Fond-Assurance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

156

Trades

1,051

lifetime

Volume

$5.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-17 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 58% +$2

Other

18% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the highest temperature in london be 8c on february 2	7	$106	104	104	+0	open	—	02-02 13:24
highest temperature in london on february 19 2026 6c	4	$80	98	85	+13	open	—	02-19 14:20
btc updown 15m 1771503300	2	$65	36	36	+0	open	—	02-19 12:27
btc updown 15m 1771400700	2	$63	36	36	+0	open	—	02-18 07:56
highest temperature in london on february 3 2026 7c	4	$56	44	44	+0	open	—	02-03 00:19
btc updown 5m 1771236000	2	$56	35	34	+0	open	—	02-16 10:03
btc updown 15m 1769796000	3	$55	62	26	+36	open	—	01-30 18:11
btc updown 5m 1771235400	2	$55	35	33	+2	open	—	02-16 09:54
btc updown 5m 1771263000	2	$54	31	29	+2	open	—	02-16 17:33
highest temperature in london on february 4 2026 10c	2	$52	34	34	+0	open	—	02-04 15:35
btc updown 15m 1771511400	2	$51	31	30	+0	open	—	02-19 14:43
btc updown 5m 1771265400	3	$49	31	31	+0	open	—	02-16 18:15
btc updown 5m 1771320300	4	$49	35	34	+0	open	—	02-17 09:30
btc updown 5m 1771262700	3	$46	26	26	+0	open	—	02-16 17:29
btc updown 5m 1771316400	2	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	02-17 08:25
btc updown 5m 1771314300	2	$43	26	25	+0	open	—	02-17 07:49
highest temperature in london on february 5 2026 9c	3	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	02-05 22:06
will the highest temperature in london be 9c on february 2	4	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	02-02 06:28
highest temperature in london on february 20 2026 11c	2	$41	74	0	+74	open	—	02-20 12:42
highest temperature in london on february 13 2026 8c	6	$40	42	42	+0	open	—	02-13 13:32
btc updown 15m 1769799600	2	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	01-30 19:12
xrp updown 5m 1771515600	3	$40	25	24	+0	open	—	02-19 15:44
btc updown 5m 1771237500	3	$39	51	17	+34	open	—	02-16 10:28
btc updown 5m 1771235100	2	$39	24	23	+1	open	—	02-16 09:49
btc updown 5m 1771511400	2	$39	23	23	+0	open	—	02-19 14:33
xrp updown 5m 1771575900	3	$38	43	21	+22	open	—	02-20 08:29
highest temperature in london on february 19 2026 7c	2	$37	39	39	+0	open	—	02-19 14:09
btc updown 5m 1771262400	3	$37	21	21	+0	open	—	02-16 17:24
btc updown 5m 1771326000	4	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	02-17 11:05
btc updown 15m 1771422300	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	02-18 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 16:38:51	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc5060d…
05-17 16:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x218756…
05-17 16:04:16	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x15e6fe…
05-17 15:51:31	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x02391c…
05-17 15:44:54	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x347dd6…
05-17 15:42:07	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa87a99…
05-17 15:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3d160e…
05-17 15:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x698b11…
05-17 14:32:41	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3bd5ab…
05-17 14:32:28	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x18fc54…
05-17 14:32:23	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x209603…
05-17 14:32:18	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4086e5…
05-17 14:32:11	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x391de6…
05-17 13:51:14	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7265dc…
05-17 13:51:09	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xba5f27…
05-17 13:51:03	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc8095f…
05-17 13:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x215cdc…
05-17 13:50:51	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x694133…
05-17 12:51:42	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfb83c2…
05-17 12:51:35	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfa9a01…
05-17 12:51:30	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa276e0…
05-17 12:51:25	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd1c153…
05-17 12:51:19	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x02caa8…
05-17 12:51:14	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5e552f…
05-17 12:51:07	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3ec036…
05-17 12:51:02	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa518c4…
05-17 12:50:57	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa18c55…
05-17 11:39:57	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb539a5…
05-17 11:39:52	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3a1e05…
05-17 11:39:47	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x40e9bf…
05-17 11:39:41	xrp updown 5m 1779020700	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2d2c53…
05-17 11:39:36	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb76306…
05-17 11:39:31	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x79e950…
05-17 11:39:27	xrp updown 5m 1779019800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb97569…
05-17 11:39:22	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xccd8fa…
05-17 11:39:17	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x497718…
05-17 00:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x989788…
05-17 00:50:51	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1b1dff…
05-17 00:50:46	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8914a0…
05-17 00:50:39	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x890593…
05-17 00:50:33	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x696772…
05-17 00:50:25	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcaa75c…
05-17 00:50:19	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x11eeff…
05-17 00:50:14	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa9c901…
05-17 00:50:09	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x944269…
05-16 23:30:00	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x665e2c…
05-16 23:29:55	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3e5ab7…
05-16 23:29:48	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3b9dc8…
05-16 23:29:42	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2dff90…
05-16 23:29:37	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6a7d07…
05-16 23:29:32	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c43bb…
05-16 23:29:27	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd628a6…
05-16 23:29:21	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x32e8b1…
05-16 23:29:16	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x77d9a4…
05-16 21:08:18	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x15914c…
05-16 21:08:10	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2305e3…
05-16 21:08:03	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x07993c…
05-16 21:07:54	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe039df…
05-16 21:07:49	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x377dc8…
05-16 21:07:19	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1e4322…
05-16 21:07:14	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe8c7b0…
05-16 21:07:08	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x66318b…
05-16 21:07:01	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7b2b29…
05-16 21:06:56	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0857d3…
05-16 21:06:51	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdda47b…
05-16 21:06:44	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x73b463…
05-16 21:06:39	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf328bc…
05-16 21:06:32	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe6ccbe…
05-16 16:33:40	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xff7dba…
05-16 16:33:32	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6aca45…
05-16 16:33:21	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf8d096…
05-16 16:33:09	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1de2dd…
05-16 16:33:00	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8069b0…
05-16 16:32:23	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x944a53…
05-16 16:32:15	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1caf94…
05-16 16:32:09	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd58d32…
05-16 16:32:01	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x472928…
05-16 16:31:55	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf40294…
05-16 16:31:50	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa1bd2e…
05-16 16:31:45	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x715c47…
05-16 16:31:36	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6514d7…
05-16 16:31:31	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4a0d43…
05-16 14:51:07	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3d6268…
05-16 14:51:00	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x222f3f…
05-16 14:50:53	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xde93a7…
05-16 14:50:48	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf4980c…
05-16 14:50:43	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4854af…
05-16 14:50:11	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x712128…
05-16 14:50:06	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x46947a…
05-16 14:49:59	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x769b4a…
05-16 14:49:54	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6e3016…
05-16 14:49:49	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1e9940…
05-16 14:49:43	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb8aa62…
05-16 14:49:38	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x374f47…
05-16 14:49:29	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2de723…
05-16 14:49:22	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x235ad5…
05-16 12:28:19	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaadb06…
05-16 12:28:11	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2755b8…
05-16 12:28:04	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x83bd0f…
05-16 12:27:48	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc3b4fe…