Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$130

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

26.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

139

139 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$706

$706 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-23

last 10-27 23:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

43% 50% +$7

Other

42% 23% -$96

Crypto

9% 25% -$14

Sports

4% 0% -$27

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+21	$5	26¢	$5	$0	10-23 22:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+11	$5	47¢	$5	$0	10-23 15:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	+19	$5	26¢	$5	-$1	10-23 15:51
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	+20	$5	10¢	$2	-$4	10-23 15:43
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+27	$24	4¢	$1	-$22	10-27 09:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	6	$55	62	62	+0	open	—	10-23 23:23
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	9	$31	101	74	+27	open	—	10-27 09:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	6	$29	48	48	+0	open	—	10-27 07:00
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	6	$29	92	92	+0	open	—	10-27 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	5	$27	49	0	+49	Up	+$23	10-23 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	7	$26	94	0	+94	Up	-$26	10-23 21:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	3	$22	26	26	+0	open	—	10-23 23:23
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	3	$22	42	42	+0	open	—	10-23 23:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	3	$21	26	26	+0	open	—	10-23 23:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$21	43	43	+0	open	—	10-23 23:23
Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	4	$21	510	0	+510	No	-$21	10-23 16:48
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	4	$21	69	0	+69	Inner Circle	+$33	10-23 18:44
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	2	$16	157	157	+0	open	—	10-27 16:37
Landskrona BoIS vs. IK Oddevold: Landskrona BoIS O/U 4.5 Corners	3	$16	36	0	+36	Under	-$16	10-23 18:50
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	3	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	10-27 05:43
Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$12	23	23	+0	open	—	10-27 05:38
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	2	$12	31	31	+0	open	—	10-27 22:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	3	$11	92	92	+0	Yes	-$11	10-27 14:44
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	2	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	10-27 13:17
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-23?	2	$10	26	0	+26	No	-$10	10-23 19:43
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	2	$10	25	0	+25	Dplus KIA	+$1	10-23 21:33
Will CA Grau win on 2026-10-23?	2	$10	110	0	+110	No	-$10	10-23 22:14
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	2	$10	572	0	+572	Astra Invicta	-$10	10-23 16:53
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-23?	2	$10	125	0	+125	No	-$10	10-23 20:48
Will Vox win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	10-27 14:45
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	4	$10	252	0	+252	No	-$10	10-23 16:04
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	2	$7	20	20	+0	open	—	10-27 23:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	2	$7	32	32	+0	open	—	10-27 15:10
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	1	$6	16	0	+16	open	—	10-23 19:23
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)	1	$6	26	0	+26	Raptors	-$6	10-23 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:50:09	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x381432…
10-27 22:40:17	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	31	20¢	$6	0xae7713…
10-27 16:37:35	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	157	7¢	$11	0xcb417c…
10-27 15:10:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x934554…
10-27 14:45:56	Will Vox win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xdda480…
10-27 14:44:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0x9eb79d…
10-27 13:17:26	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x80ca20…
10-27 09:33:20	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x73443a…
10-27 07:44:11	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	2¢	$2	0xf44018…
10-27 07:00:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x32905e…
10-27 05:46:18	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xc71db2…
10-27 05:43:14	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xe44c01…
10-27 05:38:45	Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0x4b686b…
10-27 05:25:23	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x34d238…
10-27 05:21:50	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x27e960…
10-27 05:21:50	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x097b2b…
10-24 01:01:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xa83169…
10-23 23:24:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0x458a9d…
10-23 23:23:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	43	24¢	$10	0x10c6a8…
10-23 23:23:50	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	42	25¢	$11	0x7b6595…
10-23 23:23:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	26	41¢	$11	0x153c61…
10-23 23:23:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	62	44¢	$28	0x2f9abf…
10-23 23:15:32	Will "Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xa8f6d1…
10-23 23:15:17	Will "Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x0db02a…
10-23 23:12:36	Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	23	24¢	$5	0xb85c30…
10-23 22:59:05	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x94c42a…
10-23 22:57:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xd4dba3…
10-23 22:55:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	442	1¢	$5	0xfaf4d4…
10-23 22:49:35	Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x10f49a…
10-23 22:48:06	Will Quinshon Judkins have 899.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0xe059d4…
10-23 22:48:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x7920aa…
10-23 22:47:00	Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5	Over	BUY	20	28¢	$5	0x42ff90…
10-23 22:46:03	Spread: Steelers (-9.5)	Steelers	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x8b51ee…
10-23 22:43:08	Lightning vs. Avalanche	Lightning	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xeb6989…
10-23 22:42:11	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	31	18¢	$6	0x75910b…
10-23 22:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x18253d…
10-23 22:24:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0x29ce50…
10-23 22:19:21	Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0x679968…
10-23 22:14:57	Will CA Grau win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0xfdf4b0…
10-23 22:14:56	Will CA Grau win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd497d8…
10-23 22:11:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$5	0xd44b09…
10-23 22:07:38	CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0xcf7819…
10-23 21:49:12	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	HULIGANI	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x15d979…
10-23 21:33:27	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe77614…
10-23 21:23:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0x35a8f3…
10-23 21:23:09	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x969a22…
10-23 21:22:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0x7b0f42…
10-23 21:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf59a97…
10-23 21:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xdacc67…
10-23 21:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x975b15…
10-23 21:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0x3e4f2b…
10-23 21:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x260399…
10-23 21:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x16e521…
10-23 20:48:32	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0x247372…
10-23 20:47:38	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x1aabb7…
10-23 20:42:45	Will Karmine Corp Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xb76656…
10-23 20:41:54	Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x81ab10…
10-23 20:19:21	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0xbc154f…
10-23 20:03:03	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	157	3¢	$5	0xe01f8f…
10-23 19:51:44	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfd63ae…
10-23 19:45:12	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0x945312…
10-23 19:43:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	46	12¢	$5	0x24541f…
10-23 19:43:20	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xe8dc9f…
10-23 19:43:03	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xca6fc2…
10-23 19:38:53	Spread: Saints (-1.5)	Saints	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xfdc244…
10-23 19:28:26	Spread: Wizards (-3.5)	Wizards	BUY	26	21¢	$6	0xec2816…
10-23 19:27:59	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x693948…
10-23 19:23:02	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	No	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xd4a05f…
10-23 19:21:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	23	24¢	$5	0x1e5e31…
10-23 19:19:59	Will the US national average gas price be $4.3100+ on October 24?	Yes	BUY	43	13¢	$5	0x64f217…
10-23 19:14:57	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x552286…
10-23 19:10:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	46	12¢	$5	0x2d00fd…
10-23 18:55:06	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xc40421…
10-23 18:54:53	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x94f6d6…
10-23 18:50:20	Landskrona BoIS vs. IK Oddevold: Landskrona BoIS O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xf412a1…
10-23 18:50:08	Landskrona BoIS vs. IK Oddevold: Landskrona BoIS O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0x793430…
10-23 18:49:20	Landskrona BoIS vs. IK Oddevold: Landskrona BoIS O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x6c3fea…
10-23 18:46:57	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x70705e…
10-23 18:44:21	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x55efcf…
10-23 18:44:00	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Brandon Nakashima	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd8f849…
10-23 18:37:27	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x0db1c7…
10-23 18:33:39	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x93e72e…
10-23 18:33:38	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xfa9986…
10-23 18:33:36	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x759739…
10-23 18:12:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x68354e…
10-23 18:08:59	Will Michael Olise attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$5	0xc635a7…
10-23 18:07:24	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x539f8e…
10-23 18:01:29	will vincent kompany attend the 2026 ballon d or ceremony 20261016121846566	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0x26a06c…
10-23 17:36:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0xe0172d…
10-23 17:34:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0xa7f880…
10-23 17:27:14	Will Fabián Ruiz attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	46	12¢	$5	0x5d1eea…
10-23 17:20:50	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$5	0x462e8a…
10-23 17:20:42	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x68964c…
10-23 17:20:41	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$5	0xfec67c…
10-23 17:18:14	Will Vox win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x82059b…
10-23 17:18:06	Will PP win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x961a07…
10-23 17:11:38	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xca1a6f…
10-23 17:10:44	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	29¢	$5	0xda1722…
10-23 16:53:23	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	555	1¢	$5	0x47d0a6…
10-23 16:48:56	Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0xc00af5…