Ragged-Trousers — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.34K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

525

Trades

885

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-26 06:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% -$1,335

Other

1% 92% -$4

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 10:45 UTC	1	$600	1,117	0	+1,117	Up	+$517	01-11 10:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 02:15 UTC	3	$572	379	373	+6	Down	+$158	01-23 02:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 04:00 UTC	2	$537	364	358	+6	Up	+$142	01-26 04:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:30 UTC	12	$532	370	364	+6	Up	+$137	01-07 05:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 13:00 UTC	2	$500	839	0	+839	Up	-$500	01-11 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 03:15 UTC	2	$433	1,203	0	+1,203	Down	-$433	02-02 03:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 09:15 UTC	2	$430	625	0	+625	Down	-$185	01-11 09:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 15:15 UTC	2	$299	213	209	+3	Down	+$102	01-24 15:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 07:00 UTC	3	$280	441	0	+441	Up	+$5	01-08 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 06:30 UTC	4	$273	205	110	+95	Up	-$15	01-01 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 06:00 UTC	3	$272	189	186	+3	Up	+$74	01-23 06:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:00 UTC	3	$266	185	183	+3	Down	+$69	01-21 16:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 04:30 UTC	2	$266	207	207	+0	Down	+$26	01-05 04:33
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 10:30 UTC	1	$260	553	0	+553	Down	-$260	01-11 10:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 04:15 UTC	4	$233	292	105	+187	Down	-$72	01-05 04:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 04:45 UTC	2	$225	179	179	+0	Up	+$25	01-05 04:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 03:00 UTC	1	$200	370	0	+370	Down	-$200	02-02 02:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 12:45 UTC	1	$200	317	0	+317	Up	-$200	01-11 12:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 04:45 UTC	2	$195	182	154	+28	Up	+$23	01-05 04:48
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 05:30 UTC	2	$178	127	125	+2	Down	+$40	01-13 05:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 06:15 UTC	3	$170	277	0	+277	Down	-$42	01-08 06:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 13:00 UTC	2	$167	121	119	+2	Down	+$28	01-25 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 04:15 UTC	3	$165	115	114	+2	Down	+$47	01-23 04:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 02:00 UTC	2	$162	110	108	+2	Down	+$43	01-23 02:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 02:00 UTC	2	$160	295	0	+295	Down	+$135	01-26 02:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 08:15 UTC	18	$156	97	97	+0	Up	+$11	01-05 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 08:00 UTC	10	$141	99	89	+10	Up	+$12	01-05 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 02:00 UTC	2	$140	267	0	+267	Up	-$140	01-23 02:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 14:45 UTC	2	$133	91	90	+1	Up	+$34	01-25 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 09:00 UTC	2	$132	93	91	+1	Up	+$33	01-23 09:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 06:03:00	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xa0ff35…
09-26 06:02:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0398a9…
09-26 06:02:45	Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfdf002…
07-29 12:51:36	will apple say iphone 10 times during earnings call 20260727155548208	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x64eca9…
07-20 05:26:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xea1193…
07-13 01:56:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x33100d…
07-10 09:03:01	Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x81bb39…
07-09 15:19:17	will dai dai be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922770	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x99bdfa…
07-06 02:55:58	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf80162…
07-06 02:54:32	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfd11fb…
07-01 09:18:16	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5dc855…
06-26 11:55:25	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $660b on June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0b427f…
06-26 11:52:16	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $660b on June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5ce510…
06-24 02:57:31	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8cfd1b…
06-23 00:15:55	Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb1de38…
06-17 09:27:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd8a65f…
06-13 14:27:30	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x092afe…
06-11 15:08:30	will gwynne shotwell be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212482	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7d2942…
06-09 01:51:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6af68b…
06-04 09:15:27	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa6bf09…
06-03 01:02:38	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfe2b02…
06-03 01:01:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xcc881f…
06-01 12:42:05	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe8b0eb…
06-01 12:41:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3c0d1a…
05-28 01:32:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x88b2aa…
05-21 02:03:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf31455…
05-20 00:40:57	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8e503c…
05-17 09:06:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6685df…
05-13 02:37:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb908af…
05-12 04:38:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x379119…
05-10 07:39:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3e8a02…
05-06 15:12:14	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x82a20a…
05-04 14:22:38	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x87d41a…
05-03 02:17:08	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8523b7…
04-30 01:17:06	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf54a86…
04-28 07:45:44	Will Anthropic have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa65daf…
04-24 07:52:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa934fb…
04-22 02:56:24	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf28ba2…
04-20 11:22:40	will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb35611…
04-17 08:14:30	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x235b81…
04-16 11:07:40	Will Ana Paula Renault be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7f9832…
04-15 08:04:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf0bc02…
04-13 03:25:07	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbd861b…
04-11 07:59:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5f913…
04-11 07:59:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e61e7…
04-09 07:40:09	will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x816545…
04-08 07:52:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc16083…
04-07 06:48:21	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x996311…
04-05 13:04:25	will claude opus 4 6 thinking have the top ai model on april 10 2026 style control on	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x68cfa5…
04-03 23:09:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe316a8…
04-02 22:17:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xccfbdc…
04-01 22:59:57	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x033c71…
03-31 05:33:59	will the weeknd have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x74373a…
03-30 05:06:14	will iran strike bahrain again in march	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x1d0553…
03-29 12:03:10	will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc37391…
03-29 11:57:54	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfb69ef…
03-28 05:50:09	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2bf5a9…
03-26 08:13:45	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6f9954…
03-25 01:18:39	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0bf789…
03-22 10:05:45	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6aa0a7…
03-21 08:06:47	highest temperature in toronto on march 22 2026 12corbelow	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x756196…
03-20 03:59:23	will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x037b03…
03-18 02:34:17	will mike white be voted off survivor season 50 this week 931	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x098b84…
03-18 02:33:45	will mike white be voted off survivor season 50 this week 931	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9d440b…
03-16 02:57:07	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x947376…
03-15 06:03:51	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 17 be less than 2600000	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3ffd34…
03-14 05:10:11	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa91766…
03-11 02:41:13	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x93aa69…
03-10 13:20:15	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb8b39b…
03-09 14:53:49	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x94ea60…
03-05 14:32:41	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdbb233…
03-04 02:20:39	will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd7f3ea…
03-01 10:07:23	will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6824d1…
02-28 12:15:13	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x854248…
02-27 11:36:49	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4825a3…
02-26 07:50:32	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xec9d06…
02-24 07:54:18	nvda above 130 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd8d191…
02-20 21:46:22	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x219066…
02-19 10:26:54	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdb569b…
02-17 18:17:21	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6a10a7…
02-17 18:16:57	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9696ce…
02-17 18:16:07	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x64b7b0…
02-16 16:15:57	march fed derivative 25bps cut flips pause by feb 28	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5e30cb…
02-14 12:44:33	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x801889…
02-13 11:04:33	will dtmf by bad bunny be the billboard 1 song for the week of february 21	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x637548…
02-11 14:10:41	aapl above 245 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2f6108…
02-11 14:10:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x065fbd…
02-10 13:43:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x78bc21…
02-10 13:42:17	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdee21c…
02-10 13:41:31	nvda close above 175 on february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa1ba8…
02-09 05:27:07	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x71933f…
02-09 05:26:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1e39b8…
02-06 13:23:07	will baile inolvidable be played at the super bowl halftime show	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x26e221…
02-04 14:24:50	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7af58e…
02-03 01:40:28	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfb7279…
02-02 03:22:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	476	7¢	$34	0x27d9d5…
02-02 03:08:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	727	55¢	$400	0x9cef14…
02-02 02:48:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x494ee2…
02-02 02:36:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0xd400d8…
02-02 02:30:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x246d21…