Elaborate-Road — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

198

Trades

5,702

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 05-12 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 54% $-9

Other

11% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 609 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$56	35	35	+0	open	—	03-12 17:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$24	85	85	+0	open	—	03-06 13:42
ethereum above 2200 on march 6	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-06 11:27
bitcoin above 74k on march 6	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-06 11:28
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	2	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	03-06 00:02
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 23:00
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	03-06 06:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 06:25
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$14	37	37	+0	open	—	03-07 01:28
will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	5	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	03-07 01:28
bnb updown 5m 1776866100	5	$13	25	0	+25	open	—	04-22 13:55
btc updown 5m 1777001400	5	$13	25	0	+25	open	—	04-24 03:31
btc updown 5m 1776835800	5	$13	25	0	+25	open	—	04-22 05:30
xrp updown 5m 1776939600	5	$13	25	0	+25	open	—	04-23 10:20
sol updown 15m 1775019600	3	$13	26	0	+26	open	—	04-01 04:46
sol updown 5m 1776836100	5	$13	25	0	+25	open	—	04-22 05:35
doge updown 5m 1776825300	5	$12	25	0	+25	open	—	04-22 02:35
xrp updown 5m 1776835800	5	$11	24	0	+24	open	—	04-22 05:30
btc updown 5m 1776939600	4	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-23 10:20
btc updown 5m 1776866700	4	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-22 14:05
sol updown 5m 1775019000	3	$11	21	0	+21	open	—	04-01 04:46
doge updown 5m 1776737700	4	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-21 02:15
eth updown 5m 1776824400	4	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-22 02:20
eth updown 5m 1776836100	4	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-22 05:35
sol updown 5m 1776900600	6	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	04-22 23:30
bnb updown 5m 1776761700	4	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-21 08:55
btc updown 5m 1776867000	4	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-22 14:10
nba nyk ind 2026 03 13 spread away 14pt5	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	03-13 17:05
nba phx mil 2026 03 10 spread away 1pt5	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	03-10 21:49
sol updown 15m 1773252900	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	03-11 18:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 07:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1b00c0…
05-12 07:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x063fee…
05-12 07:05:07	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf82e65…
05-12 07:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x63f147…
05-12 07:00:08	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4b460e…
05-12 06:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x08993e…
05-12 06:40:09	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb07203…
05-12 06:31:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x34045e…
05-12 05:55:07	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4b873b…
05-12 05:45:09	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x257903…
05-12 05:45:09	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x17d2c3…
05-12 05:35:07	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc4ab11…
05-12 05:30:07	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8f7e2c…
05-12 05:25:06	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7d0d80…
05-12 05:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x214007…
05-12 05:00:07	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2ee9bc…
05-12 04:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x34e420…
05-12 04:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa66942…
05-12 04:45:07	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9a6bac…
05-12 04:40:08	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x34d7e1…
05-12 04:40:08	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0408ff…
05-12 04:25:08	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x58f15f…
05-12 04:20:07	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe8427a…
05-12 04:11:07	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x461352…
05-12 04:10:07	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x29444b…
05-12 04:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x006bd2…
05-12 04:00:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7af945…
05-12 03:55:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x881f1a…
05-12 03:36:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0af523…
05-12 03:00:09	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc361a9…
05-12 03:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x172498…
05-12 02:50:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc42350…
05-12 02:45:06	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5619e4…
05-12 02:25:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x17df92…
05-12 02:25:09	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf7a797…
05-12 02:15:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6d7b08…
05-12 02:05:07	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3d592b…
05-12 01:55:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x55cd70…
05-12 01:35:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc49d60…
05-12 01:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbf6383…
05-12 01:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x201768…
05-12 01:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x475c8e…
05-12 01:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7bff58…
05-12 00:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x762a31…
05-12 00:50:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa38aba…
05-12 00:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xde4202…
05-12 00:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe93e2e…
05-11 23:55:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x14d35d…
05-11 23:50:08	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4bf020…
05-11 23:45:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7d9a10…
05-11 23:40:09	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x366d1c…
05-11 23:40:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x18496b…
05-11 23:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf135bd…
05-11 22:10:07	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa8f737…
05-11 20:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbe411d…
05-11 19:55:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x417cb9…
05-11 19:50:09	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9923dc…
05-11 19:45:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5062f2…
05-11 19:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf8826e…
05-11 19:36:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc7c400…
05-11 19:10:08	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x93ef54…
05-11 19:05:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe7c086…
05-11 18:10:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb313a9…
05-11 17:55:10	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbd399d…
05-11 17:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf9791b…
05-11 17:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd11e1d…
05-11 17:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdcc1e3…
05-11 17:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa2f619…
05-11 17:30:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3f5e86…
05-11 17:20:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf31910…
05-11 17:15:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd2e50e…
05-11 17:10:10	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd2793f…
05-11 17:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x61e4b9…
05-11 16:50:06	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6ae05a…
05-11 16:45:07	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfb9191…
05-11 16:40:09	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4e9b8b…
05-11 16:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x02bc2a…
05-11 16:35:08	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe4e05a…
05-11 16:35:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5893e6…
05-11 16:30:07	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x844ab2…
05-11 16:15:09	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x170f6b…
05-11 16:10:10	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x50c083…
05-11 16:10:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9f099c…
05-11 16:05:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5df84f…
05-11 16:00:10	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x472278…
05-11 15:56:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x249dd2…
05-11 15:51:09	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xee4d5e…
05-11 15:50:08	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x21f175…
05-11 15:35:08	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb469ef…
05-11 15:35:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x69783e…
05-11 15:30:09	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5aebcf…
05-11 15:30:09	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1651ab…
05-11 15:25:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa56fc4…
05-11 15:25:08	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x42a7d5…
05-11 15:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x156ce6…
05-11 14:45:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xec04f7…
05-11 14:40:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x172d17…
05-11 14:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe2eaab…
05-11 14:35:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x04e361…
05-11 14:20:11	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfc12e3…