt5	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x497f9a…
06-14 03:29:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 10pt5	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a464d…
06-13 22:39:01	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 13 game3 round total 18pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73ed03…
06-13 21:21:10	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28e355…
06-13 11:10:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2597da…
06-13 09:50:54	cs2 mzp atp1 2026 06 13	Metizport	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c8a90…
06-13 09:23:27	cs2 bmb gbl 2026 06 13 game2	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa10888…
06-13 01:55:04	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x308daa…
06-12 23:27:34	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf85a30…
06-12 20:27:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb97d9b…
06-12 20:18:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b2402…
06-12 20:17:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3bf99…
06-12 13:30:18	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf376d2…
06-11 22:13:42	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d3feb…
06-11 21:14:07	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe752b…
06-11 16:53:31	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x953332…
06-10 20:16:54	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdb29b…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x192ff7…
06-10 09:20:43	itf kulikov vaquero 2026 06 10 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x21a743…
06-09 17:17:39	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa30583…
06-09 16:28:55	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x745b31…
06-08 21:37:03	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0a5ea…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 00:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 23:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:01
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:58
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Set 1 Winner: Paul vs Etcheverry	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 19:59
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 8 2026 15corhigher	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 11:25
arg bar cas 2026 04 02 total 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 20:54
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 02:54
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	1	$10	10	0	+10	Texas Rangers	+$0	05-10 21:08
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 04:10
hr1 sla haj 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 18:25
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 21:14
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:07
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 00:04
Santillan vs. Wong: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Over	+$0	05-05 10:48