Steep-Afoul — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$118

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-25 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 46% +$1

Other

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	11	$12	14	11	+2	Down	+$0	05-06 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	5	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	05-25 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	8	$9	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	6	$6	57	5	+52	Down	$-2	05-06 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	05-25 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 18:30
btc updown 5m 1776413100	3	$6	83	0	+83	open	—	04-17 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$5	10	7	+3	Up	$-1	05-06 18:41
btc updown 5m 1776413700	4	$5	5	4	+0	open	—	04-17 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$4	5	3	+2	open	—	05-25 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	Down	+$1	05-07 08:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$3	10	1	+9	open	—	05-25 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$3	106	1	+105	Down	$-1	05-06 17:49
btc updown 5m 1772570700	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-03 20:50
btc updown 5m 1772569200	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-03 20:25
btc updown 5m 1772568900	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-03 20:20
btc updown 5m 1772571000	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-03 20:53
btc updown 5m 1776413400	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 08:15
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-03 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-06 18:36
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-04 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$2	50	50	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 08:14
will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-28 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-07 04:45
btc updown 5m 1772571300	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-03 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-06 18:16
btc updown 5m 1772569500	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-03 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-06 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 09:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x670e74…
05-25 09:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x671088…
05-25 09:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc6c207…
05-25 09:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd9899a…
05-25 09:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xed73d6…
05-25 09:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x1adfbc…
05-25 09:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2cfde2…
05-25 09:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf24850…
05-25 09:44:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x44feab…
05-25 09:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa2bbf1…
05-25 09:43:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4e1cad…
05-25 09:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x6b61db…
05-25 09:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x670090…
05-25 09:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x5de9f7…
05-25 09:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x798e08…
05-25 09:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xf78381…
05-25 09:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcda01a…
05-25 09:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5276a9…
05-25 09:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$2	0x8d483a…
05-25 09:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8bb0d1…
05-07 08:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x199ee1…
05-07 08:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xff86fa…
05-07 08:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x322321…
05-07 08:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x99b59d…
05-07 08:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6828cc…
05-07 04:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb40da6…
05-06 18:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x73de78…
05-06 18:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x56698a…
05-06 18:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfa6e04…
05-06 18:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x9685cc…
05-06 18:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3c64bf…
05-06 18:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1df3b1…
05-06 18:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7cef97…
05-06 18:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6f34b0…
05-06 18:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa3eaa9…
05-06 18:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xe9fd8c…
05-06 18:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xaf262c…
05-06 18:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x309a74…
05-06 18:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8d8b0e…
05-06 18:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf06720…
05-06 18:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x61bb79…
05-06 18:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x3d7c6e…
05-06 18:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6a9090…
05-06 18:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xda413b…
05-06 18:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xc8b883…
05-06 18:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa365d3…
05-06 18:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x26ed7a…
05-06 18:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0e7294…
05-06 18:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x2d0a93…
05-06 18:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x330e62…
05-06 18:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xeb8db9…
05-06 18:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x378483…
05-06 18:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x0a82df…
05-06 18:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa1a68c…
05-06 18:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x743a00…
05-06 18:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xec7834…
05-06 18:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe07d51…
05-06 17:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xc52569…
05-06 17:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2d1f53…
05-06 17:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xccab9b…
05-06 17:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb4cd24…
05-06 17:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x72311b…
05-06 17:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf7b1f3…
05-06 17:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xb2825a…
05-06 17:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x175dee…
05-06 17:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x2741ab…
05-06 17:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x42f9a9…
05-06 17:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8e323d…
05-06 17:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2af8bd…
04-17 08:21:54	btc updown 5m 1776414000	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x765c32…
04-17 08:19:34	btc updown 5m 1776413700	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x016880…
04-17 08:17:02	btc updown 5m 1776413700	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x83bc6d…
04-17 08:16:46	btc updown 5m 1776413700	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x8f39ef…
04-17 08:16:08	btc updown 5m 1776413700	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfa1f81…
04-17 08:15:26	btc updown 5m 1776413400	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x188d38…
04-17 08:11:50	btc updown 5m 1776413400	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd455ed…
04-17 08:10:02	btc updown 5m 1776413100	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xea84a8…
04-17 08:10:02	btc updown 5m 1776413100	Down	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x22029f…
04-17 08:10:00	btc updown 5m 1776413100	Down	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x2583c9…
04-17 07:33:36	btc updown 5m 1776411000	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x263ca5…
03-04 07:33:41	btc updown 5m 1772609400	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8b6dbe…
03-04 07:33:21	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xfa75ee…
03-04 05:01:55	btc updown 5m 1772600400	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6b945c…
03-03 20:59:05	btc updown 5m 1772571300	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0d7be9…
03-03 20:53:03	btc updown 5m 1772571000	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0c45e4…
03-03 20:51:13	btc updown 5m 1772571000	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x50c420…
03-03 20:50:49	btc updown 5m 1772570700	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0cb662…
03-03 20:45:21	btc updown 5m 1772570700	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x77dd61…
03-03 20:36:07	btc updown 5m 1772570100	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xab8435…
03-03 20:35:15	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b649b…
03-03 20:27:21	btc updown 5m 1772569500	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdfb301…
03-03 20:25:19	btc updown 5m 1772569200	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbdce03…
03-03 20:22:41	btc updown 5m 1772569200	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf62b21…
03-03 20:20:35	btc updown 5m 1772568900	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4d1f81…
03-03 20:19:23	btc updown 5m 1772568900	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9e6786…
03-02 05:47:25	will trump talk to friedrich merz in march 516	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18f281…
02-28 10:51:43	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x543efb…
02-28 10:47:25	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1f8cdd…
02-28 10:45:33	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xad9d89…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	31	$2.49K	263	05-25 09:55
Worldly-Miracle 0x7041…5c73	29	$5.53K	1,090	05-25 09:59
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	28	$16.9K	4,257	05-25 09:44
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	28	$3.70K	447	05-25 09:59
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	24	$58.2K	2,473	05-25 09:58
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	24	$20.2K	694	05-25 09:59
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	24	$18.7K	1,300	05-25 09:58
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	24	$8.19K	479	05-25 09:49