Polished-Meadow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

Trades

890

lifetime

Volume

$5.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-17 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 56% $-2

Politics

24% — —

Other

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$456	1,552	1,552	+0	open	—	03-18 18:30
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$293	1,553	0	+1,553	open	—	02-27 15:39
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$200	4,462	0	+4,462	open	—	02-28 19:59
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 12 278	1	$200	284	0	+284	open	—	03-07 16:11
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	1	$200	304	0	+304	open	—	03-07 16:11
will israel strike 2 countries in february 2026	1	$100	175	0	+175	open	—	02-28 21:06
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	1	$100	836	0	+836	open	—	03-01 07:13
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$92	500	0	+500	open	—	03-18 18:47
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	12	$90	2,273	1,900	+373	open	—	03-08 22:16
cl up or down on march 9 2026	122	$78	5,824	0	+5,824	open	—	03-09 15:12
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	4	$50	250	0	+250	open	—	03-11 19:33
btc updown 5m 1774177800	9	$32	31	31	+1	open	—	03-22 11:14
btc updown 5m 1774127700	6	$25	22	22	+0	open	—	03-21 21:18
btc updown 5m 1774103100	7	$24	37	36	+0	open	—	03-21 14:28
btc updown 5m 1774129200	6	$23	21	21	+0	open	—	03-21 21:44
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	1	$20	222	0	+222	open	—	03-02 09:08
btc updown 5m 1774178100	6	$20	31	30	+1	open	—	03-22 11:19
btc updown 5m 1774173300	6	$19	20	13	+7	open	—	03-22 09:59
btc updown 5m 1774175100	5	$19	415	15	+400	open	—	03-22 10:30
btc updown 5m 1774126500	7	$17	13	12	+0	open	—	03-21 20:59
btc updown 5m 1774125900	4	$16	16	16	+0	open	—	03-21 20:48
btc updown 5m 1774114800	4	$16	23	22	+0	open	—	03-21 17:44
btc updown 5m 1774105800	6	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	03-21 15:14
btc updown 5m 1774125000	4	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	03-21 20:31
btc updown 5m 1774105500	3	$13	36	15	+21	open	—	03-21 15:09
btc updown 5m 1774100400	3	$13	25	13	+12	open	—	03-21 13:44
btc updown 5m 1774132500	3	$12	406	6	+400	open	—	03-21 22:40
btc updown 5m 1774127100	4	$11	12	6	+6	open	—	03-21 21:09
spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	3	$11	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	03-09 13:26
btc updown 5m 1774823100	2	$11	18	18	+0	open	—	03-29 22:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 19:49:34	btc updown 5m 1781725500	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x00f1a4…
06-17 18:54:52	btc updown 5m 1781722200	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x13018c…
06-17 15:54:38	btc updown 5m 1781711400	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x37f029…
06-17 08:59:49	btc updown 5m 1781686500	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5e932a…
06-17 01:34:43	btc updown 5m 1781659800	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x6b76f7…
06-16 15:44:32	btc updown 5m 1781624400	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf3b9dd…
06-16 13:34:50	btc updown 5m 1781616600	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8f688e…
06-15 18:09:34	btc updown 5m 1781546700	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x746e6f…
06-12 15:24:48	btc updown 5m 1781277600	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb5e629…
06-12 14:49:51	btc updown 5m 1781275500	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1c5943…
06-11 19:49:51	btc updown 5m 1781207100	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xddd092…
06-11 18:44:34	btc updown 5m 1781203200	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfc4c32…
06-11 12:54:36	btc updown 5m 1781182200	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xdafb7e…
06-11 12:29:46	btc updown 5m 1781180700	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1cb289…
06-10 15:04:40	btc updown 5m 1781103600	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7db8e3…
06-10 11:49:43	btc updown 5m 1781091900	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xdf1df2…
06-10 09:19:40	btc updown 5m 1781082900	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xa7d556…
06-09 16:14:51	btc updown 5m 1781021400	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x957012…
06-09 12:09:49	btc updown 5m 1781006700	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x304b3b…
06-09 03:19:40	btc updown 5m 1780974900	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0cf6fa…
06-09 01:29:52	btc updown 5m 1780968300	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4f9dec…
06-08 13:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780924800	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbb11b6…
06-07 16:09:33	btc updown 5m 1780848300	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x887b88…
06-07 14:29:39	btc updown 5m 1780842300	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe628ae…
06-07 01:24:48	btc updown 5m 1780795200	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb15322…
06-07 01:14:40	btc updown 5m 1780794600	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xd083a0…
06-06 14:44:45	btc updown 5m 1780756800	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x76caa2…
06-06 14:39:33	btc updown 5m 1780756500	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5523e0…
06-06 13:24:33	btc updown 5m 1780752000	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc7a449…
06-06 03:54:46	btc updown 5m 1780717800	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1d144a…
06-06 01:49:40	btc updown 5m 1780710300	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa28b38…
06-05 19:54:40	btc updown 5m 1780689000	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x46997d…
06-05 19:14:36	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x1a6cd1…
06-05 19:04:43	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5a9599…
06-05 18:09:45	btc updown 5m 1780682700	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4e8bc0…
06-05 14:49:42	btc updown 5m 1780670700	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe906d9…
06-04 19:59:49	btc updown 5m 1780602900	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x6d9488…
06-04 10:54:36	btc updown 5m 1780570200	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf73a61…
06-04 10:14:36	btc updown 5m 1780567800	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd7266b…
06-04 03:54:37	btc updown 5m 1780545000	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x0cffed…
06-04 03:29:48	btc updown 5m 1780543500	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xdff4f6…
06-04 01:44:34	btc updown 5m 1780537200	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x82da3c…
06-03 19:49:36	btc updown 5m 1780515900	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x398070…
06-03 19:44:40	btc updown 5m 1780515600	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa4ee6b…
06-03 16:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbf11d6…
06-03 16:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3367ff…
06-03 03:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x136b58…
06-02 18:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc0d840…
06-02 09:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x40999b…
06-02 03:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8fd2d9…
06-01 16:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x693365…
06-01 09:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x992fea…
05-31 02:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x47a59d…
05-28 15:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa4df90…
05-28 14:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4e249a…
05-28 12:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x91e32c…
05-28 11:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x6d8fc7…
05-27 19:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x89bf70…
05-27 18:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xfa6bcc…
05-27 18:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x9a9f2b…
05-27 14:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa64fb2…
05-27 13:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x117401…
05-26 15:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8a24c4…
05-26 02:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x212f0c…
05-25 16:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5d8192…
05-25 03:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xaf20a1…
05-25 03:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2fd1ba…
05-25 01:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd9f4b3…
05-24 13:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0c50da…
05-24 11:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x96637d…
05-24 11:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4315b6…
05-24 09:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6ce388…
05-24 02:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf166c2…
05-23 16:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4891a4…
05-23 16:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x33c206…
05-23 15:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x480b6c…
05-23 12:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1f0125…
05-23 10:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf81b34…
05-22 12:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xef7a5d…
05-21 10:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x49843d…
05-20 19:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8b308f…
05-20 14:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x39e9b8…
05-20 11:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdf5956…
05-20 11:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x856cc5…
05-20 10:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xae3234…
05-19 15:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x571814…
05-19 14:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2fe021…
05-19 13:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8ddb04…
05-19 13:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x13a3c7…
05-19 02:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3481a1…
05-18 19:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9aa7c5…
05-18 19:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd5954b…
05-18 19:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x046f87…
05-18 16:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5b3e75…
05-18 15:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1a8656…
05-18 15:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd2b3e3…
05-18 14:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa11141…
05-18 14:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x862856…
05-18 12:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2fbf9b…
05-16 18:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xde1c74…