Wild-Speculation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

110

Trades

3,417

lifetime

Volume

$76.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-26 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 58% $-11

Other

9% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$1.3K	959	959	+0	open	—	03-29 12:07
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$897	500	500	+0	open	—	03-29 12:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$890	598	598	+0	open	—	04-12 17:22
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$711	1,187	785	+402	open	—	04-17 13:54
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	2	$681	732	732	+0	open	—	03-07 11:00
btc updown 5m 1780572600	2	$645	581	581	+0	open	—	06-04 11:34
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	1	$500	904	0	+904	open	—	03-07 11:14
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$500	838	0	+838	open	—	04-08 20:16
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	2	$372	336	336	+0	open	—	04-10 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$324	325	309	+16	open	—	04-25 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$314	264	255	+9	open	—	04-26 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$306	208	208	+0	open	—	05-28 20:29
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	1	$300	322	0	+322	open	—	03-08 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$284	192	186	+7	open	—	04-26 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$278	246	176	+70	open	—	04-25 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$271	182	176	+6	open	—	04-26 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$270	179	179	+0	open	—	05-28 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$266	266	228	+38	open	—	04-27 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$259	158	156	+3	open	—	04-26 21:39
btc updown 5m 1780591500	2	$252	175	175	+0	open	—	06-04 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$248	216	207	+9	open	—	04-27 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$241	151	147	+4	open	—	04-27 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$238	390	122	+268	open	—	05-28 18:44
btc updown 5m 1773609300	2	$218	119	118	+1	open	—	03-15 21:21
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	2	$218	118	118	+0	open	—	03-05 21:41
btc updown 5m 1780571700	2	$215	146	146	+0	open	—	06-04 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$208	154	154	+0	Down	+$8	05-06 22:58
btc updown 5m 1780593300	1	$200	500	0	+500	open	—	06-04 17:15
Will Bayern Munich win DFB-Pokal?	1	$200	250	0	+250	open	—	04-23 17:27
btc updown 5m 1780573500	1	$200	309	0	+309	open	—	06-04 11:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 09:55:55	btc updown 5m 1782467700	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdcd685…
06-26 09:55:07	btc updown 5m 1782467400	Up	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x3dd937…
06-26 09:08:40	btc updown 5m 1782464700	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe12796…
06-26 09:03:22	btc updown 5m 1782464400	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x69136f…
06-26 08:26:22	btc updown 5m 1782462300	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd020e5…
06-26 08:20:22	btc updown 5m 1782462000	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x6bae92…
06-26 07:25:49	btc updown 5m 1782458700	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x63d0e1…
06-26 06:12:22	btc updown 5m 1782454200	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x41f908…
06-07 14:08:46	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x85bfed…
06-06 21:40:18	btc updown 5m 1780782000	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd6e7ff…
06-05 14:00:30	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe10821…
06-05 13:36:21	btc updown 5m 1780666500	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x870085…
06-04 22:25:45	btc updown 5m 1780611900	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x7697d6…
06-04 22:20:13	btc updown 5m 1780611600	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xabead8…
06-04 22:19:09	btc updown 5m 1780611300	Up	SELL	48	91¢	$44	0x77abec…
06-04 22:16:10	btc updown 5m 1780611300	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x66def6…
06-04 22:11:22	btc updown 5m 1780611000	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x6756d4…
06-04 22:07:03	btc updown 5m 1780610700	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xe52268…
06-04 22:01:27	btc updown 5m 1780610400	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb11d48…
06-04 21:45:55	btc updown 5m 1780609500	Up	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xa61c63…
06-04 21:45:19	btc updown 5m 1780609500	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x1c406c…
06-04 21:43:16	btc updown 5m 1780609200	Up	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0xea7e5f…
06-04 21:40:13	btc updown 5m 1780609200	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x63b4c5…
06-04 21:35:07	btc updown 5m 1780608900	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x6c3131…
06-04 21:34:00	btc updown 5m 1780608600	Down	SELL	47	91¢	$43	0x6e5b0a…
06-04 21:30:22	btc updown 5m 1780608600	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x60d718…
06-04 18:43:04	btc updown 5m 1780598400	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x1c0b35…
06-04 18:37:03	btc updown 5m 1780598100	Down	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xfd18fd…
06-04 18:30:58	btc updown 5m 1780597800	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xd1c5f1…
06-04 18:26:33	btc updown 5m 1780597500	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x42c3bf…
06-04 18:20:30	btc updown 5m 1780597200	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x90c9f4…
06-04 18:06:03	btc updown 5m 1780596300	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0xa6f39c…
06-04 18:00:52	btc updown 5m 1780596000	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x4521ab…
06-04 17:46:21	btc updown 5m 1780595100	Up	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0x9b8aa1…
06-04 17:45:25	btc updown 5m 1780595100	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xae1524…
06-04 17:40:19	btc updown 5m 1780594800	Down	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0xe68eb6…
06-04 17:36:54	btc updown 5m 1780594500	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xd16436…
06-04 17:31:07	btc updown 5m 1780594200	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xd699c1…
06-04 17:27:15	btc updown 5m 1780593900	Down	BUY	364	14¢	$50	0x9b3ee6…
06-04 17:20:27	btc updown 5m 1780593600	Up	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0x34849b…
06-04 17:15:16	btc updown 5m 1780593300	Up	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xde5e0b…
06-04 17:14:39	btc updown 5m 1780593000	Up	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xaba26f…
06-04 17:00:12	btc updown 5m 1780592400	Up	BUY	395	51¢	$200	0x5d5068…
06-04 16:57:22	btc updown 5m 1780592100	Up	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x593e6b…
06-04 16:52:15	btc updown 5m 1780591800	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x40dbc7…
06-04 16:48:33	btc updown 5m 1780591500	Up	SELL	175	87¢	$152	0xcfce1c…
06-04 16:46:10	btc updown 5m 1780591500	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xb839f3…
06-04 16:35:28	btc updown 5m 1780590900	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x2f9eb3…
06-04 16:30:54	btc updown 5m 1780590600	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x9362e3…
06-04 16:26:49	btc updown 5m 1780590300	Up	BUY	391	13¢	$50	0x4c5a39…
06-04 16:03:45	btc updown 5m 1780588800	Up	BUY	809	6¢	$50	0x55dc6d…
06-04 15:55:27	btc updown 5m 1780588500	Up	BUY	308	32¢	$100	0xcb0ad4…
06-04 15:50:34	btc updown 5m 1780588200	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xd333ee…
06-04 13:00:42	btc updown 5m 1780578000	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x3f97b1…
06-04 12:51:27	btc updown 5m 1780577400	Down	BUY	325	62¢	$200	0x565213…
06-04 12:11:07	btc updown 5m 1780575000	Down	BUY	128	36¢	$46	0x2cee26…
06-04 12:01:16	btc updown 5m 1780574400	Down	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xc6c125…
06-04 11:56:57	btc updown 5m 1780574100	Down	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x5eb56c…
06-04 11:45:27	btc updown 5m 1780573500	Up	BUY	309	65¢	$200	0xf96dcc…
06-04 11:41:58	btc updown 5m 1780573200	Up	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xa1790f…
06-04 11:34:04	btc updown 5m 1780572600	Down	SELL	581	94¢	$545	0xb38f20…
06-04 11:31:04	btc updown 5m 1780572600	Down	BUY	581	17¢	$100	0xbc84a2…
06-04 11:28:00	btc updown 5m 1780572300	Down	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x6cb648…
06-04 11:21:04	btc updown 5m 1780572000	Down	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x941bc6…
06-04 11:16:46	btc updown 5m 1780571700	Up	SELL	146	79¢	$115	0xb0e474…
06-04 11:15:39	btc updown 5m 1780571700	Up	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0x3aa72e…
06-04 11:10:15	btc updown 5m 1780571400	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x84cb65…
06-04 11:06:24	btc updown 5m 1780571100	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x5c663f…
06-04 11:05:57	btc updown 5m 1780571100	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xf24e15…
06-03 22:41:30	andy burnham becomes an mp by june 30	Yes	SELL	175	72¢	$126	0x742417…
06-02 12:42:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	476	0¢	$0	0xf52772…
05-30 22:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x1f2b0d…
05-30 22:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x8e661a…
05-30 22:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x9c71d0…
05-30 22:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0x349b1d…
05-30 22:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	235	43¢	$100	0x856d63…
05-30 22:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	264	38¢	$100	0x1522bb…
05-30 22:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x580a00…
05-30 22:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe2aae8…
05-30 22:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xf3d10d…
05-30 22:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xe1784d…
05-30 22:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x525f46…
05-30 21:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	260	38¢	$100	0xaf1b2c…
05-30 21:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xab5ab8…
05-30 21:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xa9dc75…
05-30 21:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x4ed828…
05-30 21:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x7d81c8…
05-30 14:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x1bcda3…
05-30 14:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x650c0d…
05-30 14:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x90ddd3…
05-30 14:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xcf1afa…
05-30 14:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x346591…
05-30 14:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x40af1a…
05-30 14:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	82	37¢	$30	0x0e2b6a…
05-30 14:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xbe3748…
05-30 14:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x3f8311…
05-30 14:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x6e37b9…
05-30 13:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x6fe1cc…
05-30 12:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2cf658…
05-30 12:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	75	95¢	$71	0x3459ee…