Mammoth-Sole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

636

Trades

1,088

lifetime

Volume

$3.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 53% -$109

Other

7% 51% +$41

Politics

6% 57% +$3

Sports

0% 0% -$12

Tech

0% 20% -$9

Pop-Culture

0% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$71	87	47	+40	Up	-$7	05-24 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$58	41	41	+0	Up	+$18	05-17 17:59
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$55	50	50	+0	Yes	+$34	08-11 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$49	39	39	+0	Up	+$9	05-24 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$45	44	44	+0	Up	+$15	05-24 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$42	60	60	+0	Down	-$18	05-24 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$42	50	50	+0	Down	-$18	05-24 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$37	26	26	+0	Up	+$13	05-24 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$12	05-17 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$12	05-24 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$30	69	69	+0	Down	+$0	05-24 16:29
Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$30	19	19	+0	No	$0	08-11 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$30	48	22	+26	Up	-$10	05-24 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$29	21	21	+0	Up	+$9	05-20 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$27	22	22	+0	Up	+$7	05-24 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$26	17	17	+0	Up	+$6	05-17 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$26	21	21	+0	Up	+$6	05-24 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$25	20	20	+0	Down	+$5	05-24 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$24	42	42	+0	Down	+$4	05-24 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$23	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	05-25 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$22	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	05-17 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$8	05-22 17:54
will trump say make america great again this week february 15	2	$21	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	02-09 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6AM ET	2	$19	38	38	+0	Up	+$9	06-02 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$19	21	21	+0	Down	-$1	05-17 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$18	14	14	+0	Up	+$8	05-16 17:49
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?	1	$18	39	0	+39	Yes	-$18	08-13 20:58
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?	1	$18	30	0	+30	Yes	-$18	08-13 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	Up	+$8	05-22 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$17	13	13	+0	Up	+$7	05-19 18:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:24:58	Will Airbnb say "Third Party" during earnings call?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7a5caf…
11-05 13:13:00	Will Airbnb say "Project Hawaii" during earnings call?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe30670…
11-01 19:56:10	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8b1718…
11-01 19:51:37	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1b3b8c…
11-01 19:34:39	Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1b5229…
10-30 21:10:45	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Socialist" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x25b6f7…
10-30 19:49:54	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbf92a8…
10-29 12:40:53	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc1aa7f…
10-29 12:19:10	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x1d8854…
10-29 00:57:26	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xed5e40…
10-29 00:57:04	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8987d3…
10-28 18:08:43	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x0c0fd3…
10-28 17:48:59	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xaad3b4…
10-28 17:41:11	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x94d1b1…
10-18 18:08:05	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x57b9dd…
10-18 18:07:30	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe9edc8…
10-08 18:07:59	Will Trump say "Tariff" during his Science Summit remarks?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x975ede…
10-08 17:16:51	Will Trump say "Moon" during his Science Summit remarks?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x86f06d…
10-08 17:10:27	Will Trump say "Tariff" during his Science Summit remarks?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x65678c…
08-28 19:27:57	will anyone say leprechaun during president curtis e6 s1	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2cf3ac…
08-28 19:24:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa44632…
08-24 13:54:39	Will Nvidia say "Cosmos" during earnings call?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x5a0db2…
08-24 01:04:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xc6f025…
08-23 20:46:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd7649c…
08-23 19:16:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x90acbc…
08-23 17:25:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x59cf11…
08-23 17:24:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x0728c6…
08-23 17:17:39	Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0xad35c2…
08-22 19:23:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1c8867…
08-22 17:32:48	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x65540a…
08-21 20:05:30	will trump say kamala during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xf5b796…
08-19 19:26:36	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	15	36¢	$6	0x793e27…
08-19 07:37:27	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x35aa1a…
08-17 12:20:01	Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xef9a19…
08-16 22:27:58	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xc3a73c…
08-15 19:18:24	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 6 and 8 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x6ea15c…
08-15 13:28:09	will the announcers say knockout knock out or knocked out during makhachev vs machado garry	Yes	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xfb4a4f…
08-13 20:58:51	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?	No	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0xd415be…
08-13 20:25:54	Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xa8d852…
08-11 21:31:07	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	19	75¢	$15	0xb3b13b…
08-11 06:52:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$45	0x6f2dac…
08-10 18:31:39	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x112c77…
08-09 13:25:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x37c2c6…
08-09 00:29:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xa0bb52…
08-08 23:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xa113ad…
08-08 23:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xe75223…
08-08 23:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1f0850…
08-08 23:39:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xd65146…
08-08 23:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x3de345…
08-08 23:26:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x044e74…
08-08 23:11:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x370f8d…
08-08 23:11:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x263660…
08-08 23:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xbcf19b…
08-08 19:27:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:25 UTC	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x281a86…
08-08 19:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x77fa90…
08-08 19:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6193fc…
08-08 19:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x3e6933…
08-08 19:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xaebe12…
08-08 19:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xc5a449…
08-08 19:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:05 UTC	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x2e68fe…
08-08 19:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe07b6c…
08-08 19:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa3d96c…
08-08 19:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x61cfdb…
08-08 19:02:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x6fe844…
08-08 18:57:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x6961e5…
08-08 18:32:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x5be176…
08-08 18:32:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xe84488…
08-08 18:30:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xe8ad06…
08-08 18:30:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x033b20…
08-08 18:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xb6cbfe…
08-08 18:28:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x318ea6…
08-08 18:19:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xb4cbc9…
08-08 18:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xca0a0b…
08-08 13:46:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x4bdae7…
08-08 13:44:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb199ff…
08-08 00:13:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xfbec58…
08-08 00:10:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x09e4f2…
08-07 23:50:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 23:50 UTC	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x1fa7dc…
08-07 23:49:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x0d7472…
08-07 20:41:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x625e9d…
08-07 20:05:01	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x4d6a38…
08-07 19:00:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xa4ff4f…
08-07 18:53:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xe8f4e2…
08-07 18:47:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x5cca02…
08-07 18:42:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x379f67…
08-07 18:40:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x4b2dc3…
08-07 18:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xa4f8ef…
08-07 18:31:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xf8e544…
08-07 18:27:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xfa5e8b…
08-07 18:19:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3884ba…
08-07 18:00:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa0403b…
08-07 18:00:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x38d740…
08-07 17:47:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x23d084…
08-07 17:46:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x0bf9fd…
08-07 17:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x6ebae4…
08-07 17:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x6514fc…
08-07 17:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 17:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xcf80e2…
08-07 17:38:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5e7671…
08-07 17:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x7d95f5…
08-07 16:25:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xb04681…