Rapid-Wax — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

341

lifetime

Volume

$805

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 07-16 19:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 50% $-1

Politics

35% 100% +$6

Other

17% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike lebanon on february 5 2026	5	$59	82	64	+18	open	—	02-04 20:54
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$45	29	29	+0	open	—	02-28 07:11
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	02-05 02:48
spx up or down on february 4 2026	2	$29	17	17	+0	open	—	02-04 19:28
will israel strike lebanon on february 4 2026	3	$25	26	26	+0	open	—	02-04 10:43
will ethereum dip to 1800 in february 2026	4	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	02-05 19:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	9	$19	69	0	+69	open	—	04-11 09:20
btc updown 15m 1770420600	7	$18	30	30	+0	open	—	02-06 23:40
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$18	210	0	+210	open	—	03-26 20:20
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	4	$17	24	24	+0	open	—	02-05 19:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$14	14	21	-7	open	—	02-28 16:56
btc updown 15m 1770411600	6	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	02-06 21:12
will solana dip to 80 in february 2026	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	02-05 18:24
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 07:11
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	4	$12	62	0	+62	open	—	02-05 22:07
btc updown 15m 1770418800	5	$12	29	10	+19	open	—	02-06 23:11
btc updown 15m 1770409800	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	02-06 20:41
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	02-05 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$10	12	10	+2	Down	+$0	05-06 21:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$10	52	0	+52	open	—	03-26 17:06
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	4	$10	12	9	+4	open	—	02-05 21:35
bitcoin above 80k on february 4	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-04 16:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$10	108	0	+108	open	—	04-03 15:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	02-06 19:02
will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-03 19:16
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 11:57
btc updown 15m 1770492600	5	$8	11	8	+4	open	—	02-07 19:43
btc updown 15m 1770417900	7	$8	27	7	+20	open	—	02-06 22:54
btc updown 15m 1770410700	7	$8	40	12	+28	open	—	02-06 20:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	02-28 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 19:51:56	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0xe87d15…
07-09 18:41:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa9c63b…
07-09 18:41:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x8a052e…
07-01 21:12:28	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x37cf94…
06-24 10:52:40	btc updown 5m 1782298200	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9f095b…
06-14 08:24:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x5e30d7…
06-11 20:24:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x83184d…
06-11 13:42:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x26f74b…
06-11 07:53:39	bitcoin above 64k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc643dd…
06-10 21:39:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdf6c51…
06-10 21:38:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x68d257…
06-10 21:38:24	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x56fc7e…
06-08 08:37:55	btc updown 5m 1780907700	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7e21a7…
06-07 20:58:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x758a35…
06-07 19:45:27	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8f1e79…
06-07 19:45:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa7c560…
05-31 20:10:05	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5176fe…
05-29 22:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x45432b…
05-28 18:18:23	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd6ec2a…
05-28 18:11:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xab178d…
05-28 18:10:57	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x99afbd…
05-23 23:46:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x900195…
05-23 12:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2112e8…
05-23 11:55:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc1b4b8…
05-20 21:30:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x226b88…
05-20 21:29:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc68d48…
05-20 21:29:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7eaf27…
05-20 21:27:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x887b39…
05-20 21:26:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2a8501…
05-20 20:11:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcf2d72…
05-20 20:10:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xfe6f6a…
05-20 20:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc8e955…
05-06 22:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9f5960…
05-06 22:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x170867…
05-06 22:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3d4821…
05-06 22:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x683fff…
05-06 21:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xda860a…
05-06 21:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x4802bb…
05-06 21:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x93b4a7…
04-25 22:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x589be0…
04-18 22:38:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb60c1c…
04-18 08:38:28	btc updown 15m 1776501000	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1466e5…
04-18 08:14:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2caff9…
04-17 21:10:46	btc updown 5m 1776460200	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5cca08…
04-12 21:43:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8b178c…
04-12 21:40:31	btc updown 5m 1776030000	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x09fa0d…
04-11 20:19:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x722eb2…
04-11 20:11:35	btc updown 5m 1775938200	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa9fc97…
04-11 09:21:01	btc updown 5m 1775899200	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2c8dd6…
04-11 09:20:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x40740a…
04-11 09:19:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd35aa4…
04-07 18:45:13	btc updown 5m 1775587500	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa7d3a5…
04-07 17:41:47	btc updown 5m 1775583600	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb27ac8…
04-07 17:41:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfa482a…
04-07 17:41:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x67bb97…
04-07 15:11:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x1ad88a…
04-07 15:10:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7557fb…
04-07 15:10:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8dff5c…
04-07 15:10:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x136eba…
04-05 20:49:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc1336b…
04-04 17:36:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc530bb…
04-03 15:18:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5dc243…
04-03 15:17:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xb516a7…
04-03 15:17:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4be0d4…
04-03 15:16:57	btc updown 5m 1775229300	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbb9b33…
03-26 23:21:31	btc updown 15m 1774566900	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb16c2b…
03-26 20:21:03	btc updown 15m 1774556100	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc4b690…
03-26 20:20:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x45c148…
03-26 17:07:55	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xa565c3…
03-26 17:06:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcdb9d3…
03-26 17:06:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5c1412…
03-26 15:03:23	btc updown 15m 1774537200	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa93343…
03-26 15:02:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaf31e2…
03-26 14:52:41	btc updown 15m 1774536300	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6982d2…
03-25 21:10:53	btc updown 5m 1774473000	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xab68c0…
03-25 20:18:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xd3b628…
03-25 20:00:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd1caae…
03-25 20:00:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xdfa4e8…
03-25 20:00:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1f6ccb…
03-25 19:59:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x80380c…
03-25 19:58:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xf5f2bc…
03-25 16:54:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x23461d…
03-25 16:53:19	btc updown 15m 1774457100	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x976639…
03-25 16:34:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb98101…
03-25 16:34:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xc1bd50…
03-25 16:34:35	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfe014c…
03-25 16:34:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2468e1…
03-25 11:42:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x8501a4…
03-25 08:55:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x4209da…
03-24 22:15:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x53860d…
03-24 14:27:31	btc updown 5m 1774362300	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1b71bb…
03-24 14:26:55	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc5b56c…
03-24 14:26:47	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5a839e…
03-24 14:11:37	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa99483…
03-24 14:10:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xcc9b4a…
03-24 14:09:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe62b28…
03-24 14:09:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	103	7¢	$7	0xd7c6a1…
03-22 19:00:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9e491a…
03-22 18:58:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x06c3bc…
03-22 18:58:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x99d839…