Wild-Speculation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.86K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

2,530

Trades

3,529

lifetime

Volume

$80.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-26 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 54% -$1,602

Other

13% 42% -$2,456

Politics

1% 100% +$81

Sports

1% 67% +$121

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$1.3K	959	959	+0	Yes	+$43	03-29 12:07
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$897	500	500	+0	Yes	+$97	03-29 12:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$890	598	598	+0	Yes	+$90	04-12 17:22
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$711	1,187	785	+402	No	-$489	04-17 13:54
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	2	$681	732	732	+0	No	+$81	03-07 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 11:30 UTC	2	$645	581	581	+0	Down	+$445	06-04 11:34
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	1	$500	904	0	+904	Yes	-$500	03-07 11:14
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$500	838	0	+838	No	-$500	04-08 20:16
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	2	$372	336	336	+0	No	+$172	04-10 21:48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	3	$350	250	250	+0	Yes	+$150	04-28 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$324	325	309	+16	Up	+$140	04-25 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$314	264	255	+9	Down	+$43	04-26 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$306	208	208	+0	Up	+$106	05-28 20:29
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	1	$300	322	0	+322	No	-$300	03-08 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$290	192	192	+0	Down	+$90	06-04 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$284	192	186	+7	Up	+$90	04-26 21:55
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	3	$283	294	294	+0	Yes	+$83	06-03 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$278	246	176	+70	Up	-$22	04-25 21:08
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$272	172	172	+0	Yes	+$72	05-30 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$271	208	208	+0	Down	+$71	06-04 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$271	182	176	+6	Up	+$77	04-26 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$270	179	179	+0	Up	+$70	05-28 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$266	266	228	+38	Down	+$65	04-27 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$259	158	156	+3	Up	+$21	04-26 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:45 UTC	2	$252	175	175	+0	Down	+$52	06-04 16:48
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?	3	$250	151	151	+0	Yes	+$50	06-03 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$248	216	207	+9	Up	+$84	04-27 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$241	151	147	+4	Down	+$45	04-27 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$238	390	122	+268	Up	-$112	05-28 18:44
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?	2	$226	175	175	+0	Yes	+$26	06-03 22:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 09:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdcd685…
06-26 09:55:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x3dd937…
06-26 09:08:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe12796…
06-26 09:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x69136f…
06-26 08:26:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd020e5…
06-26 08:20:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x6bae92…
06-26 07:25:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x63d0e1…
06-26 06:34:17	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x1080b0…
06-26 06:34:07	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	26	36¢	$9	0x46df98…
06-26 06:33:56	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0xbd6773…
06-26 06:33:40	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	96	19¢	$18	0x8a7961…
06-26 06:12:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x41f908…
06-25 05:48:26	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x62be3d…
06-25 05:47:26	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe9041a…
06-25 05:47:01	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x336715…
06-25 05:46:05	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xc67c36…
06-24 06:02:02	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x67bafb…
06-23 05:50:07	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	96	20¢	$19	0x956d3d…
06-22 19:37:41	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1ff144…
06-22 19:36:49	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8bbbfb…
06-22 19:36:14	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x95ff33…
06-22 19:35:56	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa40072…
06-22 19:35:35	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x7f7ab3…
06-22 19:35:20	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe31031…
06-22 19:34:22	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xc87e35…
06-22 19:34:14	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xb37606…
06-21 07:42:08	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x72f1c2…
06-21 07:41:14	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x83dc17…
06-21 07:40:49	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x36c072…
06-20 13:07:28	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	49	12¢	$6	0x4def6b…
06-20 13:06:41	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x493277…
06-20 13:06:17	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xe376e2…
06-17 14:23:01	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd27ae6…
06-16 22:34:53	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x3ba954…
06-16 22:34:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x1d83e9…
06-16 14:29:17	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x94fc8d…
06-15 05:42:25	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xacf60a…
06-14 12:28:30	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0xaaef18…
06-14 12:27:22	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9b5f6d…
06-14 12:27:07	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf3b7d0…
06-12 08:09:37	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5225de…
06-12 08:08:45	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x7be65c…
06-12 08:08:28	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xb9a929…
06-10 14:50:00	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xa2907b…
06-10 14:49:22	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x3fefe6…
06-10 14:49:07	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xdfb700…
06-10 14:48:45	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x4e3df1…
06-10 14:33:54	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xa07be8…
06-07 21:31:27	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x0c3f6e…
06-07 14:08:46	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x85bfed…
06-06 21:40:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd6e7ff…
06-06 11:25:48	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07?	Yes	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x969310…
06-06 11:25:15	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xc760f7…
06-06 11:25:00	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xbae161…
06-06 11:24:16	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x4ffad7…
06-06 11:23:57	Will Albania win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x5136f9…
06-05 14:00:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe10821…
06-05 13:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x870085…
06-04 22:25:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x7697d6…
06-04 22:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xabead8…
06-04 22:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:15 UTC	Up	SELL	48	91¢	$44	0x77abec…
06-04 22:16:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x66def6…
06-04 22:11:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x6756d4…
06-04 22:07:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xe52268…
06-04 22:01:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb11d48…
06-04 21:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xcccecf…
06-04 21:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xa61c63…
06-04 21:45:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x1c406c…
06-04 21:43:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:40 UTC	Up	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0xea7e5f…
06-04 21:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x63b4c5…
06-04 21:35:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x6c3131…
06-04 21:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	47	91¢	$43	0x6e5b0a…
06-04 21:30:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x60d718…
06-04 20:00:51	Will France win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	SELL	134	89¢	$119	0xdefd0d…
06-04 18:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x1c0b35…
06-04 18:37:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xfd18fd…
06-04 18:30:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xd1c5f1…
06-04 18:26:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x42c3bf…
06-04 18:20:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x90c9f4…
06-04 18:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0xa6f39c…
06-04 18:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x4521ab…
06-04 17:46:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0x9b8aa1…
06-04 17:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xae1524…
06-04 17:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0xe68eb6…
06-04 17:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xd16436…
06-04 17:31:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xd699c1…
06-04 17:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	364	14¢	$50	0x9b3ee6…
06-04 17:20:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0x34849b…
06-04 17:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xde5e0b…
06-04 17:14:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xaba26f…
06-04 17:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	395	51¢	$200	0x5d5068…
06-04 16:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x593e6b…
06-04 16:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	192	99¢	$190	0x1ed267…
06-04 16:52:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x40dbc7…
06-04 16:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	175	87¢	$152	0xcfce1c…
06-04 16:46:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xb839f3…
06-04 16:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x57f2af…
06-04 16:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x2f9eb3…
06-04 16:30:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x9362e3…
06-04 16:26:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	391	13¢	$50	0x4c5a39…