Luminous-Azimuth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$1.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-02 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 33% $-61

Other

19% — —

Sports

11% — —

Tech

4% — —

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No		-17	$-7	18¢	$-3	+$4	06-01 07:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$76	7,620	0	+7,620	open	—	05-01 11:35
Shymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	05-01 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	06-01 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$25	63	0	+63	open	—	05-01 12:05
Cagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jong	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	05-01 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$25	38	0	+38	open	—	06-01 07:35
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Giron	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-01 16:08
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$20	11,000	0	+11,000	open	—	05-02 04:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$20	200	0	+200	open	—	04-09 12:57
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$20	131	0	+131	open	—	04-27 09:07
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	2	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	05-02 00:20
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$20	100	5	+95	open	—	04-29 06:50
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Rinky Hijikata	2	$19	31	0	+31	open	—	05-01 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$19	23	0	+23	open	—	05-01 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$18	37	0	+37	open	—	05-01 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$18	29	0	+29	open	—	05-01 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$17	27	0	+27	open	—	05-01 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$17	25	0	+25	open	—	05-02 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$17	29	0	+29	open	—	05-01 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$15	1,540	0	+1,540	open	—	05-02 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$15	206	0	+206	open	—	06-01 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$14	21	0	+21	open	—	04-29 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$14	26	0	+26	open	—	04-29 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$13	43	0	+43	open	—	05-02 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$12	61	0	+61	open	—	05-03 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$12	23	0	+23	open	—	04-29 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$11	1,120	0	+1,120	open	—	05-03 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$11	24	0	+24	Down	$-11	05-06 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	04-30 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-29 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 17:37:32	btc updown 5m 1783013700	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd7e518…
06-01 07:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4922dd…
06-01 07:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xce5929…
06-01 07:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xfcc567…
06-01 07:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x8eae10…
06-01 07:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x10884f…
06-01 07:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe3b3ca…
06-01 07:42:55	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	SELL	17	39¢	$7	0xd2e496…
06-01 07:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xc15a02…
05-19 06:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xf84064…
05-19 04:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x803cf9…
05-13 15:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	481	1¢	$5	0x3bf549…
05-13 07:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xb4e5f9…
05-11 23:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	629	1¢	$6	0x558a21…
05-11 22:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	666	1¢	$7	0x397565…
05-10 18:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x51f879…
05-10 11:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x5d7b42…
05-10 01:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x2a14f9…
05-09 09:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0xc876db…
05-09 03:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x42c02a…
05-08 05:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	730	1¢	$7	0x306089…
05-08 00:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x9a69c7…
05-07 08:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x3af3c3…
05-06 22:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x0c9f44…
05-06 17:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$9	0x2bd3e4…
05-06 16:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xacaa5a…
05-06 05:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0xbb7e62…
05-05 07:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0xfcf5de…
05-04 21:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x05f154…
05-04 17:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	497	1¢	$5	0xf90c9e…
05-03 00:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,120	1¢	$11	0x31be8a…
05-03 00:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	61	20¢	$12	0x3abbfb…
05-02 17:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0xf23723…
05-02 17:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	686	1¢	$7	0x0f545a…
05-02 15:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,540	1¢	$15	0x5c8dec…
05-02 15:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x225495…
05-02 08:21:30	Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Darwin Blanch	Darwin Blanch	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x8884d4…
05-02 08:11:10	Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	Kansas City Royals	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x37de96…
05-02 07:41:10	Huzhou: Katarzyna Kawa vs Hanyu Guo	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xef7ec0…
05-02 06:11:14	Incheon United FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2a281a…
05-02 05:32:02	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	Chicago White Sox	BUY	25	38¢	$9	0xe4d15f…
05-02 05:32:02	Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x4b23e5…
05-02 05:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0xa3a79b…
05-02 04:40:58	Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x4ecd58…
05-02 04:31:46	Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xfa3f95…
05-02 04:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	518	1¢	$5	0x160488…
05-02 03:05:22	New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	New York Mets	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x5ace41…
05-02 00:31:38	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x71a618…
05-02 00:20:58	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x53581c…
05-02 00:11:06	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8ce589…
05-02 00:11:06	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Rockets	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x5d9d47…
05-02 00:11:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4b394a…
05-02 00:11:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x16d35e…
05-02 00:01:46	Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers	Texas Rangers	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x8b69c3…
05-01 22:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	37	50¢	$18	0x0b3ed5…
05-01 18:23:32	Cagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jong	Gianluca Cadenasso	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x97a083…
05-01 16:08:16	Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Giron	Roman Andres Burruchaga	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbd1413…
05-01 15:40:40	Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0xfbfeac…
05-01 14:21:00	Cagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jong	Gianluca Cadenasso	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x7b4f53…
05-01 14:10:42	Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Giron	Roman Andres Burruchaga	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7b3285…
05-01 12:31:44	Aix en Provence: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Kimmer Coppejans	Kimmer Coppejans	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa70fd9…
05-01 12:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0x92f792…
05-01 11:50:46	Ostrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Nerman Fatic	Zdenek Kolar	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x76ef33…
05-01 11:40:44	Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)	Shandong Taishan FC	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x588b39…
05-01 11:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7,620	1¢	$76	0x0ee43f…
05-01 11:20:56	Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xaacdf0…
05-01 11:09:12	Shymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Edas Butvilas	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xcceaf5…
05-01 10:50:40	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x9c89cf…
05-01 10:10:42	La Bisbal: Alina Charaeva vs Daria Kasatkina	Alina Charaeva	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xd0e16a…
05-01 10:10:40	Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x83f3fb…
05-01 09:50:44	Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Rinky Hijikata	Zizou Bergs	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x8c1a17…
05-01 09:40:58	Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Rinky Hijikata	Zizou Bergs	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xd92835…
05-01 09:37:50	Shymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Edas Butvilas	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xddd4c4…
05-01 07:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x4b517c…
05-01 06:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x0f9c7a…
05-01 01:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0x406e59…
05-01 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	57¢	$17	0x548d0a…
04-30 21:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x9231a0…
04-30 21:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x56b03b…
04-30 21:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x2108bb…
04-30 20:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xfd7bf3…
04-30 19:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	731	1¢	$7	0xa17998…
04-30 18:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x83b056…
04-30 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xf908d7…
04-30 17:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0xc81531…
04-30 10:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	58¢	$11	0x65c038…
04-30 08:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x5541a0…
04-29 20:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x256d26…
04-29 17:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x0e06ef…
04-29 14:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x814c5c…
04-29 13:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x23822c…
04-29 12:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x647e79…
04-29 11:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x121834…
04-29 08:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x3ce940…
04-29 06:50:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xa8d40d…
04-29 05:30:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xf2f730…
04-29 02:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x2d36c8…
04-28 21:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xabd0a2…
04-28 20:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7e139a…
04-28 20:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x03e4ff…