Imperturbable-Hovel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

268

Trades

476

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-07 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 02:00 UTC	4	$34	20	17	+4	Up	$0	03-14 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:25 UTC	3	$32	22	15	+7	Down	-$2	03-15 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 01:45 UTC	4	$31	18	16	+2	Up	+$1	03-15 01:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 02:10 UTC	5	$27	37	10	+28	Up	-$7	03-15 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:45 UTC	3	$24	19	19	+0	Down	+$13	03-15 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 05:05 UTC	3	$22	16	16	+0	Down	+$10	03-15 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 14:30 UTC	4	$20	21	8	+13	Up	-$4	03-13 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 01:05 UTC	3	$18	12	8	+4	Up	-$2	03-14 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 00:10 UTC	3	$18	12	8	+4	Up	-$2	03-14 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 04:35 UTC	3	$18	14	12	+1	Up	+$6	03-12 04:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:10 UTC	3	$17	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	03-13 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 04:30 UTC	4	$17	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	03-12 04:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 16:20 UTC	3	$16	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	03-13 16:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 06:05 UTC	3	$16	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	03-13 06:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 14:25 UTC	3	$15	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	03-13 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 01:40 UTC	4	$15	10	8	+2	Up	+$1	03-11 01:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:40 UTC	3	$13	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	03-11 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:00 UTC	3	$12	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	03-16 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:20 UTC	3	$12	7	5	+2	Up	-$2	03-12 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:50 UTC	3	$11	13	2	+11	Down	-$7	03-15 23:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 04:20 UTC	3	$11	7	5	+2	Up	-$1	03-11 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 04:50 UTC	3	$10	8	6	+2	Down	+$2	03-15 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:05 UTC	5	$9	11	3	+7	Up	-$3	03-15 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:30 UTC	3	$9	8	4	+4	Up	-$1	03-15 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 05:55 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	03-15 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	04-29 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 03:50 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$4	03-14 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:55 UTC	3	$7	5	3	+1	Down	-$1	03-14 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$7	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	04-27 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$7	7	0	+7	Up	-$1	04-30 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 03:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7b0e3e…
05-07 03:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4d74c5…
05-07 03:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe4bb88…
05-07 03:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8f3eb2…
05-07 03:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x20eb1a…
05-07 03:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xda6338…
05-07 03:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4b94a4…
05-06 01:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfd7ebf…
04-30 04:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x473f99…
04-30 04:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x404b28…
04-30 04:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x045c67…
04-30 04:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf81d20…
04-30 04:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xda59f2…
04-30 04:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x993de1…
04-30 04:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4c3696…
04-30 04:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf28649…
04-30 04:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x69fed5…
04-30 04:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x623332…
04-30 04:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd7ee78…
04-30 04:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xeaca99…
04-30 04:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x0c2b31…
04-30 04:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xeb76c1…
04-30 04:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x655484…
04-30 04:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x804bd7…
04-30 04:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf14f3a…
04-30 03:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8f85d3…
04-30 03:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4ace86…
04-30 03:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x941bfb…
04-30 02:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9d1cbc…
04-30 02:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0acbd2…
04-30 02:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfb0b42…
04-30 02:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x143f03…
04-30 02:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5dfd90…
04-30 02:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd64561…
04-30 02:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa34ca5…
04-30 02:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2c97d8…
04-30 02:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9fb044…
04-30 02:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x30f404…
04-29 04:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xdfc5ab…
04-29 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa17e7a…
04-29 04:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x56d2a4…
04-29 04:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xaa760a…
04-29 04:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x366593…
04-29 04:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe0d445…
04-29 04:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xff5869…
04-29 04:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4cbf6e…
04-29 04:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf64f60…
04-29 04:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x78733e…
04-29 04:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdbb4c1…
04-29 04:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x55dcb5…
04-29 04:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x27daee…
04-29 04:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa70084…
04-29 04:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6eebae…
04-29 03:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x862e97…
04-29 03:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x95f083…
04-29 03:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcd951e…
04-29 03:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf802b3…
04-29 03:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x35bc5f…
04-29 03:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x26cf59…
04-29 03:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x38feb2…
04-28 05:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa8fa35…
04-28 05:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb8c13e…
04-28 05:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7f20a6…
04-28 04:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf61b02…
04-28 04:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x362ae2…
04-28 04:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc0bfae…
04-28 04:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x603c7c…
04-28 04:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdd3fd4…
04-28 04:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x719277…
04-28 04:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7f7bf4…
04-28 04:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf2cff8…
04-28 04:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6768f6…
04-28 03:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x695f19…
04-28 03:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x19469e…
04-28 03:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0a5526…
04-28 03:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4a17b1…
04-28 03:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9cdbaf…
04-28 03:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8df18f…
04-28 03:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x79ae20…
04-28 03:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9a8aed…
04-28 03:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x710a0d…
04-28 03:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xeca7f5…
04-28 03:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe82775…
04-28 03:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x854965…
04-28 03:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe53d08…
04-28 03:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x29c862…
04-28 03:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf4f5fe…
04-28 02:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x872ea5…
04-27 22:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfa6dca…
04-27 22:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc759c1…
04-27 22:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1ef45b…
04-27 22:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x75896b…
04-27 22:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8fbccd…
04-27 22:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb59b22…
04-27 22:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x189204…
04-27 21:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8eafa1…
04-27 21:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6e4ffb…
04-27 21:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2a48f1…
04-27 21:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8e1d9c…
04-27 16:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xca341b…