Reflecting-Operating — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.11K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

17,804

Trades

47,683

lifetime

Volume

$263.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-27 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 35% -$7,112

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 481 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 12:30 UTC	11	$2.0K	1,283	1,274	+9	Down	+$24	03-03 12:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 11:15 UTC	47	$2.0K	2,015	1,340	+675	Down	-$75	03-03 11:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 10:45 UTC	4	$1.6K	1,451	1,436	+15	Up	-$47	03-03 10:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 13:15 UTC	2	$1.2K	985	971	+14	Up	+$8	03-03 13:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 16:15 UTC	6	$1.1K	1,985	0	+1,985	Down	-$1,065	01-30 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 11:00 UTC	41	$993	942	536	+406	Up	-$54	03-03 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:30 UTC	31	$947	903	884	+19	Down	+$14	03-04 15:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 16:00 UTC	1	$946	1,690	0	+1,690	Up	-$946	01-30 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 13:10 UTC	4	$945	721	710	+11	Down	+$233	03-03 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 16:30 UTC	27	$854	684	684	+0	Up	+$512	03-22 16:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 13:05 UTC	2	$804	500	497	+3	Up	-$20	03-03 13:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 14:20 UTC	2	$779	491	484	+7	Up	+$186	03-08 14:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:35 UTC	21	$731	611	602	+9	Up	+$56	03-04 09:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 05:15 UTC	32	$672	1,209	254	+955	Down	-$69	03-06 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 11:10 UTC	14	$656	507	503	+3	Down	+$317	03-16 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	24	$656	0	1,199	-1,199	Up	+$56	04-28 10:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 09:15 UTC	47	$645	604	378	+226	Down	-$27	03-06 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$633	6,729	2,559	+4,169	Up	-$320	04-27 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$618	683	655	+28	Down	+$45	04-27 13:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 17:30 UTC	34	$605	546	346	+200	Down	+$7	03-05 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	78	$599	0	1,199	-1,199	Down	+$0	04-28 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 17:50 UTC	6	$595	344	305	+39	Down	+$11	03-06 17:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 04:30 UTC	38	$590	1,018	197	+821	Down	-$99	03-06 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	4	$563	478	478	+0	Down	+$179	05-06 05:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 00:15 UTC	33	$557	824	127	+697	Down	+$49	03-06 00:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:55 UTC	9	$537	347	331	+17	Up	+$128	03-04 09:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 09:30 UTC	36	$532	429	429	+0	Up	+$317	03-15 09:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC	28	$526	832	158	+673	Up	-$16	03-05 20:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 02:15 UTC	24	$524	982	0	+982	Up	-$95	03-06 02:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:20 UTC	9	$515	338	310	+28	Up	+$102	03-04 09:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfd55d0…
10-27 03:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd7cbe0…
10-27 03:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc795ad…
10-27 02:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xffe439…
10-27 02:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf278cb…
10-27 01:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc72d23…
10-27 01:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc997eb…
10-27 00:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x896499…
10-27 00:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb11168…
10-26 22:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7e76f9…
10-26 21:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xce6089…
10-26 21:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1b5d49…
10-26 20:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9dea7a…
10-26 19:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x20a86f…
10-26 19:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xfb493e…
10-26 19:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x70a4b2…
10-26 19:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x419e5e…
10-26 18:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2e8eb1…
10-26 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9cbabd…
10-26 17:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2d96f0…
10-26 17:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe486c5…
10-26 16:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x536bfa…
10-26 16:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2aaa1e…
10-26 16:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xcaaab7…
10-26 15:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6964e0…
10-26 15:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xff227f…
10-26 15:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x41608a…
10-26 15:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0x8415f0…
10-26 15:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd84eee…
10-26 15:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc10556…
10-26 15:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1e6e07…
10-26 14:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9ecf6d…
10-26 14:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3b7bc3…
10-26 13:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9f41b6…
10-26 13:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfb550b…
10-26 13:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x52c5b0…
10-26 13:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x79c0e6…
10-26 13:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc1ad1b…
10-26 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3e6eb3…
10-26 13:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7cf0b9…
10-26 13:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x591ccf…
10-26 13:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x49b137…
10-26 13:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1784ba…
10-26 12:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbb4e5d…
10-26 12:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x80dac4…
10-26 12:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf13136…
10-26 12:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x147691…
10-26 12:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd7fb2c…
10-26 11:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x397967…
10-26 11:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x89c7b9…
10-26 11:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf17dd7…
10-26 10:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xca9f04…
10-26 09:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xaaced3…
10-26 09:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x16e701…
10-26 09:09:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc1166a…
10-26 09:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb50b30…
10-26 09:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc83b7e…
10-26 08:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd70784…
10-26 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd6d20e…
10-26 08:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9220c5…
10-26 06:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd792bc…
10-26 05:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7136db…
10-26 05:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf3c6c5…
10-26 04:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1ae507…
10-26 04:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbc3992…
10-26 03:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1e6057…
10-26 03:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x944ef5…
10-26 02:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x21a718…
10-26 02:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3b340c…
10-26 01:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa038a3…
10-26 00:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe867b1…
10-25 23:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4f2f4e…
10-25 23:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc9dab6…
10-25 23:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7cbc2e…
10-25 22:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe8eda4…
10-25 22:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x65a5c4…
10-25 21:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xeb6687…
10-25 21:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x374d55…
10-25 20:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5f4637…
10-25 20:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x747057…
10-25 20:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0db9e9…
10-25 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc98e12…
10-25 20:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2484a0…
10-25 20:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbf65ad…
10-25 20:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd06782…
10-25 18:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x070452…
10-25 18:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb3c389…
10-25 17:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4bebc4…
10-25 17:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4073ea…
10-25 17:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x547420…
10-25 17:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa33223…
10-25 17:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x368a67…
10-25 15:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc32e6d…
10-25 15:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0e30b9…
10-25 14:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd64727…
10-25 13:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9ca6c3…
10-25 11:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x615f5a…
10-25 11:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xaf1358…
10-25 08:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x77ddfd…
10-25 06:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4aa92a…