Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$652

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved (30d)

1,229

Trades (30d)

2,825

2,845 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$10.6K

$10.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$51

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-18

last 10-26 18:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 62% -$783

Other

16% 60% +$112

Politics

3% 0% -$281

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 2110 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+100	$48	43¢	$43	-$5	10-18 13:33
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+7	$5	86¢	$6	+$1	10-09 10:21
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+45	$5	3¢	$1	-$4	10-09 10:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$595	805	+805	Yes	+$210	10-26 18:44
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	2	$155	3,317	+3,317	Yes	-$155	09-19 12:23
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$50	263	+263	Yes	-$50	09-18 20:39
trump x greenland deal signed by september 25	1	$50	294	+294	Yes	-$50	09-19 14:37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$48	100	+100	open	—	10-18 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?	5	$47	61	+61	Up	-$7	10-09 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	7	$47	66	+66	Up	+$19	10-05 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	6	$40	54	+54	Down	+$14	10-08 09:23
XRP Up or Down - October 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	10	$37	1,768	+1,768	Down	-$37	10-12 17:19
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$32	292	+292	Down	-$32	10-12 17:18
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$27	39	+39	Up	-$7	10-18 12:18
Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	1	$25	354	+354	No	-$25	09-18 20:08
Solana Up or Down - October 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	8	$24	50	+50	Up	+$1	10-18 12:26
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$21	45	+45	Up	+$4	10-18 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$21	47	+47	Down	+$2	10-18 12:27
bitcoin up or down on september 20 2026	3	$20	45	+45	Down	+$10	09-19 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?	7	$20	84	+84	Up	-$20	09-18 23:00
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	5	$19	40	+40	Down	+$1	10-18 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$19	40	+40	Down	+$1	10-18 12:35
XRP Up or Down - October 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	7	$19	39	+39	Up	$0	10-18 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$18	38	+38	Down	+$1	10-18 13:20
Solana Up or Down - October 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	5	$17	75	+75	Down	-$17	10-13 06:34
XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$15	34	+34	Down	+$2	10-18 16:16
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	6	$15	32	+32	Down	+$2	10-18 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$14	29	+29	Down	+$5	10-18 11:20
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$14	31	+31	Down	+$1	10-18 22:33
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$14	27	+27	Up	+$2	10-18 10:20
BNB Up or Down - October 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$13	30	+30	Up	+$6	10-18 12:36
Solana Up or Down - October 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$13	19	+19	Down	-$4	10-18 11:33
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$13	29	+29	Up	-$3	10-18 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:44:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	805	74¢	$595	0x34c11d…
10-22 11:44:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	33¢	$3	0x6cceab…
10-22 11:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xc06151…
10-22 11:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa5e63e…
10-19 15:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5b84e1…
10-19 15:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x4b406f…
10-19 15:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x028592…
10-19 15:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x317cd4…
10-19 15:02:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x584f81…
10-19 15:02:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x831d56…
10-19 15:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x4408a3…
10-19 15:02:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x18128b…
10-19 13:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf56be1…
10-19 13:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xac1c35…
10-19 12:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7cbf08…
10-19 12:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xb57178…
10-19 12:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7700e4…
10-19 12:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x393310…
10-19 12:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xeac5f7…
10-19 12:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x0a3247…
10-19 12:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x2b4f7d…
10-19 12:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x601e84…
10-19 12:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x03a428…
10-19 12:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4a391a…
10-19 12:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1ae673…
10-19 11:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x14cf9a…
10-19 11:27:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x2552bd…
10-19 11:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9a30cf…
10-19 11:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3bb09c…
10-19 11:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xa181c5…
10-19 11:16:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x01496e…
10-19 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x30859e…
10-19 11:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x64b65f…
10-19 11:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x58a0a8…
10-19 10:21:53	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe2b3bd…
10-19 10:21:42	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xff765d…
10-19 10:21:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5d75ce…
10-19 10:20:53	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x8d046d…
10-19 10:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1de670…
10-19 10:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcee794…
10-19 10:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6748a4…
10-19 10:07:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xbea29b…
10-19 10:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa3eb01…
10-19 10:07:02	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x94112c…
10-19 10:06:45	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xe55bf9…
10-19 10:06:45	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xcdbcd3…
10-19 10:06:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x221d6a…
10-19 10:06:09	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x0fac9d…
10-19 10:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7a086c…
10-19 10:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x5aadbe…
10-19 09:56:48	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x2f6853…
10-19 09:56:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc6eadf…
10-19 09:51:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6b4e22…
10-19 09:48:32	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x0c4999…
10-19 09:38:06	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb66afb…
10-19 09:37:54	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x240da3…
10-19 09:36:48	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xdd05c9…
10-19 09:36:33	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6b5121…
10-19 09:34:23	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x2fa61d…
10-19 09:33:20	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x8b282a…
10-19 08:55:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xdc058c…
10-19 08:49:48	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xeaffbe…
10-19 08:48:51	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8e904f…
10-19 08:48:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x2944d1…
10-19 08:02:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x03fc61…
10-19 08:02:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xefe2a4…
10-19 08:01:54	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x63b231…
10-19 08:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2b805f…
10-19 08:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x9e80fe…
10-19 08:01:30	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x270b4a…
10-19 08:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeeba94…
10-19 08:00:24	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x76ecdc…
10-19 08:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1d6857…
10-19 07:53:06	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x7e15b1…
10-19 07:53:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x98296c…
10-19 07:53:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x5f1ae5…
10-19 07:52:32	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xfdba98…
10-19 07:52:21	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x9171ab…
10-19 07:19:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4dc5ec…
10-19 07:19:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x39bb8b…
10-19 07:16:42	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x475717…
10-19 07:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x652342…
10-19 07:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x471639…
10-19 07:16:30	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa0f8c3…
10-19 07:16:17	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xbb7016…
10-19 07:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x67882e…
10-19 07:15:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x7e156a…
10-19 07:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xdd4d46…
10-19 07:15:21	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x588964…
10-19 07:15:21	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x4d76b7…
10-19 07:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x2b4901…
10-19 07:15:21	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x1bd475…
10-19 07:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x199fc6…
10-19 07:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x0b8347…
10-19 07:10:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0058e8…
10-19 07:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x750447…
10-19 07:10:35	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x008a59…
10-19 07:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe8cd96…
10-19 07:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3e188f…
10-19 07:10:20	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x73c1d6…