Gentle-Daisy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.93K

Unrealized P&L

-$262

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

410

Trades

2,391

lifetime

Volume

$1.72M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$719

Open exposure

$404

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-22 00:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

77% 86% +$2,121

Crypto

14% 100% +$369

Sports

8% 83% -$708

Politics

1% 55% +$142

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	+400	$90	96¢	$385	+$295	06-24 16:35
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	+300	$159	4¢	$11	-$148	06-07 21:28
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	+946	$266	1¢	$8	-$258	08-22 00:05
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	+0	$151	2¢	$0	-$151	07-11 20:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	15	$200.6K	400,455	0	+400,455	Michigan Wolverines	+$408	04-06 22:03
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	3	$108.8K	108,995	0	+108,995	No	+$155	03-31 19:44
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	7	$100.2K	200,197	621	+199,577	Illinois Fighting Illini	-$76	03-27 03:50
cbb queen pur 2026 03 20	3	$98.9K	49,994	49,994	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	+$150	03-21 00:49
cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	71	$96.5K	66,781	30,000	+36,781	Arizona Wildcats	+$265	03-23 04:45
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	3	$77.0K	77,142	0	+77,142	No	+$142	03-02 03:57
cbb tcu duke 2026 03 21	8	$60.0K	120,140	0	+120,140	Duke Blue Devils	-$22	03-20 12:56
cbb akron txtech 2026 03 20	39	$41.3K	150,000	150,000	+0	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+$2,263	03-20 17:25
cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18	5	$40.9K	82,412	693	+81,719	Prairie View A&M Panthers	+$766	03-16 23:35
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	100	$39.6K	91,251	48,749	+42,502	Illinois Fighting Illini	+$213	03-20 12:58
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 spread home 6pt5	15	$27.3K	54,413	290	+54,124	Arizona Wildcats	-$63	03-28 15:15
hood up or down on february 9 2026	17	$26.6K	13,479	13,479	+0	Up	+$167	02-09 20:56
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	167	$25.4K	35,056	25,315	+9,741	Yes	-$4,091	05-14 01:22
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	46	$23.7K	12,257	12,257	+0	No	+$12	04-29 03:55
will dak prescott be the 2025 2026 nfl comeback player of the year	5	$23.0K	23,232	0	+23,232	No	+$232	02-06 02:35
cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22	5	$20.8K	42,386	2,386	+40,000	Iowa Hawkeyes	$0	03-21 17:23
cbb penn ill 2026 03 19	2	$19.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	Illinois Fighting Illini	+$20	03-20 02:51
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	5	$18.8K	18,855	0	+18,855	Arizona Wildcats	+$19	03-27 03:58
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to chicago bulls	41	$18.3K	12,505	5,802	+6,703	No	+$9	02-05 19:25
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	21	$18.2K	9,176	9,176	+0	Yes	+$47	02-05 18:12
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the miami heat	16	$15.7K	14,318	1,449	+12,869	No	+$36	02-05 19:47
cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	2	$14.4K	10,000	20,000	-10,000	Tennessee Volunteers	+$4,800	03-22 02:33
cbb hpnt ark 2026 03 21	37	$13.1K	7,783	7,783	+0	Arkansas Razorbacks	+$0	03-20 12:20
ethereum above 2000 on march 3	3	$12.0K	12,012	0	+12,012	No	+$12	03-03 17:00
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27 spread home 9pt5	5	$11.4K	22,704	49	+22,654	Michigan Wolverines	-$25	03-27 20:33
will amzn dip to 192 in february	22	$11.3K	6,002	6,002	+0	No	+$69	02-25 21:31
cbb umbc bing 2026 01 19	8	$11.0K	5,506	5,506	+0	UMBC Retrievers	+$1	01-20 05:41
nvda up or down on february 26 2026	8	$11.0K	22,147	22,147	+0	Down	+$128	02-26 18:15
open up or down on february 18 2026	9	$10.3K	5,300	5,300	+0	Up	+$44	02-18 20:06
nflx up or down on march 6 2026	4	$10.0K	10,182	0	+10,182	Down	+$182	03-06 21:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 00:05:27	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0xd765a6…
08-21 12:49:34	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	39	13¢	$5	0x9815e7…
08-21 01:08:22	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$7	0x18cc85…
08-20 22:04:51	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$7	0x4ce023…
08-20 04:51:09	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0xc70447…
08-20 00:56:25	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0xb2b38b…
08-20 00:56:24	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$7	0x6dbb3c…
08-19 16:45:28	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$7	0x8a2195…
08-19 02:24:04	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	42	13¢	$5	0x3e88b4…
08-19 01:42:36	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	88	10¢	$9	0xb30c45…
08-19 00:34:19	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	55	10¢	$6	0x48b952…
08-19 00:32:30	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	91	10¢	$9	0x72fb01…
08-19 00:30:55	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xcc747b…
08-18 19:50:25	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe458ca…
08-18 19:50:25	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x8d1c4c…
08-18 19:50:12	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x9fbe15…
08-18 17:06:27	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x161a6c…
08-18 16:23:57	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x849a7e…
08-18 16:19:19	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xb19bca…
08-18 16:19:19	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x86a23f…
08-18 16:16:12	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xa5113e…
08-18 16:14:52	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3bf735…
08-18 13:07:12	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x5d1d14…
08-18 12:47:12	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x01b5b5…
08-18 12:44:42	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x6a0153…
08-18 12:44:12	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x1204b5…
08-18 12:35:49	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xb563a5…
08-18 12:35:49	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x7dfac3…
08-18 12:35:16	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xf7b686…
08-18 12:35:16	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe91488…
08-18 12:35:16	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe6ef0e…
08-18 12:35:15	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x42ac13…
08-18 12:35:15	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x1c2bc1…
08-18 12:34:45	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x8c470e…
08-18 12:34:19	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x859a91…
08-18 12:34:19	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x812f20…
08-18 12:34:19	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x4d8d0d…
08-18 12:34:19	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x1d1178…
08-18 06:46:55	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xbd954a…
08-17 01:26:37	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xeb12e4…
08-10 23:37:10	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	302	10¢	$29	0x9be298…
07-27 20:45:45	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	144	35¢	$50	0x44e486…
07-27 13:57:52	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x30771c…
07-27 13:57:48	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x603aba…
07-27 13:57:40	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xbf5bbb…
07-27 07:49:24	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x6e1091…
07-27 00:50:37	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x258107…
07-27 00:27:30	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	SELL	126	49¢	$62	0xf44bad…
07-26 22:07:19	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	253	10¢	$25	0xea516c…
07-26 22:07:13	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0xecd1a0…
07-26 22:07:07	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	65	9¢	$6	0x9034da…
07-26 22:07:01	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	268	9¢	$24	0xf3391b…
07-26 21:36:03	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x59b46d…
07-26 21:36:03	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	120	8¢	$10	0x4c3221…
07-26 21:08:33	Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	183	8¢	$15	0x84eb78…
07-26 20:22:04	Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xe98dc6…
07-26 20:18:10	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x136638…
07-26 19:53:00	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	116	0¢	$0	0x4eb26c…
07-23 01:21:51	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x89a7ab…
07-23 00:32:30	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x7efe94…
07-23 00:32:22	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x34ed44…
07-21 00:02:06	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	SELL	28	45¢	$13	0xffe75b…
07-19 17:14:13	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	62	19¢	$12	0xd78427…
07-19 17:14:07	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x8594a9…
07-18 22:35:45	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	SELL	98	45¢	$45	0xe506ce…
07-18 22:35:21	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	SELL	252	43¢	$108	0x12ad2c…
07-14 10:17:44	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x1b110b…
07-14 10:17:44	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x150393…
07-12 16:05:05	Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	BUY	183	53¢	$97	0x4f0632…
07-12 13:53:50	Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x3c50f1…
07-11 20:33:40	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xc90475…
07-11 20:33:29	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x4c1ad1…
07-11 20:26:28	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	64	55¢	$35	0x92cc5f…
07-11 20:25:23	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xdd135e…
07-11 16:38:08	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x2baa24…
07-11 16:38:05	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xd3404f…
07-11 16:38:02	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xf029b7…
07-11 16:38:01	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x99861c…
07-11 16:37:58	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x9ee72e…
07-11 16:37:55	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x9fe283…
07-11 16:37:52	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x27f4fa…
07-11 16:37:50	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xc71c89…
07-10 22:48:08	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x7bd2a3…
07-10 22:42:20	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x2d05b3…
07-10 22:41:49	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0xea0008…
07-10 22:28:01	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	28	15¢	$4	0x378a9c…
07-10 22:26:13	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0xb41751…
07-10 22:24:46	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0x7bbd02…
07-10 22:21:38	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x2343f6…
07-10 21:36:01	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	51	14¢	$7	0xb010d1…
07-10 21:34:10	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0xb2f5ae…
07-10 21:34:10	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0x4a21cf…
07-10 21:01:46	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x8a22ce…
07-10 04:32:11	Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x222dc3…
07-09 10:59:55	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x181990…
07-09 10:59:37	Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x7e10d2…
07-09 10:59:26	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x9ea091…
07-09 10:59:25	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	BUY	61	34¢	$21	0x4698d3…
07-08 18:45:43	Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0x7829a4…
07-07 22:52:23	Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	BUY	1	41¢	$1	0x918219…