Reasonable-Conversion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$112

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.9%

Resolved

299

Trades

863

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 10-29 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

99% 27% -$107

Politics

1% 14% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	3	$69	79	79	+0	Yes	+$65	07-10 08:13
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	15	$54	472	472	+0	No	+$4	07-24 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 24?	6	$48	84	84	+0	No	+$34	10-24 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	4	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	10-25 16:12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	5	$37	1,554	1,554	+0	No	-$21	07-17 02:54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	3	$37	39	39	+0	Yes	+$29	07-14 12:18
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	6	$27	70	70	+0	No	+$13	07-14 12:46
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	4	$27	483	483	+0	No	-$5	07-19 05:53
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	9	$27	952	952	+0	No	-$3	07-20 17:16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$27	884	884	+0	No	-$7	07-17 02:48
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	7	$26	28	28	+0	Yes	+$4	10-19 11:50
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	10	$24	183	183	+0	No	-$2	07-27 03:56
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	9	$24	874	725	+149	No	-$4	07-24 08:19
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	11	$23	1,565	1,565	+0	No	-$7	07-18 06:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	7	$22	3,355	3,355	+0	No	-$16	07-17 02:50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	5	$22	48	48	+0	No	+$4	07-12 14:09
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	7	$21	421	421	+0	No	-$7	08-08 05:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	5	$20	49	38	+11	No	+$4	10-27 13:53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	5	$20	137	137	+0	No	$0	07-17 02:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	7	$20	19	19	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 17:06
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	6	$19	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	08-18 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?	9	$17	44	44	+0	Yes	-$1	10-19 13:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?	6	$16	19	19	+0	Yes	+$4	10-24 18:49
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	8	$16	60	60	+0	No	+$2	07-26 11:07
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$16	333	333	+0	No	+$14	07-05 09:24
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	5	$15	200	200	+0	No	-$9	07-18 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	5	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	10-20 12:18
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	2	$14	895	895	+0	No	-$6	07-17 02:49
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	6	$14	53	53	+0	No	-$2	08-21 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	4	$14	175	175	+0	No	$0	07-26 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x7a6631…
10-29 17:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1b5fb4…
10-28 16:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x29ac08…
10-28 16:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xcac236…
10-28 16:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x7e5f3f…
10-28 16:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb6ee1c…
10-28 06:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4fb2c4…
10-28 06:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x977533…
10-28 06:08:32	highest temperature in paris on october 30 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0xdc20be…
10-28 06:08:16	highest temperature in paris on october 30 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xdfbba1…
10-28 06:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x3af55e…
10-28 06:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x7ea5ce…
10-27 15:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb8fa8e…
10-27 15:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xb916c0…
10-27 15:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x097e66…
10-27 15:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0x843b2b…
10-27 15:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x6f95c5…
10-27 15:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xff2e73…
10-27 15:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4d612c…
10-27 15:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x606142…
10-27 15:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x180a54…
10-27 15:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xe37dfc…
10-27 13:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x948701…
10-27 13:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	16	40¢	$7	0x784ec0…
10-27 12:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x29cfd7…
10-27 12:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x68b917…
10-27 12:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xc3fb73…
10-27 12:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x81de30…
10-27 08:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x37e159…
10-27 08:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x587d28…
10-27 08:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$1	0x1e3bfa…
10-27 06:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	38	32¢	$12	0xd598f5…
10-27 06:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x00d56c…
10-27 05:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x6ba32f…
10-27 05:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xb9f5b5…
10-27 05:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x703e21…
10-26 18:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbc2ad1…
10-26 14:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xef0b95…
10-26 14:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd0f794…
10-26 14:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe50313…
10-26 14:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xe35a8c…
10-26 11:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x88d3fb…
10-26 11:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9bb9b9…
10-26 11:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xd07141…
10-26 11:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc479b3…
10-26 11:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd7c5d6…
10-26 11:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3bdb0c…
10-26 11:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	75	6¢	$4	0x0c32f9…
10-26 05:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x4f7e0b…
10-26 05:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xba6972…
10-26 05:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x786c2a…
10-26 04:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x16c65d…
10-26 04:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	173	1¢	$1	0x034296…
10-25 16:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7822fd…
10-25 16:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4cf6f1…
10-25 12:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xfe3948…
10-25 12:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x12a4ea…
10-25 11:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x53e0e4…
10-25 11:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x68c9c9…
10-25 11:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x6edab8…
10-25 10:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x8e4570…
10-25 10:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x87a762…
10-25 10:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x7e4b1d…
10-25 10:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x705728…
10-25 10:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0xcbb8bb…
10-25 10:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0xa90877…
10-25 08:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x67099f…
10-25 07:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9e7928…
10-24 19:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xe1718b…
10-24 19:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x15278e…
10-24 18:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xc8be51…
10-24 17:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x8223d6…
10-24 17:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x326b8c…
10-24 17:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x745b0f…
10-24 17:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x659143…
10-24 17:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc66b45…
10-24 17:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	84	48¢	$41	0x01075d…
10-24 11:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x96987e…
10-23 15:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x3be934…
10-23 15:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x4e92f6…
10-23 15:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xce03e5…
10-23 11:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf0bde2…
10-23 11:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x841227…
10-23 04:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x71bf52…
10-23 04:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	136	1¢	$1	0x813aa9…
10-23 04:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x7f40ca…
10-22 18:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x298db7…
10-22 17:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2fc91a…
10-22 17:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x08d81e…
10-22 17:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x504565…
10-22 15:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xf3ad4e…
10-22 15:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x3214fb…
10-22 15:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x41d1cf…
10-22 14:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe48b06…
10-22 13:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7b44f0…
10-22 13:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x707430…
10-22 11:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x7c80ad…
10-22 11:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x675807…
10-22 10:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0434a1…
10-22 09:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9766b0…