Ragged-Trousers — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

864

lifetime

Volume

$21.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-10 09:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% — —

Other

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?	Yes		+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	07-10 09:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1768128300	1	$600	1,117	0	+1,117	open	—	01-11 10:45
btc updown 15m 1769134500	3	$572	379	373	+6	open	—	01-23 02:25
btc updown 15m 1769400000	2	$537	364	358	+6	open	—	01-26 04:07
eth updown 15m 1767763800	12	$532	370	364	+6	open	—	01-07 05:34
btc updown 15m 1768136400	2	$500	839	0	+839	open	—	01-11 12:57
btc updown 15m 1770002100	2	$433	1,203	0	+1,203	open	—	02-02 03:22
btc updown 15m 1768122900	2	$430	625	0	+625	open	—	01-11 09:23
eth updown 15m 1769267700	2	$299	213	209	+3	open	—	01-24 15:27
eth updown 15m 1767855600	3	$280	441	0	+441	open	—	01-08 07:11
btc updown 15m 1767249000	4	$273	205	110	+95	open	—	01-01 06:44
btc updown 15m 1769148000	3	$272	189	186	+3	open	—	01-23 06:06
btc updown 15m 1769011200	3	$266	185	183	+3	open	—	01-21 16:07
btc updown 15m 1767587400	2	$266	207	207	+0	open	—	01-05 04:33
eth updown 15m 1768127400	1	$260	553	0	+553	open	—	01-11 10:28
btc updown 15m 1767586500	4	$233	292	105	+187	open	—	01-05 04:26
btc updown 15m 1767588300	2	$225	179	179	+0	open	—	01-05 04:46
btc updown 15m 1768135500	1	$200	317	0	+317	open	—	01-11 12:44
btc updown 15m 1770001200	1	$200	370	0	+370	open	—	02-02 02:48
eth updown 15m 1767588300	2	$195	182	154	+28	open	—	01-05 04:48
eth updown 15m 1768282200	2	$178	127	125	+2	open	—	01-13 05:35
eth updown 15m 1767852900	3	$170	277	0	+277	open	—	01-08 06:22
btc updown 15m 1769346000	2	$167	121	119	+2	open	—	01-25 13:09
btc updown 15m 1769141700	3	$165	115	114	+2	open	—	01-23 04:23
eth updown 15m 1769133600	2	$162	110	108	+2	open	—	01-23 02:08
btc updown 15m 1769392800	2	$160	295	0	+295	open	—	01-26 02:00
eth updown 15m 1767600900	18	$156	97	97	+0	open	—	01-05 08:29
btc updown 15m 1767600000	10	$141	99	89	+10	open	—	01-05 08:12
btc updown 15m 1769133600	2	$140	267	0	+267	open	—	01-23 02:01
btc updown 15m 1769352300	2	$133	91	90	+1	open	—	01-25 14:58
btc updown 15m 1769158800	2	$132	93	91	+1	open	—	01-23 09:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 09:03:01	Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x81bb39…
07-09 15:19:17	will dai dai be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922770	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x99bdfa…
07-06 02:54:32	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfd11fb…
07-01 09:18:16	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5dc855…
06-24 02:57:31	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8cfd1b…
06-17 09:27:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd8a65f…
06-13 14:27:30	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x092afe…
06-11 15:08:30	will gwynne shotwell be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212482	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7d2942…
06-03 01:02:38	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfe2b02…
06-01 12:41:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3c0d1a…
05-21 02:03:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf31455…
05-06 15:12:14	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x82a20a…
05-04 14:22:38	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x87d41a…
05-03 02:17:08	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8523b7…
04-28 07:45:44	Will Anthropic have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa65daf…
04-24 07:52:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa934fb…
04-22 02:56:24	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf28ba2…
04-20 11:22:40	will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb35611…
04-17 08:14:30	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x235b81…
04-16 11:07:40	Will Ana Paula Renault be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7f9832…
04-15 08:04:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf0bc02…
04-13 03:25:07	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbd861b…
04-11 07:59:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5f913…
04-11 07:59:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e61e7…
04-09 07:40:09	will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x816545…
04-08 07:52:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc16083…
04-07 06:48:21	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x996311…
04-05 13:04:25	will claude opus 4 6 thinking have the top ai model on april 10 2026 style control on	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x68cfa5…
04-03 23:09:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe316a8…
04-02 22:17:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xccfbdc…
04-01 22:59:57	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x033c71…
03-31 05:33:59	will the weeknd have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x74373a…
03-30 05:06:14	will iran strike bahrain again in march	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x1d0553…
03-29 12:03:10	will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc37391…
03-29 11:57:54	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfb69ef…
03-28 05:50:09	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2bf5a9…
03-26 08:13:45	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6f9954…
03-25 01:18:39	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0bf789…
03-22 10:05:45	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6aa0a7…
03-21 08:06:47	highest temperature in toronto on march 22 2026 12corbelow	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x756196…
03-20 03:59:23	will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x037b03…
03-18 02:34:17	will mike white be voted off survivor season 50 this week 931	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x098b84…
03-18 02:33:45	will mike white be voted off survivor season 50 this week 931	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9d440b…
03-16 02:57:07	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x947376…
03-15 06:03:51	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 17 be less than 2600000	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3ffd34…
03-14 05:10:11	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa91766…
03-11 02:41:13	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x93aa69…
03-10 13:20:15	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb8b39b…
03-09 14:53:49	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x94ea60…
03-05 14:32:41	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdbb233…
03-04 02:20:39	will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd7f3ea…
03-01 10:07:23	will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6824d1…
02-28 12:15:13	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x854248…
02-27 11:36:49	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4825a3…
02-26 07:50:32	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xec9d06…
02-24 07:54:18	nvda above 130 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd8d191…
02-20 21:46:22	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x219066…
02-19 10:26:54	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdb569b…
02-17 18:17:21	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6a10a7…
02-17 18:16:57	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9696ce…
02-17 18:16:07	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x64b7b0…
02-16 16:15:57	march fed derivative 25bps cut flips pause by feb 28	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5e30cb…
02-14 12:44:33	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x801889…
02-13 11:04:33	will dtmf by bad bunny be the billboard 1 song for the week of february 21	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x637548…
02-11 14:10:41	aapl above 245 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2f6108…
02-11 14:10:15	btc updown 15m 1770818400	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x065fbd…
02-10 13:43:21	btc updown 15m 1770731100	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x78bc21…
02-10 13:42:17	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdee21c…
02-10 13:41:31	nvda close above 175 on february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa1ba8…
02-09 05:27:07	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x71933f…
02-09 05:26:53	btc updown 15m 1770614100	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1e39b8…
02-06 13:23:07	will baile inolvidable be played at the super bowl halftime show	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x26e221…
02-04 14:24:50	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7af58e…
02-03 01:40:28	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfb7279…
02-02 03:22:02	btc updown 15m 1770002100	Up	BUY	476	7¢	$34	0x27d9d5…
02-02 03:08:50	btc updown 15m 1770002100	Up	BUY	727	55¢	$400	0x9cef14…
02-02 02:48:30	btc updown 15m 1770001200	Up	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x494ee2…
02-02 02:36:04	btc updown 15m 1770000300	Up	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0xd400d8…
02-02 02:30:22	btc updown 15m 1769999400	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x246d21…
02-02 02:26:08	btc updown 15m 1769999400	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x05e4ff…
02-02 02:07:52	btc updown 15m 1769998500	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x4a4e7d…
02-02 01:57:50	btc updown 15m 1769997600	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa2eaf4…
02-02 01:44:20	btc updown 15m 1769996700	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xaf8f32…
02-02 01:27:48	btc updown 15m 1769995800	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x069915…
02-02 01:10:20	btc updown 15m 1769994900	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x62057e…
02-02 00:55:14	btc updown 15m 1769994000	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf0e9ec…
02-02 00:45:40	btc updown 15m 1769993100	Down	SELL	73	53¢	$39	0x50bcbc…
02-02 00:43:30	btc updown 15m 1769993100	Down	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xf59d80…
02-02 00:26:44	btc updown 15m 1769992200	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x360bf9…
01-31 14:32:26	btc updown 15m 1769869800	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x0c4859…
01-31 14:30:52	btc updown 15m 1769869800	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x07621c…
01-30 12:35:30	btc updown 15m 1769776200	Up	SELL	56	35¢	$20	0xce1a0b…
01-30 12:28:28	btc updown 15m 1769776200	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xbacce2…
01-30 12:21:16	btc updown 15m 1769775300	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x02290d…
01-30 12:14:10	btc updown 15m 1769775300	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x02d72b…
01-30 12:08:56	btc updown 15m 1769774400	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xe9a2ff…
01-30 12:04:32	btc updown 15m 1769774400	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x16e919…
01-30 11:50:12	btc updown 15m 1769773500	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x3cb810…
01-30 06:50:36	btc updown 15m 1769755500	Down	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0x8b7f47…
01-30 06:41:02	btc updown 15m 1769754600	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xe1647a…