Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$220

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$2.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$17

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-14

last 10-23 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

48% 29% -$196

Crypto

29% 47% -$21

Politics

11% 17% -$158

Pop-Culture

10% — —

Sports

2% 33% +$155

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No		+23	$10	57¢	$13	+$3	10-23 09:52
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes		+200	$5	2¢	$4	-$1	10-01 06:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kanye west performs in russia by october 31	17	$234	448	448	+0	open	—	10-23 09:48
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12PM ET	9	$208	330	190	+140	Up	+$15	10-04 16:39
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	9	$179	259	259	+0	Yes	-$10	08-10 14:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$125	97	97	+0	open	—	10-02 12:30
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	8	$111	232	232	+0	Yes	-$37	10-23 09:50
untitled market 1 20260629155005352	3	$109	150	81	+69	No	-$41	07-16 12:14
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET	10	$103	100	100	+0	Up	+$27	10-02 22:38
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$100	188	0	+188	Yes	-$100	09-14 15:22
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	5	$93	220	0	+220	Yes	-$93	08-14 13:27
atp minaur rublev 2026 10 04	2	$81	100	100	+0	Alex de Minaur	+$19	10-04 08:19
atp faria walton 2026 08 18	1	$80	87	0	+87	Jaime Faria	-$80	08-18 21:57
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	3	$63	185	0	+185	Yes	+$122	08-16 10:28
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$62	50	50	+0	Up	+$14	10-02 15:51
ethereum up or down october 4 2026 1pm et	4	$60	50	50	+0	Down	+$10	10-04 17:38
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$53	485	0	+485	Yes	-$53	07-20 17:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:50 UTC	5	$51	39	39	+0	Down	+$11	10-04 16:53
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$50	263	0	+263	No	-$50	07-14 16:13
Belgium vs. France: O/U 1.5	1	$45	100	0	+100	Under	-$45	09-28 20:05
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	2	$42	50	50	+0	Down	+$18	10-04 15:58
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$40	85	0	+85	Yes	+$45	07-17 10:44
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?	1	$40	110	0	+110	No	-$40	08-24 09:27
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	3	$40	350	0	+350	Down	-$40	10-07 10:08
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	2	$35	106	0	+106	Yes	+$71	08-13 14:28
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	15	$32	70	70	+0	Up	+$10	10-04 07:45
Belgium vs. France: O/U 0.5	1	$30	60	0	+60	Over	+$30	09-28 20:28
atp lehecka vachero 2026 10 05 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$30	93	0	+93	Jiri Lehecka	-$30	10-05 10:58
wta kostyuk andreev 2026 08 19	1	$30	68	0	+68	Marta Kostyuk	+$38	08-19 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$29	198	0	+198	Down	-$29	10-04 16:22
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	3	$25	225	30	+195	Yes	+$190	09-11 02:47
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$25	767	0	+767	Yes	-$25	07-21 22:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:52:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb3ec3c…
10-23 09:50:12	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	SELL	232	16¢	$37	0x08434a…
10-23 09:48:09	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0x9ba5c6…
10-07 10:08:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x9cda15…
10-07 09:06:33	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x4a48bf…
10-07 08:47:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x6be040…
10-07 08:46:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x34b8b9…
10-05 10:58:34	atp lehecka vachero 2026 10 05 set handicap home 1pt5	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xfd2f6e…
10-05 10:43:10	atp lehecka vachero 2026 10 05 set handicap home 1pt5	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x98a28e…
10-04 17:38:46	ethereum up or down october 4 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x026356…
10-04 17:00:19	ethereum up or down october 4 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x62654a…
10-04 17:00:13	ethereum up or down october 4 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x82c618…
10-04 17:00:10	ethereum up or down october 4 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2154e2…
10-04 16:53:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc61030…
10-04 16:53:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x9c8def…
10-04 16:53:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x42d7df…
10-04 16:53:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x1f575f…
10-04 16:51:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x0ed257…
10-04 16:39:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa1b97c…
10-04 16:37:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0xd3d116…
10-04 16:37:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x51de12…
10-04 16:37:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7cc87d…
10-04 16:37:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x08bc18…
10-04 16:37:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x67b05f…
10-04 16:36:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xff7451…
10-04 16:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x17b240…
10-04 16:30:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	110	55¢	$61	0x768d23…
10-04 16:25:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x61b3f8…
10-04 16:22:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0xc8b68b…
10-04 16:22:22	ethereum up or down october 4 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x88320d…
10-04 16:22:20	ethereum up or down october 4 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	44	40¢	$18	0xec0b66…
10-04 16:21:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xbf47db…
10-04 16:21:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xf22373…
10-04 16:15:37	ethereum up or down october 4 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	80	64¢	$51	0xd41d13…
10-04 16:04:10	ethereum up or down october 4 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xb68796…
10-04 16:02:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xd0d60f…
10-04 15:58:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x023373…
10-04 15:57:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x535691…
10-04 08:19:50	atp minaur rublev 2026 10 04	Alex de Minaur	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x15b72f…
10-04 07:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xaa4c8e…
10-04 07:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x5ae24c…
10-04 07:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x4c9a33…
10-04 07:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x301329…
10-04 07:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x04dfbb…
10-04 07:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb0d7a4…
10-04 07:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x77f31e…
10-04 07:43:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x56c60e…
10-04 07:43:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xcba664…
10-04 07:38:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xe91a14…
10-04 07:38:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc0f7e6…
10-04 07:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x5529d6…
10-04 07:38:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd6b9c6…
10-04 07:37:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xde99b4…
10-04 07:35:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xeafd39…
10-04 07:30:34	Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	SELL	228	0¢	$1	0xe94598…
10-04 07:29:53	atp minaur rublev 2026 10 04	Alex de Minaur	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xd537b3…
10-02 22:38:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xab1fd1…
10-02 22:38:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x5e0da1…
10-02 22:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0xfd6b22…
10-02 22:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x1ddde0…
10-02 22:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0x678a74…
10-02 22:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xe37003…
10-02 22:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x8eecfc…
10-02 22:11:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x53525c…
10-02 22:11:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xef9c20…
10-02 22:11:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xa2cdcd…
10-02 22:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xccc3f6…
10-02 21:08:35	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7934f1…
10-02 20:57:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0x6176cd…
10-02 15:51:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	45	75¢	$34	0x82ec30…
10-02 15:51:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x45c33f…
10-02 15:45:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x7e3839…
10-02 12:30:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	97	84¢	$81	0xb3cd8f…
10-02 10:12:23	Set Handicap: Arthur Fils (-1.5) vs Frances Tiafoe (+1.5)	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x483873…
10-01 10:52:17	atp vallejo jodar 2026 09 30	Rafael Jodar	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x36619b…
10-01 06:07:26	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	178	2¢	$4	0x10251b…
09-29 16:00:08	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x47aa2c…
09-29 15:26:53	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xbb0a35…
09-29 15:26:39	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3a0a4d…
09-28 20:28:36	Belgium vs. France: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x46a92d…
09-28 20:05:33	Belgium vs. France: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x54fc97…
09-27 20:39:53	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe3c311…
09-27 20:36:06	Germany vs. Greece: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc4f7b9…
09-25 16:44:47	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfec0f5…
09-24 07:05:24	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	Yes	SELL	76	35¢	$27	0x872f3d…
09-23 14:18:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x94ba1f…
09-23 13:47:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x467d7c…
09-23 12:02:43	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	Yes	SELL	60	40¢	$24	0xe38191…
09-23 12:02:11	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	Yes	SELL	71	20¢	$14	0xf36eda…
09-23 05:42:10	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0x5b3433…
09-22 11:57:06	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xf6df84…
09-22 11:38:49	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0f4ddd…
09-22 11:18:43	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x1e5fed…
09-17 19:22:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x157f72…
09-17 10:36:04	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x450804…
09-17 10:35:34	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xc28206…
09-17 06:31:16	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0x73a60f…
09-16 18:08:36	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0x5cb82a…
09-15 08:58:13	will solana dip to 100 september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	93	11¢	$10	0x7b9fad…
09-14 15:22:54	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x6b47e6…