Wilted-Down — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

586

lifetime

Volume

$984

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 06-17 22:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 62% $-6

Politics

15% 100% +$1

Other

12% 100% +$1

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	6	$30	46	20	+26	Down	$-4	05-06 04:28
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	4	$25	21,309	0	+21,309	open	—	02-09 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$24	18	18	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	4	$24	17	17	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	6	$22	18	18	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 18:44
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	3	$18	167	167	+0	open	—	02-09 14:06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	11	$17	2,919	12	+2,908	open	—	03-12 23:58
will russia enter verkhnia tersa by february 28	4	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	02-14 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	7	$15	17	17	+0	open	—	05-22 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	5	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	5	$14	14	10	+4	open	—	05-01 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	4	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-01 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$12	19	7	+12	open	—	05-22 17:01
btc updown 15m 1770406200	8	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	02-06 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	8	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-20 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	05-04 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	7	$10	12	7	+5	open	—	05-01 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	4	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	05-20 10:52
will the price of bitcoin be less than 74000 on february 6	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-06 10:41
nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	6	$10	9	5	+3	open	—	02-14 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	7	$9	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	9	$9	15	7	+8	open	—	05-18 23:43
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$9	22	17	+5	open	—	02-18 14:25
btc updown 15m 1770590700	5	$8	8	5	+3	open	—	02-08 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	4	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	05-04 05:03
btc updown 15m 1770521400	6	$8	45	5	+39	open	—	02-08 03:42
kristi noem out by march 31	3	$7	38	30	+8	open	—	02-19 12:32
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	5	$7	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	04-12 00:42
btc updown 15m 1770591600	4	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	02-08 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 22:46:08	btc updown 15m 1781736300	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x81237d…
05-25 11:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4d0444…
05-25 11:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0ac729…
05-25 10:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7a8102…
05-25 10:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4fa75f…
05-25 10:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x02ffe0…
05-25 10:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe7594e…
05-24 05:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x858a70…
05-24 05:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x058d85…
05-24 05:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcae111…
05-23 21:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x493e84…
05-23 21:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xab4577…
05-23 15:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe5514c…
05-22 20:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa29c0a…
05-22 19:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa35a76…
05-22 17:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xcec6c0…
05-22 17:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x80da15…
05-22 17:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9ca66f…
05-22 17:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xdd950d…
05-22 16:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x10f323…
05-22 16:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xac4933…
05-22 16:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfbfc4b…
05-22 12:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3c669d…
05-22 12:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6d222e…
05-22 12:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xf88630…
05-22 12:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6fa3f5…
05-22 12:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x28c42e…
05-22 12:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xfe9de0…
05-22 12:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xf538e1…
05-22 12:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa8e928…
05-22 12:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf95f73…
05-22 11:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8079c1…
05-22 00:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x06a964…
05-22 00:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb0d629…
05-21 20:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xac8215…
05-21 20:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa69c17…
05-21 11:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x44b198…
05-21 11:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x362088…
05-21 03:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6487e6…
05-21 01:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0bbd5c…
05-21 00:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x716736…
05-21 00:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x17684c…
05-21 00:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x42437e…
05-21 00:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x85bad1…
05-21 00:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x14c452…
05-20 23:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa3f93b…
05-20 23:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf2b6fd…
05-20 23:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd7a088…
05-20 23:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x77eec4…
05-20 23:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4db0dd…
05-20 23:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x02d6be…
05-20 23:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xec504a…
05-20 23:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc92906…
05-20 23:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7a643d…
05-20 23:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x138102…
05-20 14:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0c28c4…
05-20 14:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb8d423…
05-20 10:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x646e04…
05-20 10:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x9867ed…
05-20 10:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x680a03…
05-20 10:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3f83d8…
05-20 10:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9c0591…
05-20 10:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbb5dc4…
05-20 10:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0f715c…
05-20 10:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0xf6629b…
05-20 10:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x40eddb…
05-20 10:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcde06b…
05-20 00:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xcca2a5…
05-20 00:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x9d68c6…
05-19 23:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb4a076…
05-19 23:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x80ebf5…
05-19 23:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x886192…
05-19 22:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf36631…
05-19 21:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x291d8d…
05-19 21:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x43574a…
05-19 21:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x832415…
05-19 16:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0351df…
05-19 16:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf4a3c2…
05-19 16:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x787027…
05-19 15:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xfef14f…
05-19 15:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xafa14d…
05-19 15:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd67c08…
05-19 11:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x312036…
05-19 11:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x403c86…
05-19 10:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe104ea…
05-19 10:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xeaa320…
05-19 10:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4e0875…
05-19 10:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x90bf9c…
05-19 03:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7fe55a…
05-19 03:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5559a0…
05-19 00:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb8c356…
05-19 00:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd973c9…
05-18 23:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x515be3…
05-18 23:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x975aa3…
05-18 23:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5c7cd9…
05-18 23:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x1674ec…
05-18 23:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7df8e2…
05-18 23:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4de6d3…
05-18 23:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb18f67…
05-18 23:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x51e1cf…