Impeccable-Crow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$86

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-25 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

46% 50% -$3

Politics

37% 46% -$1

Sports

17% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-2	-$1	66¢	$-2	-$1	10-05 07:44
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+6	$1	22¢	$1	+$0	09-05 11:23
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	84¢	$1	+$0	10-05 07:43
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+2	$1	34¢	$1	$0	08-21 22:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	03-05 08:36
odds of khamenei out by march 31 over 40 in february	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 09:20
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 07:41
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$3	1	4	-2	open	—	10-05 07:44
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3	6	3	+3	Yes	+$4	07-17 20:39
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	07-26 16:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	03-31 10:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	04-27 09:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-13 09:32
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-22 21:41
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-02 11:44
will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65 and 70	3	$2	7	7	+0	No	-$2	04-01 20:05
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	10-25 17:17
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	01-11 18:26
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$2	0	2	-2	Yes	$0	04-10 15:33
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	10-25 17:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	10-25 17:17
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-02 21:45
us x venezuela military engagement by march 31 2026 264 352 211 137 861 788 622 336 869 453	1	$2	0	2	-2	Yes	$0	01-03 08:46
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	1	$1	0	1	-1	No	$0	05-06 13:29
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$1	4	4	+0	No	-$1	03-23 12:28
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$1	2	2	+0	Yes	-$1	03-23 11:34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	10-20 18:42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	04-27 09:15
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	05-02 11:46
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-20 07:58
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	04-08 19:02
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	05-02 11:43
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-20 07:58
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	10-05 07:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:18:20	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x896476…
10-25 17:17:59	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x92422e…
10-25 17:17:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x441237…
10-20 18:42:15	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6f18d1…
10-05 07:44:20	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2d9cf9…
10-05 07:43:20	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe53cac…
09-20 07:58:58	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x55e77a…
09-20 07:58:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe6870f…
09-12 12:20:06	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8b9cd2…
09-12 12:19:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x424ab8…
09-05 11:23:55	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x566415…
08-21 22:57:40	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe507ef…
07-26 16:40:40	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x77100e…
07-17 20:41:04	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5614d5…
07-17 20:39:03	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xc85bbb…
06-28 14:31:29	Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x847583…
06-17 21:07:08	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0abe03…
06-17 19:04:35	Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2a570e…
06-13 18:11:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7e94bb…
05-30 15:59:06	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5d3746…
05-10 12:47:16	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf2fab7…
05-10 12:46:46	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x7a8302…
05-08 11:29:29	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xec1b77…
05-06 13:29:08	Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3e0457…
05-02 11:46:26	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcf8c27…
05-02 11:45:12	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb21434…
05-02 11:44:20	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf95c17…
05-02 11:43:00	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd5e48c…
05-02 11:41:58	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x89c314…
04-27 09:15:04	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x699e65…
04-27 09:12:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xb0ebe8…
04-21 19:54:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5f0925…
04-16 22:12:48	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9fdf83…
04-15 16:53:50	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe31b22…
04-14 14:57:31	Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x267de2…
04-14 14:55:05	Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa401d8…
04-11 18:13:15	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5ce115…
04-10 15:33:51	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x235fb2…
04-08 19:02:47	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0986b4…
04-01 20:05:17	will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65 and 70	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x44c541…
03-31 10:53:05	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xae28c8…
03-31 10:52:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb896e9…
03-26 09:56:07	will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65 and 70	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe6bc73…
03-23 12:28:01	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x8ac360…
03-23 11:36:11	will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65 and 70	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xed7a0b…
03-23 11:34:49	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x074f40…
03-22 21:41:37	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x4a6645…
03-20 20:00:01	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5de223…
03-20 19:57:07	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x52afee…
03-18 13:03:31	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x54055a…
03-18 13:03:01	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xafa4b8…
03-13 09:32:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0xa1de44…
03-06 15:37:29	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x909dc5…
03-05 08:49:53	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1c6e79…
03-05 08:36:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xd76fc9…
03-04 12:10:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbbecab…
03-04 12:10:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x8d7e18…
03-02 21:45:59	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x6cd7d6…
03-02 09:09:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x74ab5c…
03-02 09:08:59	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9a9d3c…
03-02 09:07:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x3634d6…
03-01 19:07:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x98339b…
03-01 14:09:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xae48ce…
02-28 16:31:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x9bf197…
02-28 09:22:33	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x01b82e…
02-28 09:21:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x97b248…
02-28 09:20:19	odds of khamenei out by march 31 over 40 in february	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc9d8be…
02-28 07:52:45	odds of khamenei out by march 31 over 40 in february	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x80a6f3…
02-28 07:41:49	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x67d64e…
02-19 10:38:18	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf3a571…
02-10 12:37:35	epl wes mun 2026 02 10 mun	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9aa8c3…
01-31 15:43:48	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x003c41…
01-18 21:14:56	lal rso bar 2026 01 18 bar	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x15236d…
01-14 12:19:54	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xca7fa7…
01-11 18:26:42	ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x2ff8e7…
01-03 08:46:39	us x venezuela military engagement by march 31 2026 264 352 211 137 861 788 622 336 869 453	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x580b96…