Delightful-Lamp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

2,606

Trades

12,770

lifetime

Volume

$137.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-20 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 67% -$13,472

Other

5% 0% -$6,775

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 2130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on march 6	2	$16.3K	12,927	12,927	+0	No	+$7,315	03-06 15:02
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$4.5K	900,000	0	+900,000	Yes	-$4,500	03-16 06:24
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	1	$3.0K	22,880	0	+22,880	No	-$3,000	02-16 15:14
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	1	$3.0K	29,899	0	+29,899	No	-$3,000	02-16 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 07:55 UTC	95	$3.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Up	-$3,000	03-11 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:00 UTC	119	$2.2K	4,982	0	+4,982	Down	+$240	03-10 10:00
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	1	$2.0K	43,175	0	+43,175	No	-$2,000	02-16 15:14
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	1	$2.0K	37,083	0	+37,083	No	-$1,996	02-16 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 11:10 UTC	23	$1.3K	892	892	+0	Down	+$473	03-10 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:00 UTC	2	$1.1K	2,037	0	+2,037	Up	+$957	07-17 06:00
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1.0K	1,000,000	0	+1,000,000	No	-$1,000	03-16 06:24
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$1000	51,462	0	+51,462	No	-$1,000	02-16 15:14
bitcoin above 72k on march 6	1	$1000	6,902	0	+6,902	No	-$1,000	03-06 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$965	975	0	+975	Down	+$10	08-02 13:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:50 UTC	197	$965	54,998	0	+54,998	Up	-$965	03-10 14:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$943	7,254	0	+7,254	No	-$943	09-16 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:50 UTC	16	$878	887	0	+887	Down	+$9	08-02 12:55
bitcoin above 66k on march 6	1	$840	16,471	0	+16,471	Yes	-$840	03-06 15:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:10 UTC	70	$754	765	700	+65	Up	+$34	08-15 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:55 UTC	460	$749	54,988	0	+54,988	Up	-$749	03-10 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 10:55 UTC	73	$629	859	430	+429	Down	+$74	08-16 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 10:10 UTC	49	$613	786	339	+447	Up	+$28	08-16 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 08:15 UTC	83	$601	713	463	+250	Up	-$61	08-16 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:00 UTC	17	$592	598	0	+598	Up	+$6	08-02 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 10:30 UTC	49	$585	633	500	+133	Down	+$20	08-16 10:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:45 UTC	1	$585	1,157	0	+1,157	Down	-$585	06-04 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:45 UTC	272	$577	14,398	0	+14,398	Up	-$577	03-10 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 10:40 UTC	49	$576	742	491	+251	Down	+$130	08-16 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 09:30 UTC	69	$563	749	382	+367	Down	-$39	08-16 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 10:45 UTC	48	$557	658	471	+187	Up	-$40	08-16 10:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 09:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xee3a85…
10-20 08:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xfd71a3…
10-20 08:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xce9fff…
10-20 08:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x168d6a…
10-20 08:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x725710…
10-20 08:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x72f62a…
10-20 08:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x508cfe…
10-20 08:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd7f206…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf8d79e…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xf358fb…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe51978…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xe3478b…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xde0d2d…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xd8d29e…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xd66942…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	55¢	$11	0xcb0060…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xc03699…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xba15b1…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xa5b943…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x5efb0c…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x5c75b0…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x572966…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x539010…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x5051ad…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x4b1308…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	55¢	$23	0x1a81aa…
10-20 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x11fabf…
10-20 08:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc437da…
10-20 08:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xa92a76…
10-20 08:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x0f8fa8…
10-20 08:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	188	54¢	$101	0x306765…
10-20 08:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x4f44fb…
10-20 08:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x4a49df…
10-20 08:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x2c99e1…
10-20 07:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x07cb45…
10-20 07:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf91d33…
10-20 06:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xabca0c…
10-20 06:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x609679…
10-20 06:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xfe14fa…
10-20 06:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb33296…
10-20 05:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc1f49a…
10-20 05:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	188	45¢	$85	0x6d93ef…
10-20 05:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xeebc04…
10-20 05:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x69321a…
10-20 05:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc2f30a…
10-20 04:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7462d9…
10-20 04:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x6e3893…
10-20 04:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1ffccb…
10-20 04:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6ccecb…
10-20 03:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3efb63…
10-20 03:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xcafe49…
10-20 03:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5fd1d9…
10-20 03:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x81ce08…
10-20 03:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x3fa44c…
10-20 03:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc18bcf…
10-20 02:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xcb520b…
10-20 02:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x994829…
10-20 02:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa6a304…
10-20 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x73d464…
10-20 01:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	68	55¢	$38	0xc4b8ac…
10-20 01:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xcbec1a…
10-20 01:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x398b5f…
10-20 01:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x310a93…
10-20 01:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x1c5af7…
10-20 01:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x50fdad…
10-20 01:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x191f03…
10-20 01:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xd3b4fb…
10-20 01:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x0ffeb6…
10-20 01:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xef15a6…
10-20 01:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe311d9…
10-20 01:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc28e56…
10-20 00:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0x202990…
10-20 00:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x99047f…
10-20 00:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	124	55¢	$68	0x10c21a…
10-20 00:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc26e31…
10-20 00:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf00e1c…
10-20 00:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x226998…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfd0eaf…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xf9990d…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xf1bce9…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xec0c62…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xe57529…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe0552b…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd1ca06…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xc9fdca…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb78a49…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	94	55¢	$52	0xaa71a1…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xa409ec…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x93951d…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9048e1…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x70c2a0…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6a5b05…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x4a9aa3…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x45db44…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x42d7da…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x40cfde…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x29093d…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x28ab8a…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x152c00…
10-20 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0x07ef32…