Trustworthy-Ceremony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$948

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

423

Trades

1,260

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-01 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 49% +$1,047

Other

4% 45% -$122

Sports

1% 43% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	8	$1.3K	922	922	+0	Down	+$563	09-30 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:35 UTC	6	$841	670	670	+0	Up	+$371	06-30 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$673	963	963	+0	Down	+$73	06-13 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:05 UTC	3	$603	617	617	+0	Up	+$403	09-30 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:10 UTC	4	$568	487	487	+0	Up	+$368	09-30 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	5	$494	411	411	+0	Down	+$94	09-30 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:55 UTC	9	$416	294	294	+0	Up	+$170	09-30 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 19:25 UTC	6	$375	567	267	+300	Down	+$105	06-13 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 16:00 UTC	1	$318	439	0	+439	Up	-$318	03-11 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 20:20 UTC	3	$316	680	187	+494	Down	-$84	06-13 20:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:15 UTC	3	$300	639	0	+639	Up	-$300	06-30 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:55 UTC	3	$300	517	0	+517	Down	-$300	06-30 16:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:30 UTC	5	$283	185	185	+0	Up	+$83	06-30 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	13	$282	816	0	+816	Down	-$282	09-30 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 12:45 UTC	5	$265	226	226	+0	Up	+$125	09-30 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:15 UTC	6	$264	233	206	+27	Down	+$104	09-30 11:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:45 UTC	2	$261	174	174	+0	Up	+$84	09-30 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:55 UTC	2	$259	226	225	+1	Down	+$188	03-18 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 20:15 UTC	10	$245	633	0	+633	Down	+$388	06-13 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 15:15 UTC	2	$242	215	214	+1	Up	+$183	03-11 15:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:25 UTC	3	$240	142	142	+0	Down	+$40	09-30 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:15 UTC	2	$240	192	191	+2	Down	+$139	03-23 11:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:55 UTC	2	$233	458	458	+0	Up	+$10	07-12 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:40 UTC	2	$232	153	151	+2	Down	+$69	03-11 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:20 UTC	8	$224	163	163	+0	Down	+$64	09-30 14:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 14:40 UTC	2	$220	122	121	+1	Up	+$21	03-11 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:55 UTC	2	$212	139	139	+0	Up	+$62	07-11 22:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:45 UTC	2	$207	138	138	+0	Down	+$67	07-12 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:15 UTC	4	$197	437	0	+437	Down	-$197	09-30 20:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:25 UTC	3	$194	155	147	+8	Down	+$105	04-15 03:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 15:06:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	150	19¢	$29	0x50caac…
10-01 15:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd294a5…
10-01 15:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc49728…
10-01 15:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x97b326…
10-01 14:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0e576a…
10-01 14:43:02	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	152	3¢	$5	0xc3dd9e…
10-01 14:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa80c7e…
10-01 14:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa51236…
10-01 14:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x895cbf…
10-01 14:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x592924…
10-01 14:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x2b1d09…
10-01 14:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe0ddd4…
10-01 14:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x20ba34…
10-01 14:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf0bb46…
10-01 14:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x78ffe9…
10-01 14:27:39	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0xb22872…
10-01 10:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa7633d…
10-01 10:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8be012…
10-01 10:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x94cce4…
10-01 10:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7c2d07…
10-01 10:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf36512…
10-01 10:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xdf88ce…
10-01 10:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xee20d7…
10-01 10:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x2d2f61…
10-01 10:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x0d7212…
10-01 10:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x728f9a…
10-01 10:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xc4621d…
10-01 10:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x3dcb68…
10-01 10:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x07a33a…
10-01 10:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x349229…
10-01 10:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x892e73…
10-01 10:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x72ca31…
10-01 10:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc21825…
10-01 10:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xaf7131…
10-01 10:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x25db0a…
10-01 00:16:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	358	11¢	$39	0x5d336e…
10-01 00:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x56156c…
10-01 00:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xb915a2…
10-01 00:15:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xc333f1…
09-30 20:16:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	134	35¢	$47	0x20f95b…
09-30 20:15:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xd9a514…
09-30 20:15:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x26f30d…
09-30 20:15:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x86ab24…
09-30 19:24:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	922	99¢	$913	0x0df000…
09-30 19:20:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	141	36¢	$50	0x1b3b4c…
09-30 19:20:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x7dad94…
09-30 19:19:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	141	36¢	$50	0x7b2f6e…
09-30 19:19:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x4334e8…
09-30 19:19:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xb70195…
09-30 19:19:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xb1786b…
09-30 19:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x8b3f81…
09-30 19:15:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	411	71¢	$294	0x500409…
09-30 19:14:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0x5d3395…
09-30 19:14:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x45ec80…
09-30 19:14:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xab2186…
09-30 19:14:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	105	47¢	$50	0xdde266…
09-30 18:30:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	142	99¢	$140	0xf51afd…
09-30 18:27:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x70c270…
09-30 18:27:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x40e32a…
09-30 18:21:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x0f8f10…
09-30 18:09:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	617	81¢	$503	0x041f30…
09-30 18:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	235	21¢	$50	0x04fd79…
09-30 18:07:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	383	13¢	$50	0x95ed28…
09-30 18:02:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x499ec1…
09-30 18:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3d1eee…
09-30 18:02:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x479608…
09-30 18:02:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x73a965…
09-30 18:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x207524…
09-30 18:02:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9769e4…
09-30 18:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	72	18¢	$13	0xa706b7…
09-30 18:02:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	68	19¢	$13	0x9a54ed…
09-30 18:01:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xd5f69c…
09-30 18:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xd4d782…
09-30 18:01:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x7930e8…
09-30 18:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x304d01…
09-30 18:00:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xbbe784…
09-30 18:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:55 UTC	Up	SELL	294	100¢	$293	0x437047…
09-30 17:56:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x406cb4…
09-30 17:56:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfc5c49…
09-30 17:56:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3ae0cc…
09-30 17:56:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5dca4f…
09-30 17:56:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x6b4c44…
09-30 17:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	108	40¢	$43	0xf9f6f7…
09-30 17:56:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0xd873b3…
09-30 17:56:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0x8c9fc6…
09-30 15:42:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcbd9be…
09-30 15:42:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x74c854…
09-30 15:42:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x09e2ad…
09-30 15:42:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4cae39…
09-30 15:42:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x28bea6…
09-30 15:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x54c0fe…
09-30 15:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x347e59…
09-30 15:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1a01fb…
09-30 15:42:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x90d11a…
09-30 15:42:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x87d54d…
09-30 15:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcebbfc…
09-30 15:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3a36b0…
09-30 15:42:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6e1416…
09-30 15:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x850908…
09-30 15:42:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xabfb02…