Prize-Turban — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.50K

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

852

Trades

2,731

lifetime

Volume

$128.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$258

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-15 00:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 210 days

Categories

Other

88% 63% -$3,844

Politics

6% 64% -$561

Crypto

3% 53% +$39

Sports

2% 50% -$141

Tech

1% 64% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in November?	No	+116	$105	91¢	$106	+$1	11-15 00:15
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	+100	$84	77¢	$77	-$6	11-12 09:10
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	+92	$18	52¢	$47	+$30	11-12 09:09
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	+92	$35	30¢	$28	-$7	11-12 09:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	4	$2.5K	1,391	1,391	+0	Yes	+$289	06-20 22:01
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 19?	4	$1.8K	930	930	+0	No	+$53	06-19 11:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?	21	$1.7K	2,283	0	+2,283	Yes	-$1,654	06-21 13:06
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	7	$1.4K	828	828	+0	Over	-$20	07-04 22:33
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	2	$1.3K	703	703	+0	Over	+$63	07-04 18:16
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	2	$1.3K	723	723	+0	Over	+$122	06-16 22:46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 19?	2	$1.3K	670	670	+0	No	+$75	06-19 05:41
fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	4	$1.3K	818	818	+0	Under	-$162	06-20 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 27?	3	$1.1K	572	572	+0	No	+$34	06-27 11:52
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	2	$1.1K	580	580	+0	Over	+$80	06-23 18:07
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	2	$963	524	524	+0	Over	+$83	07-03 23:29
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	2	$955	556	556	+0	Over	+$155	07-05 21:46
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 19?	8	$947	653	653	+0	No	+$19	06-19 16:24
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	2	$933	533	533	+0	Over	+$133	06-17 20:46
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	2	$924	588	588	+0	Yes	+$124	06-22 18:52
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	2	$919	519	519	+0	Over	+$119	06-16 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 22?	4	$892	1,186	0	+1,186	No	-$892	06-21 17:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?	3	$879	457	457	+0	No	+$33	06-20 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 17?	21	$871	447	447	+0	No	+$22	06-17 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14?	9	$824	502	502	+0	Yes	-$13	06-14 18:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?	23	$812	414	414	+0	No	+$16	05-30 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?	7	$782	402	402	+0	Yes	+$20	06-18 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 28?	2	$770	412	412	+0	No	+$53	06-28 08:25
fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	2	$757	714	714	+0	Under	+$157	06-19 22:14
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 20?	11	$749	423	423	+0	No	+$95	06-20 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 18?	6	$739	398	398	+0	No	+$56	06-18 14:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?	13	$722	391	391	+0	No	+$60	06-09 15:54
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	5	$703	368	368	+0	No	+$32	07-07 23:15
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 20?	2	$693	381	381	+0	No	+$67	06-20 06:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?	3	$683	352	352	+0	Yes	+$20	06-20 18:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 00:15:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in November?	No	BUY	116	90¢	$105	0xffbc41…
11-14 23:57:59	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x743123…
11-14 18:52:07	Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	170	61¢	$104	0xace035…
11-12 21:11:51	Italy vs. France: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	223	100¢	$222	0x160b90…
11-12 18:56:09	Italy vs. France: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	110	62¢	$68	0xbfdeca…
11-12 18:51:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x5a015e…
11-12 15:33:28	Italy vs. France: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	112	62¢	$70	0xb37a2d…
11-12 15:32:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x92c4d3…
11-12 14:42:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xd6ee4d…
11-12 14:25:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on November 12?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xfaedf8…
11-12 09:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x23f8e9…
11-12 09:15:31	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xf6572a…
11-12 09:15:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0x842f68…
11-12 09:10:22	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x1b0325…
11-12 09:09:22	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0xa8f597…
11-12 09:09:01	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	43¢	$40	0x29c220…
11-11 18:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 12?	No	BUY	69	96¢	$67	0xec0838…
11-11 18:02:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0xf46452…
11-11 18:02:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$9	0xda361f…
11-11 12:11:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0xd6c71f…
11-11 11:50:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x203dad…
11-11 11:20:04	Will Solana reach $90 November 9-15?	Yes	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0x761d92…
11-10 20:19:04	Will CoreWeave say "Pipeline" during earnings call?	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x6d68ff…
11-10 20:05:18	Will Solana reach $90 November 9-15?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x320f72…
11-10 20:05:10	Will Solana reach $90 November 9-15?	Yes	SELL	39	21¢	$8	0xa04032…
11-09 19:48:54	Will Solana reach $90 November 9-15?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xc23827…
11-09 19:45:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x200701…
11-09 19:43:22	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x1bed57…
11-08 21:55:58	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 November 2-8?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0e7cc4…
11-08 21:54:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 November 2-8?	No	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0xf972bc…
11-08 21:54:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 November 2-8?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xba8c83…
11-08 11:55:12	Will Constellation Energy say "Limerick" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd3f904…
11-08 11:52:16	Will Constellation Energy say "Nuclear" 20+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x42ecab…
11-07 17:05:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x6288e7…
11-07 17:05:00	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0xdb0527…
11-06 09:26:58	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 November 2-8?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x4799ad…
11-06 09:22:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x0dddd8…
11-06 09:22:25	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x8fa35b…
11-05 10:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 5?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xdab9cc…
11-04 20:00:48	will airbnb say social media during earnings call november 5	No	BUY	99	83¢	$82	0x644655…
11-04 20:00:30	will airbnb say delta during earnings call november 5	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x3a9f91…
11-04 19:58:46	Will Airbnb say "Project Hawaii" during earnings call?	No	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x124a9a…
11-04 07:29:58	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x52a319…
11-03 21:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 5?	No	BUY	105	92¢	$97	0xdb0407…
11-03 21:07:58	Will AMD say "Data Center" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe15e34…
11-03 21:06:21	Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x87f084…
11-03 21:06:12	Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xf63e88…
11-02 08:03:04	Will Apple say "iCloud" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x6ad99f…
11-02 08:03:00	Will Apple say "iCloud" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	55	80¢	$44	0x832f77…
11-01 00:38:07	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xd2541c…
10-31 14:39:28	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x3fd7a7…
10-31 12:12:07	Counter-Strike: Optibet vs Fraternity (BO3) - Battle of Baltics Playoffs	Fraternity	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x277f5a…
10-31 12:12:00	Counter-Strike: Optibet vs Fraternity (BO3) - Battle of Baltics Playoffs	Optibet	SELL	35	39¢	$14	0x2601f5…
10-31 11:37:48	Counter-Strike: Optibet vs Fraternity (BO3) - Battle of Baltics Playoffs	Optibet	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x6e4428…
10-31 11:33:33	Counter-Strike: Optibet vs Fraternity (BO3) - Battle of Baltics Playoffs	Fraternity	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xa766d9…
10-31 11:30:37	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xd93bc4…
10-30 17:42:04	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	42	73¢	$31	0x9cf85f…
10-30 17:38:18	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in November?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8891b6…
10-29 23:08:22	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xcd03c8…
10-29 23:08:22	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc29589…
10-29 23:08:22	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x02e20b…
10-29 22:53:15	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$0	0x14d112…
10-29 22:52:04	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	77	80¢	$61	0x9236c4…
10-29 22:51:36	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x05b754…
10-29 01:14:49	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$33	0x436603…
10-29 00:45:47	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xef2bc4…
10-29 00:44:58	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x89e9ce…
10-29 00:43:43	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x4761b6…
10-29 00:37:11	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	105	67¢	$70	0xacde5d…
10-28 21:24:59	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	60	81¢	$48	0x7eab9a…
10-28 21:22:08	Will Google say "Gemini" 30+ times during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x3d425a…
10-28 09:45:38	Will Google say "Gemini" 30+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0x161bb0…
10-28 09:44:56	Will Google say "Open Source" during earnings call?	No	BUY	103	53¢	$54	0xbfc6bb…
10-27 21:31:39	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x448f81…
10-27 21:31:21	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x793f1a…
10-27 21:27:59	Will Robinhood say "Robinhood Chain" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xe7f7ba…
10-27 21:06:41	Will Robinhood say "Robinhood Chain" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe07157…
10-27 14:59:00	Will Robinhood say "Robinhood Chain" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xcbc1a1…
10-27 14:58:56	Will Robinhood say "Robinhood Chain" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x321200…
10-27 14:58:45	Will Robinhood say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xc3a0a9…
10-27 12:38:41	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x5a415e…
10-26 21:52:57	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xdea567…
10-26 19:22:39	Will Coca-Cola say "Powerade" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xe11a3c…
10-26 19:22:23	Will Coca-Cola say "Powerade" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xe45b85…
10-26 10:21:35	Will Verizon say "Verizon One" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x032b95…
10-25 10:13:24	Will Verizon say "Verizon One" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	67	83¢	$55	0xe7433e…
10-25 10:12:54	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	65	67¢	$44	0xd8e53a…
10-25 10:07:50	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	39	63¢	$25	0xd5c898…
10-24 10:42:32	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0x72ed0a…
10-24 10:42:15	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x59dd89…
10-23 22:55:56	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	118	50¢	$59	0x8c9d8d…
10-23 22:53:56	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x1d9c72…
10-23 20:42:45	Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x7a8ca8…
10-23 10:59:38	Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xd4ce1c…
10-22 18:44:38	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x373ad9…
10-21 12:53:23	Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x2cef1c…
10-20 19:14:23	Will Trump say "Job" 18+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xe9ff52…
10-20 19:10:15	Will Netflix say "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0xa1e81c…
10-19 18:42:21	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	119	77¢	$91	0x50f8d0…
10-18 18:43:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x264758…