Disloyal-Flag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$174

Open exposure

$244

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 05:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

69% 25% $-98

Politics

31% 100% +$23

Crypto

0% 50% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	No		+305	$246	80¢	$244	$-2	06-01 20:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$2.7K	3,420	3,420	+0	open	—	02-28 20:08
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	8	$2.2K	1,343	1,366	-22	open	—	01-15 16:38
will russia enter druzkhivka by january 31	2	$1.8K	925	925	+0	open	—	01-20 05:49
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	2	$910	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	02-25 20:16
will israel strike gaza on february 2 2026	1	$578	592	0	+592	open	—	02-03 08:39
will russia capture all of rodynske by february 28	3	$550	302	302	+0	open	—	02-28 13:52
will russia capture hryshyne by february 28 2026	2	$521	272	272	+0	open	—	02-28 13:53
will russia enter malokaterynivka by february 28	2	$513	264	264	+0	open	—	02-28 13:53
will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	2	$458	322	322	+0	open	—	01-13 06:53
will russia enter havrylivka by february 28	2	$438	225	225	+0	open	—	02-28 13:55
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	4	$426	352	352	+0	open	—	01-09 13:02
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	2	$408	211	211	+0	open	—	02-28 13:45
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	4	$353	381	381	+0	open	—	02-10 16:22
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	2	$246	305	0	+305	open	—	06-01 20:07
will russia enter verkhnia tersa by february 28	2	$215	118	118	+0	open	—	02-28 13:55
will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	2	$211	112	112	+0	open	—	01-28 05:52
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	1	$194	246	0	+246	open	—	01-09 13:05
nothing ever happens december	1	$186	0	187	-187	open	—	01-01 05:24
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$184	112	112	+0	open	—	05-30 12:13
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?	3	$179	255	6	+249	open	—	06-03 05:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$175	101	101	+0	open	—	05-25 04:48
Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	1	$150	185	0	+185	open	—	05-08 08:47
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	2	$139	158	0	+158	open	—	05-05 06:23
will russia enter toretske by january 31	1	$111	120	0	+120	open	—	01-28 05:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$110	165	0	+165	open	—	05-16 18:34
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	1	$105	121	0	+121	open	—	05-19 07:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$105	115	0	+115	open	—	05-13 04:47
will russia capture rodynske by january 31	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	01-16 06:52
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	1	$100	120	0	+120	open	—	02-13 11:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	05-07 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 05:14:57	Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x4f7598…
06-03 05:14:49	Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xbcefa3…
06-01 20:07:57	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	No	BUY	57	80¢	$46	0x4a9a99…
06-01 20:05:47	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	72¢	$32	0x33cbf1…
06-01 20:02:38	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	No	BUY	92	79¢	$73	0xf154e6…
06-01 19:53:01	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	No	BUY	248	81¢	$200	0x064d7a…
06-01 13:22:42	Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?	No	BUY	249	71¢	$177	0x28625d…
05-30 12:13:45	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	112	93¢	$104	0xbb7960…
05-30 12:13:31	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	8¢	$8	0xa7d64a…
05-26 11:31:26	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	19¢	$20	0xe1f49e…
05-26 11:30:53	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	112	71¢	$80	0x4ccfef…
05-25 04:48:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0xc56c55…
05-21 04:33:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x359c91…
05-19 07:48:00	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	No	BUY	121	87¢	$105	0xcf69f0…
05-16 18:34:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	165	66¢	$110	0x0162c1…
05-13 04:49:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	90	74¢	$66	0x1b62f6…
05-13 04:47:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	115	91¢	$105	0x78c2cf…
05-12 04:54:01	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	57	23¢	$13	0x956365…
05-11 04:52:39	Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xff5fe0…
05-10 11:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x00e272…
05-08 08:48:47	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0x152dfe…
05-08 08:47:37	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	No	BUY	185	81¢	$150	0xc1e0ab…
05-07 12:49:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xdab42f…
05-06 10:56:18	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x0ac295…
05-06 10:55:50	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x703c99…
05-06 08:32:16	Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	No	SELL	225	1¢	$1	0xb2dd3c…
05-05 07:46:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x07a189…
05-05 06:36:38	Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	No	BUY	204	16¢	$33	0x3ace09…
05-05 06:36:22	Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	No	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xfb806b…
05-05 06:23:12	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	No	BUY	125	88¢	$110	0xd41f15…
05-05 06:22:50	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$29	0x677423…
05-05 06:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8d954a…
02-28 20:08:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	1,318	5¢	$69	0x9f9ce9…
02-28 17:08:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,318	54¢	$712	0xdfb280…
02-28 16:54:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	2,102	34¢	$712	0xcde2dc…
02-28 14:01:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,102	56¢	$1,186	0xce71b6…
02-28 13:55:19	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by february 28	No	SELL	118	97¢	$115	0x895f92…
02-28 13:55:09	will russia enter havrylivka by february 28	No	SELL	225	98¢	$221	0x450932…
02-28 13:53:57	will russia enter malokaterynivka by february 28	No	SELL	264	99¢	$263	0x667cdc…
02-28 13:53:41	will russia capture hryshyne by february 28 2026	No	SELL	272	100¢	$271	0x983bad…
02-28 13:52:23	will russia capture all of rodynske by february 28	No	SELL	302	99¢	$300	0x3cb6f0…
02-28 13:45:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	SELL	211	99¢	$208	0x8f5338…
02-25 20:16:28	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	SELL	1,209	1¢	$8	0xe2517e…
02-23 12:04:20	will russia enter havrylivka by february 28	No	BUY	225	96¢	$216	0xa7d614…
02-17 11:09:39	btc updown 5m 1771326300	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2c4a60…
02-17 11:03:21	btc updown 5m 1771326000	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1b0ae3…
02-17 10:37:51	btc updown 5m 1771324500	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xeb8e9e…
02-15 09:35:37	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xc6b33e…
02-13 11:42:57	will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xfe4952…
02-12 09:45:03	will mrbeast say subscribe during his next youtube video 747	Yes	BUY	69	64¢	$44	0xe8ead9…
02-11 05:44:37	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by february 28	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x23d0fd…
02-10 16:22:59	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	SELL	321	27¢	$86	0xf2d949…
02-10 16:21:09	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x4866c2…
02-10 16:21:05	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	SELL	59	29¢	$17	0x7f4dd1…
02-10 06:31:53	will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	No	SELL	10	46¢	$4	0x02b0de…
02-10 06:30:15	will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	No	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x05c7ca…
02-10 05:56:33	will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe7bc6c…
02-10 05:50:13	will russia capture all of rodynske by february 28	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xad44ff…
02-10 05:48:45	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	BUY	381	66¢	$250	0xeba98c…
02-10 05:40:49	will russia capture all of rodynske by february 28	No	BUY	182	82¢	$150	0xd75a14…
02-03 08:39:10	will israel strike gaza on february 2 2026	No	BUY	592	98¢	$578	0xdca954…
02-02 18:48:06	will russia enter malokaterynivka by february 28	No	BUY	264	95¢	$250	0xfc757d…
02-02 18:47:34	will russia capture hryshyne by february 28 2026	No	BUY	272	92¢	$250	0x31d2ba…
01-28 05:57:05	will russia enter toretske by january 31	No	BUY	120	92¢	$111	0xaaedd1…
01-28 05:52:39	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x905dff…
01-20 05:50:20	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	BUY	1,209	75¢	$903	0x8ce355…
01-20 05:49:42	will russia enter druzkhivka by january 31	No	SELL	925	98¢	$903	0x0f8a03…
01-16 08:47:10	will russia enter druzkhivka by january 31	No	BUY	925	97¢	$900	0xe90fec…
01-16 06:55:50	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x681f99…
01-16 06:52:30	will russia capture rodynske by january 31	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x291991…
01-15 16:38:14	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	No	SELL	971	99¢	$963	0xd9575a…
01-14 06:05:14	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	No	SELL	140	98¢	$137	0xeaa63f…
01-13 06:53:29	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	SELL	322	99¢	$317	0x17f395…
01-12 10:54:52	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	BUY	322	44¢	$140	0x7874ba…
01-09 13:05:30	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	No	BUY	246	79¢	$194	0x9a7bb0…
01-09 13:02:36	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	No	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x82b313…
01-09 12:45:22	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	No	SELL	329	55¢	$181	0x92f87b…
01-09 12:45:18	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x6460ef…
01-08 08:46:53	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	No	BUY	352	66¢	$232	0xfda0cc…
01-08 08:42:07	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	No	SELL	255	91¢	$232	0xeb3d5a…
01-01 11:39:47	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	No	BUY	424	69¢	$292	0xa72e83…
01-01 10:58:23	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	No	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x371c70…
01-01 10:05:41	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	No	BUY	152	65¢	$99	0x350e3c…
01-01 10:04:53	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x2f6c5e…
01-01 05:25:27	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	No	BUY	321	58¢	$186	0xbb4c0f…
01-01 05:24:21	nothing ever happens december	Yes	SELL	187	99¢	$186	0x72e18b…