Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$971

Unrealized P&L

-$107

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

159

Trades

256

lifetime

Volume

$3.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$133

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-06 22:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 21% -$203

Other

42% 14% -$745

Politics

15% 10% -$3

Sports

1% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+6,399	$96	1¢	$93	-$3	11-06 22:38
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes		+3,347	$144	1¢	$40	-$104	11-05 20:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	9	$557	1,956	0	+1,956	No	-$557	05-15 01:33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	7	$430	299	299	+0	Natus Vincere	+$167	11-04 13:03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$233	133	133	+0	Yes	+$32	11-04 10:47
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	3	$144	3,347	0	+3,347	open	—	11-05 20:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$125	506	5	+501	Yes	-$122	07-29 17:26
xrp up or down july 30 2026 9pm et	3	$122	170	170	+0	Down	+$102	07-31 01:59
HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 04:15 UTC	1	$100	130	0	+130	Up	-$100	07-31 04:24
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$96	587	7	+580	No	-$94	05-15 01:35
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	1	$96	6,399	0	+6,399	open	—	11-06 22:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 00:30 UTC	3	$94	119	91	+28	Up	+$92	08-05 00:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:30 UTC	1	$90	132	0	+132	Down	-$90	07-31 04:30
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$81	162	62	+100	Up	+$43	11-04 11:21
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$68	58	58	+0	Up	+$48	11-04 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 01:45 UTC	5	$50	692	0	+692	Down	-$50	07-31 01:47
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:15 UTC	1	$47	60	0	+60	Up	+$12	07-31 04:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$43	158	101	+57	Yes	-$11	09-14 14:59
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	5	$41	156	89	+66	No	-$3	04-13 15:54
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	2	$36	30	30	+0	open	—	11-04 14:05
bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 8pm et	3	$30	1,210	0	+1,210	Down	-$30	08-05 00:55
mlb pit cin 2026 07 30	2	$30	57	0	+57	Cincinnati Reds	-$20	07-31 01:35
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:15 UTC	1	$28	34	0	+34	Up	-$28	07-31 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	4	$26	243	0	+243	Up	-$26	07-31 02:35
ethereum above 2200 on april 13	2	$23	18	18	+1	Yes	+$3	04-13 14:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 16:00 UTC	1	$22	34	0	+34	Up	+$13	07-31 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:55 UTC	1	$21	43	0	+43	Down	+$23	07-31 15:57
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$20	454	0	+454	Up	-$20	11-04 11:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 02:30 UTC	2	$20	256	0	+256	Down	-$20	07-31 02:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:15 UTC	1	$20	99	0	+99	Down	-$20	07-31 02:16
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 02:15 UTC	4	$20	192	0	+192	Down	-$20	07-31 02:28
BNB Up or Down - July 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$20	179	0	+179	Down	-$20	07-31 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 22:38:37	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,399	1¢	$96	0x6c0d24…
11-05 20:46:25	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	2,581	4¢	$96	0x21a53b…
11-05 00:01:43	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	721	7¢	$48	0xc70727…
11-04 14:05:36	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	30	84¢	$26	0x9aed44…
11-04 13:03:57	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	SELL	299	100¢	$299	0x37ab26…
11-04 11:41:07	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	139	35¢	$48	0x22ad49…
11-04 11:36:31	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	57	16¢	$9	0xc028c0…
11-04 11:31:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	67	13¢	$9	0x2e798d…
11-04 11:26:48	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	140	7¢	$10	0x2efd66…
11-04 11:26:19	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x8cccce…
11-04 11:25:58	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0xa0c3c8…
11-04 11:24:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	346	3¢	$10	0xcbe4f0…
11-04 11:24:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x2a9b68…
11-04 11:23:19	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xf4cfe2…
11-04 11:21:31	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa1b60c…
11-04 11:21:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xaf7a93…
11-04 11:19:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8a575c…
11-04 11:15:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x03bb05…
11-04 11:15:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x7d79c7…
11-04 11:13:52	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x79c7ec…
11-04 11:05:27	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe34249…
11-04 11:03:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe87b09…
11-04 11:03:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xb9f47e…
11-04 11:00:28	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9d698a…
11-04 10:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	78	3¢	$2	0x030f69…
11-04 10:56:04	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xc69e4b…
11-04 10:55:46	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x0aa57e…
11-04 10:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x218050…
11-04 10:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2ce51c…
11-04 10:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x014a97…
11-04 10:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xcbc2ac…
11-04 10:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc01f61…
11-04 10:47:28	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	62	53¢	$33	0x86910c…
11-04 10:47:12	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	133	100¢	$132	0x204225…
11-03 21:49:49	Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x917616…
11-03 21:45:43	Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x12275c…
11-03 21:45:39	Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x1687a1…
11-03 21:45:34	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x5036be…
11-03 21:45:28	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x3c9d2f…
11-03 21:45:21	Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xa517c2…
11-03 21:42:19	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	637	1¢	$10	0x01031e…
11-03 21:32:01	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	148	6¢	$9	0xdf11a3…
11-03 21:31:49	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x87616b…
11-03 21:31:36	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x670bbc…
11-03 16:39:55	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	133	76¢	$101	0x961942…
09-14 14:59:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x640a69…
09-14 14:58:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x01a3b0…
09-14 14:58:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	101	16¢	$16	0x36a4de…
09-14 14:57:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	101	17¢	$17	0x95b4c0…
09-14 14:57:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x0424e8…
08-05 18:31:09	ethereum above 1900 on august 5 2026 3pm et	No	BUY	115	5¢	$6	0xf92677…
08-05 18:30:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	15¢	$7	0x27595c…
08-05 01:05:39	bnb up or down august 4 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x2c9876…
08-05 01:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x4e7038…
08-05 01:01:51	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc23d01…
08-05 01:00:45	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-05 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x4183a3…
08-05 00:57:35	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc6c2ad…
08-05 00:55:26	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	506	2¢	$10	0x097532…
08-05 00:53:57	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	103	17¢	$18	0x24f878…
08-05 00:53:18	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0x1779fd…
08-05 00:51:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xcb5ca4…
08-05 00:50:33	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xe116a0…
08-05 00:48:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x586b13…
08-05 00:47:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x1ba2fe…
08-05 00:43:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x4f3815…
08-05 00:42:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	91	87¢	$79	0x748639…
08-05 00:35:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xcf93bf…
08-05 00:34:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xf386a7…
08-05 00:32:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4b49b9…
08-05 00:31:57	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x861802…
08-05 00:31:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x2880f6…
08-05 00:27:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	37	25¢	$9	0x999224…
08-05 00:23:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	135	7¢	$9	0x020ad8…
07-31 16:47:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xe476bb…
07-31 16:47:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xa65491…
07-31 16:42:47	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xb0a6ab…
07-31 16:41:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	61¢	$8	0xd11ca3…
07-31 16:41:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xa35b89…
07-31 16:29:36	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x1edb1f…
07-31 16:27:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xb5abf1…
07-31 16:17:38	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	34	82¢	$28	0xecf522…
07-31 16:05:50	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	34	63¢	$22	0x3ae856…
07-31 15:57:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0xa43f73…
07-31 15:41:32	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x53bc38…
07-31 15:41:20	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x0557ce…
07-31 15:39:42	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0x906f97…
07-31 15:24:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x72fd5a…
07-31 15:24:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x666a13…
07-31 15:23:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3df8e6…
07-31 15:22:17	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x84e1bf…
07-31 15:22:00	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeeb353…
07-31 15:17:53	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x7f3b8e…
07-31 15:17:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9ebca9…
07-31 15:17:23	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6b0b3b…
07-31 15:16:15	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xddaba4…
07-31 15:12:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4b4a78…
07-31 15:11:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x69486c…
07-31 15:10:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0xdf2d9c…
07-31 15:09:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x43dd9e…
07-31 15:06:30	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0x795e1a…