Lavish-Analogy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

224

Trades

6,200

lifetime

Volume

$9.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-30 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 435 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	20	$15	1,463	0	+1,463	open	—	05-01 09:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-30 17:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-30 18:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	5	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-30 17:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-30 18:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-30 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	8	$13	20	15	+5	open	—	04-30 14:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-30 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	05-02 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-02 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-02 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 13:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-30 18:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-30 18:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-30 17:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-30 17:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-30 17:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-30 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	6	$5	485	0	+485	open	—	05-01 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-28 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-23 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-27 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-27 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-27 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-16 00:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 18:58:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xddc621…
05-30 18:58:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x9d9401…
05-30 18:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8fb03f…
05-30 18:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xca1da7…
05-30 18:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x23f6ef…
05-30 18:22:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x1ae6c6…
05-30 18:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6fcd22…
05-30 18:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x3c24fa…
05-30 18:10:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa7a587…
05-30 18:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5138d0…
05-30 17:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdee658…
05-30 17:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x94ba1f…
05-30 17:47:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x4d9c9c…
05-30 17:47:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x08e791…
05-30 17:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5f0fa4…
05-30 17:26:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xe58c24…
05-30 17:26:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x6f4259…
05-30 17:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd3282b…
05-30 17:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x26f85c…
05-30 17:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1ca131…
05-30 17:13:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x69ebef…
05-30 17:13:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x07af99…
05-30 17:10:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb0b6a3…
05-30 17:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x50e818…
05-28 05:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc15d99…
05-28 05:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x769ed0…
05-28 05:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xebb2a9…
05-28 05:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x952ee1…
05-28 05:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc5bd36…
05-28 05:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x74c12e…
05-28 05:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x16c7d9…
05-28 05:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6ff4da…
05-28 05:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x43ba23…
05-28 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1ca9e2…
05-28 04:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4eded3…
05-28 04:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xda40bc…
05-28 04:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf012af…
05-28 04:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbd30f1…
05-28 04:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x510177…
05-28 04:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x13134c…
05-28 04:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x08c62d…
05-28 04:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x112e26…
05-28 04:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xccfca0…
05-28 04:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6ccdf1…
05-28 04:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xaa0578…
05-28 04:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x01644e…
05-28 04:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x146b7c…
05-28 04:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc5aff3…
05-28 04:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7ed897…
05-28 04:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5ac060…
05-28 04:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7e39c2…
05-28 04:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xea6d58…
05-28 04:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xbf52d5…
05-28 04:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x4b7b73…
05-28 04:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x818fae…
05-28 04:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6af044…
05-28 04:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe27b4b…
05-28 03:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb1a18c…
05-28 03:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4062a1…
05-28 03:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x817867…
05-28 03:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdf8ac7…
05-28 03:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x25a650…
05-28 03:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0xb92714…
05-28 03:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x281e74…
05-28 03:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x4d4e2a…
05-28 03:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x0728d6…
05-28 03:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb5935b…
05-28 03:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xeb8de5…
05-28 03:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xca00d8…
05-28 03:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbdc299…
05-28 03:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x5ba143…
05-28 03:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x396149…
05-28 03:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc66b4f…
05-28 03:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc158a4…
05-28 03:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9a0059…
05-28 03:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4fc389…
05-28 03:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x089f88…
05-28 03:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4deee3…
05-28 03:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa3539c…
05-28 02:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x84c6df…
05-28 02:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1df5d9…
05-28 02:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd8ca20…
05-28 02:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x95ec8c…
05-28 02:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf5f24a…
05-28 02:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf822c1…
05-28 02:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xc29977…
05-28 02:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x95f8c0…
05-28 02:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x09c047…
05-28 02:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x42dc9e…
05-28 02:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf0a231…
05-28 02:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x42e48e…
05-28 02:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6dd8a2…
05-28 02:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcaa4d6…
05-28 02:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xcc0f3f…
05-28 02:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xc9be4e…
05-28 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd7974a…
05-28 02:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x70b289…
05-28 02:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf5155c…
05-28 02:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa17298…
05-28 02:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x38a431…