Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

Trades

790

lifetime

Volume

$124.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 04-23 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% — —

Politics

23% 50% $-77

Tech

7% — —

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	13	$3.3K	3,119	3,531	-412	open	—	02-01 00:15
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	12	$3.3K	2,115	2,115	+0	open	—	02-17 10:08
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	6	$2.5K	1,652	1,652	+0	open	—	04-09 11:35
spl dam ahl 2025 12 19 ahl	13	$2.3K	1,745	1,745	+0	open	—	02-19 07:01
will spacex have exactly 10 launches in february	13	$2.1K	1,336	1,206	+130	open	—	02-11 21:08
will data center be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 855	5	$2.0K	1,246	1,216	+30	open	—	01-30 17:22
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,077	1,077	+0	open	—	04-11 18:50
will nuevayol be played at the super bowl halftime show	6	$1.7K	975	975	+0	open	—	02-06 00:59
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	17	$1.6K	970	970	+0	open	—	03-18 13:31
will keir starmer say venezuela during the next prime ministers questions	9	$1.6K	1,730	1,730	+0	open	—	02-04 04:37
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$1.5K	880	880	+0	open	—	02-26 17:39
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?	11	$1.5K	2,874	2,874	+0	open	—	04-12 14:52
will starmer say brexit during the next prime ministers questions	4	$1.5K	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	02-22 16:41
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 19	4	$1.4K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	03-18 14:26
Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-26 03:43
will concussion be said at the super bowl 868	5	$1.4K	878	878	+0	open	—	02-09 04:30
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	4	$1.3K	1,478	1,478	+0	open	—	04-11 23:30
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	8	$1.3K	1,345	1,345	+0	open	—	02-09 21:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.3K	848	848	+0	open	—	04-09 21:39
will eva victor sorry baby win best first time director of a theatrical feature film at the 78th dga awards	4	$1.3K	766	766	+0	open	—	02-05 17:32
will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	11	$1.3K	1,021	1,021	+0	open	—	02-06 07:08
elc cha por 2025 12 06 por	8	$1.2K	1,438	1,438	+0	open	—	02-12 20:24
will newcastle united advance to the round of 16	4	$1.2K	658	658	+0	open	—	02-06 23:02
will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	2	$1.2K	650	650	+0	open	—	02-23 18:47
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by march 31	12	$1.1K	853	848	+5	open	—	03-10 15:50
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	3	$1.1K	1,085	1,085	+0	open	—	04-09 21:38
will doordash report 900 million or more total orders in q4 2025	7	$1.1K	1,051	470	+581	open	—	02-17 21:55
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	7	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-30 01:15
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$1.1K	618	618	+0	open	—	04-12 15:29
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$1.0K	1,039	0	+1,039	open	—	02-10 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-23 13:48:52	Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	No	BUY	501	17¢	$85	0xd28eca…
04-21 10:29:08	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	432	78¢	$337	0x78bfe9…
04-21 10:29:00	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	41	78¢	$32	0x57149b…
04-21 04:09:52	arg riv cat 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	SELL	627	73¢	$458	0xf63fa8…
04-13 17:38:05	arg riv cat 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	627	34¢	$213	0x5236ab…
04-13 16:56:51	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	326	46¢	$150	0x206e7b…
04-13 16:56:33	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	187	46¢	$86	0x7ad301…
04-13 16:55:33	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x8920f0…
04-13 16:54:51	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	553	89¢	$492	0x9880b5…
04-13 16:54:33	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x7a243f…
04-13 16:49:23	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?	Yes	SELL	394	19¢	$75	0x6f538a…
04-13 16:41:21	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	116	38¢	$44	0x62542c…
04-13 16:29:15	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	524	16¢	$84	0x5b3894…
04-13 16:28:03	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	549	15¢	$82	0xaeab5c…
04-13 16:26:19	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	585	15¢	$88	0xddfcb1…
04-13 15:18:45	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	553	44¢	$243	0x5ed97c…
04-13 15:11:39	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	969	46¢	$446	0xf9b517…
04-13 15:11:29	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x420fe8…
04-13 14:44:55	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?	Yes	BUY	394	16¢	$63	0x1d5477…
04-13 13:32:35	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	553	89¢	$492	0x6322ce…
04-13 12:46:13	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,658	16¢	$265	0xa4537c…
04-13 04:00:19	Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	241	20¢	$49	0x53cfd9…
04-13 04:00:11	Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	194	20¢	$39	0x8dfad4…
04-13 03:59:51	Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	293	20¢	$59	0x31156c…
04-12 21:38:03	will trump say predict or prediction or predicted this week april 12	No	SELL	961	0¢	$1	0x2d36fb…
04-12 15:29:03	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	618	85¢	$525	0xe632cd…
04-12 14:52:11	Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?	Yes	SELL	125	22¢	$28	0x3502f4…
04-12 14:51:55	Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?	Yes	SELL	823	22¢	$181	0x89ee6d…
04-12 14:51:47	Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?	Yes	SELL	871	22¢	$192	0x1309b5…
04-12 14:51:47	Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x0f1112…
04-12 13:59:37	will trump say predict or prediction or predicted this week april 12	No	BUY	961	87¢	$836	0xa8579c…
04-12 13:56:47	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0xa1d85c…
04-12 13:56:35	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	479	16¢	$77	0xfe82de…
04-12 13:08:09	will trump say all over the place this week april 19	Yes	BUY	764	55¢	$420	0xc515b6…
04-12 13:07:53	will trump say all over the place this week april 19	Yes	BUY	889	55¢	$489	0x5c6d27…
04-12 01:01:23	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0x2b42cf…
04-12 01:01:03	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	SELL	687	17¢	$117	0x4de2be…
04-12 00:28:27	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 29 2026	No	SELL	81	2¢	$2	0x0d0bb6…
04-12 00:27:23	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 29 2026	No	SELL	477	2¢	$9	0xcb7b0e…
04-12 00:23:29	will bernie or mamdani say socialist or socialism during nyc rally	Yes	SELL	613	47¢	$288	0x96a561…
04-11 23:41:57	Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?	Yes	SELL	28	21¢	$6	0x79dcb9…
04-11 23:30:27	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	SELL	768	76¢	$584	0xfb4087…
04-11 23:30:17	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	SELL	710	76¢	$540	0xf235c0…
04-11 22:27:53	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	688	90¢	$619	0x625cf7…
04-11 21:27:43	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	687	16¢	$110	0xfc594e…
04-11 21:27:33	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x103d84…
04-11 18:59:35	US bank failure by December 31?	No	SELL	168	39¢	$66	0x0dd00d…
04-11 18:58:37	US bank failure by December 31?	No	SELL	215	40¢	$86	0x2a047c…
04-11 18:50:51	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,077	88¢	$948	0x1cef86…
04-11 17:12:49	Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?	Yes	SELL	242	23¢	$56	0xc3579d…
04-11 16:00:27	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	1,329	39¢	$518	0xf55377…
04-11 15:41:37	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	618	85¢	$525	0xb91b82…
04-11 14:57:47	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,077	89¢	$959	0x1e864b…
04-11 14:20:53	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	BUY	1,152	13¢	$150	0xe16e33…
04-11 14:20:41	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	BUY	326	13¢	$42	0x791b87…
04-11 13:49:17	US bank failure by December 31?	No	BUY	383	42¢	$161	0xd3d6e2…
04-11 07:26:41	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	29¢	$89	0x5c4686…
04-11 07:26:23	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	229	29¢	$66	0xa4e69c…
04-11 06:13:31	Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	No	SELL	210	11¢	$22	0x5ef2ef…
04-11 06:11:55	Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	No	SELL	695	10¢	$73	0xe1a6fd…
04-10 21:06:47	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	26¢	$47	0xab3a5d…
04-10 21:06:33	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	354	26¢	$92	0xafb2f0…
04-10 20:37:17	will bernie or mamdani say socialist or socialism during nyc rally	Yes	BUY	613	44¢	$270	0x9a6633…
04-10 19:21:43	Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	560	14¢	$79	0xbde079…
04-10 19:21:33	Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	168	14¢	$24	0xe44e62…
04-10 00:31:01	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	325	69¢	$224	0xa93256…
04-09 23:46:35	will trump post free tina peters on truth social this week 898	No	SELL	692	55¢	$381	0x5fae7e…
04-09 23:29:03	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	543	18¢	$98	0x5b7735…
04-09 22:51:33	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	547	41¢	$224	0xbc96f4…
04-09 22:51:21	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	457	41¢	$187	0xbc2d66…
04-09 21:39:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	715	88¢	$629	0x69d86e…
04-09 21:38:35	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	46¢	$49	0xe5df94…
04-09 21:38:21	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	979	46¢	$450	0x9f5d11…
04-09 20:39:07	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	325	68¢	$221	0x40052e…
04-09 16:48:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	715	88¢	$629	0x5598a0…
04-09 16:32:03	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 29 2026	No	BUY	558	18¢	$101	0x6e4028…
04-09 15:27:39	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	39¢	$122	0xc2f6ec…
04-09 15:27:17	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	690	39¢	$269	0xa62fe6…
04-09 14:31:31	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	656	6¢	$39	0xdd2691…
04-09 12:31:45	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	115	81¢	$93	0xd184f8…
04-09 11:35:33	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	469	75¢	$352	0x686a26…
04-09 11:35:15	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	790	75¢	$592	0x85118e…
04-09 11:34:53	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	393	75¢	$295	0x47a8c1…
04-08 20:10:37	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	758	75¢	$568	0x9ce46c…
04-08 20:10:27	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	816	75¢	$612	0xc2f000…
04-08 20:10:09	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	75¢	$58	0x6da18b…
04-08 17:57:07	will trump post free tina peters on truth social this week 898	No	BUY	692	85¢	$588	0x36aa6b…
04-08 15:44:57	Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	No	BUY	905	15¢	$137	0x43237c…
04-08 15:35:57	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	656	24¢	$157	0x499752…
04-08 15:01:03	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	543	21¢	$114	0xd5e098…
04-07 20:43:13	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,085	54¢	$586	0x3fa1c0…
04-07 17:03:01	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	115	47¢	$55	0xe1d0f9…
03-31 03:06:19	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	26¢	$60	0xfc2bfb…
03-31 03:06:09	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	657	26¢	$171	0x43ad91…
03-31 03:05:51	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	391	26¢	$102	0xf5bbd4…
03-30 16:24:21	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0xba1575…
03-30 16:22:57	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x7565e3…
03-30 14:29:47	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 10 15	Yes	SELL	424	29¢	$123	0x0929f3…
03-30 14:29:25	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 10 15	Yes	SELL	685	29¢	$199	0xcd900a…
03-30 14:29:07	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 10 15	Yes	SELL	253	29¢	$73	0x392c05…