Fond-Assurance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

1,125

Trades

1,464

lifetime

Volume

$6.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-15 12:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 56% -$12

Other

19% 43% -$139

Sports

0% 0% -$29

Politics

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the highest temperature in london be 8c on february 2	7	$106	104	104	+0	Yes	+$6	02-02 13:24
highest temperature in london on february 19 2026 6c	4	$80	98	85	+13	No	-$2	02-19 14:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 12:15 UTC	2	$65	36	36	+0	Up	+$5	02-19 12:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 07:45 UTC	2	$63	36	36	+0	Up	+$3	02-18 07:56
highest temperature in london on february 3 2026 7c	4	$56	44	44	+0	Yes	+$6	02-03 00:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 10:00 UTC	2	$56	35	34	+0	Down	+$11	02-16 10:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:00 UTC	3	$55	62	26	+36	Down	-$8	01-30 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 09:50 UTC	2	$55	35	33	+2	Up	+$12	02-16 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 17:30 UTC	2	$54	31	29	+2	Up	+$5	02-16 17:33
highest temperature in london on february 4 2026 10c	2	$52	34	34	+0	Yes	+$16	02-04 15:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 14:30 UTC	2	$51	31	30	+0	Up	+$8	02-19 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 18:10 UTC	3	$49	31	31	+0	Up	+$9	02-16 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 09:25 UTC	4	$49	35	34	+0	Down	-$1	02-17 09:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 17:25 UTC	3	$46	26	26	+0	Up	+$5	02-16 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 08:20 UTC	2	$44	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	02-17 08:25
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	2	$44	25	25	+0	Up	+$6	10-07 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 07:45 UTC	2	$43	26	25	+0	Up	+$4	02-17 07:49
highest temperature in london on february 5 2026 9c	3	$42	50	50	+0	No	-$26	02-05 22:06
will the highest temperature in london be 9c on february 2	4	$42	40	40	+0	No	-$2	02-02 06:28
highest temperature in london on february 20 2026 11c	2	$41	74	0	+74	No	-$41	02-20 12:42
highest temperature in london on february 13 2026 8c	6	$40	42	42	+0	Yes	+$2	02-13 13:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 19:00 UTC	2	$40	50	0	+50	Up	+$10	01-30 19:12
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 15:40 UTC	3	$40	25	24	+0	Down	+$8	02-19 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 10:25 UTC	3	$39	51	17	+34	Up	-$31	02-16 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 09:45 UTC	2	$39	24	23	+1	Down	+$6	02-16 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 14:30 UTC	2	$39	23	23	+0	Down	+$5	02-19 14:33
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 08:25 UTC	3	$38	43	21	+22	Up	-$3	02-20 08:29
highest temperature in london on february 19 2026 7c	2	$37	39	39	+0	Yes	-$3	02-19 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 17:20 UTC	3	$37	21	21	+0	Up	+$5	02-16 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 11:00 UTC	4	$36	26	26	+0	Down	+$2	02-17 11:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 12:59:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2825a6…
10-15 12:36:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5cb6a1…
10-14 20:52:57	wti up or down on october 14 2026	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x36db2a…
10-14 12:30:56	msft up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x5156d7…
10-14 12:30:18	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x7a97fe…
10-14 12:29:59	wti up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x38eccb…
10-13 20:02:19	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa1af7c…
10-13 20:00:54	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfd0a07…
10-13 19:59:03	tsla up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5267bb…
10-13 19:57:33	tsla up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1f29c3…
10-13 12:48:55	tsla up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xd71a75…
10-13 12:48:37	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xe94abd…
10-09 23:33:26	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x251f10…
10-09 23:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x3fb62c…
10-09 23:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xf32e17…
10-09 23:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0xf4b9e2…
10-09 23:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x2d50f8…
10-09 22:46:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x1e136c…
10-09 21:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x6d7ca2…
10-09 21:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xa970ec…
10-09 21:29:17	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x981118…
10-09 21:29:17	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7b452a…
10-09 21:22:08	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x24d921…
10-09 21:14:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x346651…
10-09 21:09:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x21ff99…
10-09 20:42:16	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x54c5d9…
10-09 20:42:10	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x23db34…
10-09 20:42:04	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x18d4a9…
10-09 20:41:56	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x825120…
10-09 20:22:11	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe33b27…
10-09 20:22:04	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa426e1…
10-09 19:59:59	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x144dd9…
10-09 19:58:43	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa3acb6…
10-09 19:58:34	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf7e3fb…
10-09 12:45:42	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc448aa…
10-09 12:45:37	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x02ddd3…
10-09 12:45:33	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x67d668…
10-08 23:18:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8d29e3…
10-08 23:14:51	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xac35c8…
10-08 23:13:21	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8ee403…
10-08 22:49:47	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x74a71d…
10-08 22:46:47	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x657464…
10-08 22:38:27	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3566d4…
10-08 19:55:03	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x529d12…
10-08 12:04:45	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xbe56ca…
10-08 12:00:38	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x8a2121…
10-07 20:00:02	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xb2e0a8…
10-07 18:40:58	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xc1112b…
10-07 18:17:52	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	SELL	21	93¢	$19	0x7e92a5…
10-07 14:20:14	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x14a309…
10-06 14:11:32	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xaea9bc…
10-06 14:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9ca6c9…
10-06 11:59:07	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcee4d5…
10-06 11:59:01	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x48ae7a…
10-06 11:58:07	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6c642f…
10-06 11:58:03	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x179e6d…
10-06 11:57:57	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0271a7…
10-06 11:51:25	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9fd9d1…
10-06 11:51:21	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd3b8d4…
10-06 11:51:13	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa879ed…
10-06 11:51:09	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb0d8fb…
10-06 11:51:04	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0b0431…
10-06 11:21:31	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x29ea34…
10-06 11:21:27	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x54fb64…
10-06 11:21:21	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x44ca7c…
10-06 11:21:18	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xef01ae…
10-06 11:15:28	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x0a01f3…
10-06 11:12:13	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x12a8da…
10-06 11:09:21	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd07a9e…
10-06 11:07:06	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdb852e…
10-05 23:04:40	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf95f1c…
10-05 23:04:35	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6d0277…
10-05 23:04:29	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xab0cfd…
10-05 23:04:23	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xde50cf…
10-05 23:03:50	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8f7309…
10-05 23:03:44	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x17f938…
10-05 23:03:38	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x61b5b1…
10-05 23:03:32	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf2d610…
10-05 23:03:28	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2cd417…
10-05 23:03:16	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd1325a…
10-05 23:03:11	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd48d94…
10-05 23:03:07	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0b2888…
10-05 23:02:56	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x557910…
10-05 23:02:53	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x30316d…
10-05 23:02:40	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdca8cd…
10-05 23:02:34	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x54e678…
10-05 23:02:29	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc840dd…
10-05 23:02:25	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x73e6f2…
10-05 23:02:20	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcc4f10…
10-05 23:02:14	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2709b7…
10-05 23:02:07	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe72e2e…
10-05 23:02:04	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9093a7…
10-05 23:01:58	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbe6a93…
10-05 23:01:53	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6b0e59…
10-05 23:01:47	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0904d2…
10-05 23:01:41	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc7b347…
10-05 23:01:35	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1f8c84…
10-05 23:01:32	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0bc20a…
10-05 23:01:26	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xddd87c…
10-05 23:00:58	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3a212f…